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2020 Election: Mississippi


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vcczar @Reagan04 @Actinguy @Patine @Conservative Elector 2 @TheMiddlePolitical @WVProgressive @SilentLiberty @pilight @admin_270 @Hestia11 @Herbert Hoover @mlcorcoran @Leuser @upandaway @jvikings1 @Rodja @Edouard @jnewt @Nentomat @Kingthero @Sunnymentoaddict @RFK/JFKfan @Mr.Blood @Zenobiyl @Wiw @MBDemSoc @ThePotatoWalrus @Alxeu @Allyn @Cenzonico @CentristGuy @Ishan @billay @wolves @RI Democrat @lizarraba @lizphairphreak @TheLiberalKitten @MysteryKnight @avatarmushi @servo75 @Mark_W

This state will go Red. 

Here's how Dem noms have done in the 21st century. Aside from Obama, this state has been consistent. We are seeing Dem improvement in Hinds and Madison, out of these key counties. I do find it interesting while many states associated with Trump support had been swiftly moving away from Democrats, this state seems relatively stable. I'll make the bold claim that MS is more likely to flip Blue in a landslide Democratic win than LA, AL, TN, AR, or KY. 

  image.png.857a1d7a3945787e9891281d40a2c3fb.png image.png.091f119e09188f3e990650af9555b7b5.png image.png.4c29d1bd06462743054afeab62328d1d.png image.png.570d0e92c8cc21819c7c83567311114a.png image.png.45f695ebb72a175a96abf5688f3b5c12.png
Hinds 44 43 40 20 10
DeSoto -35 -33 -39 -45 -44
Harrison -31 -25 -26 -27 -25
Rankin -53 -53 -53 -59 -61
Madison -16 -16 -16 -30 -29
Jackson -38 -35 -35 -39 -36
  -18 -11 -13 -19 -17

Here's who MS has supported since 2008 for Pres, Gov, Sen, and US Reps. The Darker the color, the more support. MS has those weird odd year elections. The Obama 2008 landslide saw Dems gain a 3rd US Rep, but they lost two as a reaction to Obamacare in 2010. Note that reaction to Trump threatened Hyde-Smith's victory in 2018 and Reeves's victory in 2020 as their Democratic challengers prevented a landslide defeat (I denote landslide with a +10 margin or higher). Nevertheless, the state is solid Red, although we see some signs of life that it has potential to deviate.  :

2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020
McCain McCain Romney Romney Trump Trump  
Barbour (2007) Barbour Bryant (2011) Bryant Bryant (2015) Bryant Reeves (2019)
Wicker Wicker Wicker Wicker Wicker Wicker Wicker
Cochran Cochran Cochran Cochran Cochran Hyde-Smith Hyde-Smith
Childers Nunnelee Nunnelee Nunnelee Nunnelee Kelly  
Thompson Thompson Thompson Thompson Thompson Thompson  
Harper Harper Harper Harper Harper Guest  
Taylor Palazzo Palazzo Palazzo Palazzo Palazzo  
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4 minutes ago, vcczar said:

I'll make the bold claim that MS is more likely to flip Blue in a landslide Democratic win than LA, AL, TN, AR, or KY. 

Naturally, it has the highest percentage of black voters. Espy just needs upwards of 20% of the white vote to knock off Confederate Cindy this time around.

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1 hour ago, Reagan04 said:

Naturally, it has the highest percentage of black voters. Espy just needs upwards of 20% of the white vote to knock off Confederate Cindy this time around.

Who is Confederate Cindy?

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1 hour ago, Patine said:

Who is Confederate Cindy?

Our local Senate public hanging enthusiast

.884CEDD2-A91F-44EC-AD31-2C52B823C6A9.jpeg.58eaa6e1106062375400d2d91bedf8d6.jpeg

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3 hours ago, vcczar said:

I'll make the bold claim that MS is more likely to flip Blue in a landslide Democratic win than LA, AL, TN, AR, or KY. 

Mississippi, however, is one of the most inelastic states. So I wouldn't necessarily say that except for a few of them that are pretty red (AL, AR). 

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21 minutes ago, Hestia11 said:

Mississippi, however, is one of the most inelastic states. So I wouldn't necessarily say that except for a few of them that are pretty red (AL, AR). 

This truly depends on who is on the ballot. It’s all about who can may waves among White voters to make them budge to the left.

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