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I updated the manual with an answer.

https://270soft.com/president-infinity-manual/spin-screen/

"Gaffe news stories occur randomly, whenever your leader, vice-leader, or surrogate is barnstorming or holding a rally. The likelihood of a gaffe news story is affected for leaders and vice-leaders by Energy (the higher, the less likely), Experience (the higher, the less likely), and Issue Familiarity (the higher, the less likely). For surrogates, the chance is 1% each time they barnstorm. However, a gaffe news story more likely to occur if a player's Spin Strength is higher (as a proxy for news-worthiness)."

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