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State of the Race: 13 Days Left


vcczar
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13 Day Poll  

28 members have voted

  1. 1. See the Data in the First Post: Who do you think wins if the election were today?

  2. 2. Which issue is going to matter more on election day?

    • Covid cases, deaths, and rhetoric involving Covid.
    • The stock market and unemployment #s and rhetoric involving middle class jobs and wage #s.
  3. 3. Is Hunter Biden going to play a major role on election day?

    • Yes, something will come out that will turn away Biden voters.
    • No, they've tried to find something significant, and the only people that think he is an issue are people already voting Trump.
  4. 4. Do you expect Trump to lead in the avg national polls at any time before election day? He's currently -10.3 behind Biden.

  5. 5. Do you expect Trump to lead in the avg poll in any of the following battleground states at some point before election day?

    • PA (Trump is losing by -6 or more)
      0
    • MI (Trump is losing by -7 or more)
      0
    • WI (Trump is losing by -7 or more)
    • NC (Trump is losing by -3 or more)
    • FL (Trump is losing by -3 or more)
    • AZ (Trump is losing by -3 or more)
    • GA (Trump is winning by about 1)
    • TX (Trump is winning by about 1)
    • IA (Biden is barely winning and is less than 1 pts above Trump)
    • OH (Trump is up about 1 or 2)


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4 minutes ago, The Blood said:

National leads matter. They help show us where momentum is, and help give us a look into who will run up statewide totals on election day. They also show how surmountable someone's lead is. Biden's lead will be a tough battle for Trump. Do you really believe Biden will lose Florida, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin, but will win the popular vote by the margin the polls are saying? That's very, very unlikely, because national polls do in fact show us how likely a victory is for a candidate, without the Electoral College being a real factor. But then again, you don't believe in polls, or any substantive data, so I can't even argue with you here. So, I am ending the conversation now, because we fundamentally disagree here.

Yep we fundamentally disagree.  

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