Jump to content
270soft Forum

General Election polling makes very little sense sometimes

Recommended Posts

So I've played this game for a couple years now. It's a great one, and I love to play it a lot. Let me just get that out of the way before I bring up my questions and critiques.

With more recent elections, sometimes the general elections make very little sense. I ran a simulation of Kasich vs. Clinton in 2016 and Kasich won almost every time with ~300 EVs, yet every time I play as Kasich in 2016, the general election tightens up as we get closer. States like West Virginia and Indiana turn blue, which makes absolutely no sense in 2016.

I play the 2024 campaign as Harris (which is not made by the developers but it still serves my point), who wins the simulation 10/10 times against Trump, however as I get closer to the general election, Virginia, New Mexico, and Maine turn red while states like Washington become tossups. 

Playing as Obama in 2008 and 2012, I can sometimes run up a 10 point lead in Florida -- which is ridiculous -- and sometimes playing as Republicans in elections 2008-2016, the Democrat can run up 10 point leads in North Carolina. 

I have many wins in this game so it's more than certainly not a player issue. I know how to campaign properly, I have many hours in this game, no question about it. Though I have to ask, has anyone else observed this flaw? How do the scenarios I describe make any sense? 10 point leads in Florida, Dem +10 in North Carolina, Blue WV, Red VA NM & ME in post 2012 elections. I understand that no game is going to perfectly simulate reality, but these things make no sense and are not very close to accuracy. 

Despite that I still enjoy the game just fine and it's great. I'm just asking if I'm the only one with this issue. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.


  • Create New...