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2020 Election: Louisiana


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This state will go red.

Here's how Dem noms have done in the 21st century. Baton Rouge is getting more liberal, thanks in part to Hurricane Katrina, which saw its population increase after many families from New Orleans (see Orleans Parish below) resettled there.:

  image.png.9d105965e6eef5ce657fa90df925b9c0.png image.png.b4739e090452f00851213f7dfd9d83ce.png image.png.b633b7440f57d530cca34e64a8f079f2.png image.png.a003a9d5ab785dd22b47210cf08352b3.png image.png.4ad228ea47ac327de8292a09759d0727.png
E. Baton Rouge 10 5 3 -9 -8
Jefferson -14 -18 -27 -24 -20
Orleans 66 62 60 55 54
St Tammany -51 -52 -54 -50 -44
Caddo 5 5 3 -3 1
Lafayette -33 -34 -31 -29 -27
  -20 -17 -19 -15 -8

Here's how LA voters have voted since 2008 for Pres, Gov, Sen, US Reps. They're one of those weird states that elects their governor in odd years. They lost a US House seat in 2012. 2008 showed some cracks in this giant Red wall but GOP held. Aside from Edward's reelection in 2019, I see no signs for Dem improvement here. Aside from New Orleans and Baton Rouge the state is pretty much a mix of Mississippi, East Texas, and isolated swamp people. I don't see much room for growth here for Democrats. The geographical boundaries also aren't very conducive to city expansion.:

2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020
McCain McCain Romney Romney Trump Trump  
Jindal (2007) Jindal Jindal (2011) Jindal Edwards (2015) Edwards Edwards (2019)
Landrieu Landrieu Landrieu Cassidy Cassidy Cassidy  
Vitter Vitter Vitter Vitter Kennedy Kennedy Kennedy
Scalise Scalise Scalise Scalise Scalise Scalise  
Cao Richmond Richmond Richmond Richmond Richmond  
Melancon Landry Boustany Boustany Higgins Higgins  
Fleming Fleming Fleming Fleming Johnson Johnson  
Alexander Alexander Alexander Abraham Abraham Abraham  
Cassidy Cassidy Cassidy Graves Graves Graves  
Boustany Boustany n/a n/a n/a n/a  
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