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Bellwether Counties Early Vote


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I think that Bellwether Counties can be important to predict the final winner, fortunately we already have some live data in most of those counties in this site...


I analysed 2016 and 2018 early votes and final results, so we can transpose using National polls (We will use reference value of 53.5 Biden - 45.3 Trump from 538 for now).
In the Next posts I will put the expected results for every bellwether using only early vote data. I will give points to every bellwether by its accuracy in the past. After I will sum Biden and Trump Counties points, and do an average of the chances of each one of them being the next US president. 
This is the list of bellwethers, that we can analyse to understand better 2020 election.

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