Jump to content
270soft Forum

Congressional Districts Winners Extrapolation


Recommended Posts

I finished my poll of polls model finally, and I have a congressional districts extrapolation model, I will start with Vermont, we have >10%, >7.5% > 5.0% > 2.5% > 0.0%, with colors representing them. I expect to put every state today.
At first I am assuming that all CD have the same population, after,  I will adapt with the real populations, but only when I finish every cd

EDIT... I will need to restart, I discovered a big problem in the projections. Seems that the race will be much more close than I thinked.


Alabama 59.9% GOP, 35.6% DEM
CD1 61.4% GOP, 35.0% DEM
CD2 61.8% GOP 34.4% DEM
CD3 61.5% GOP, 33.1% DEM
CD4 69.3% GOP, 27.7% DEM
CD5 61.5% GOP, 32.7% DEM
CD6 67.6% GOP, 27.5% DEM
CD7 36.0% GOP, 59.0% DEM

CD1 50.3% GOP , 44.9% DEM

  • Thanks 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.


  • Create New...