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2020 Election: Washington


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This state will go Blue. 

Here's how Dems have done in the 21st century. Spokane really didn't like John Kerry or really liked Bush after 4 years. The most populous county keeps getting bluer. I predict Biden does well in Clark County. :

  image.png.9111a68032217c9d8862cf32e5eaaeda.png image.png.c9ecf1a3400b48cb093185ced545b277.png image.png.a83a4abc56fbcf2cf33d5f0c56fcda5a.png image.png.a8ac97773ac91cb6100166b6fe3ccde7.png image.png.b965ccb51d537a213c77dcf23c78148d.png image.png.dd765028df14f3238fe5c0ec92b284d5.png
King   50 40 42 31 26
Pierce   7 11 12 3 8
Snohomish   17 16 18 7 8
Spokane   -9 -6 1 -12 -9
Clark   0 0 6 -5 -4
WA Totals   16 15 17 7 5

Here's who WA has supported since 2008 for Pres, Gov, Sen, US Reps. The darker the color, the more support. They gained a house seat in 2012. Despite the blue-ness of the state the GOP party is still very much a live. The 2018 Blue Wave saw two of their 4 remaining members under threat. Schrier barely hung on, and McMorris Rodgers was threatened with a defeat. I do expect the state to trend Blue as it keeps increasing in population. :

2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018
Obama Obama Obama Obama Clinton Clinton
Gregoire Gregoire Inslee Inslee Inslee Inslee
Murray Murray Murray Murray Murray Murray
Cantwell Cantwell Cantwell Cantwell Cantwell Cantwell
Inslee Inslee DelBene DelBene DelBene DelBene
Larsen Larsen Larsen Larsen Larsen Larsen
Baird Herrera Herrera Herrera Herrera Herrera
Hastings Hastings Hastings Newhouse Newhouse Newhouse
McMorris Rodgers McMorris Rodgers McMorris Rodgers McMorris Rodgers McMorris Rodgers McMorris Rodgers
Dicks Dicks Kilmer Kilmer Kilmer Kilmer
McDermott McDermott McDermott McDermott Jayapal Jayapal
Reichert Reichert Reichert Reichert Reichert Schrier
Smith Smith Smith Smith Smith Smith
n/a n/a Heck Heck Heck Heck

 

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I'd say since the events surrounding CHAZ there is a slight chance Washington might be in play. The eastern part of the state was always very conservative.

Same goes for Oregon.

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2 hours ago, Conservative Elector 2 said:

I'd say since the events surrounding CHAZ there is a slight chance Washington might be in play. The eastern part of the state was always very conservative.

Same goes for Oregon.

I'm fairly certain that the part of the state that is getting much more numerous in population is the Western part of the state, which would suggest the state is like to become Bluer. The Eastern part might become bluer once their small towns develop into larger towns and into small cities. 

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4 hours ago, pilight said:

Washington has gone Democratic in each of the last eight presidential elections.  It last went Republican in 1984.

And it even still elected a Democratic Governor and State Legislative Majority in 1984, despite supporting Reagan by a very large majority of votes. :P

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