2020 Election: Washington

[vcczar 1,224]

vcczar @Reagan04 @Actinguy @Patine @Conservative Elector 2 @TheMiddlePolitical @WVProgressive @SilentLiberty @pilight @admin_270 @Hestia11 @Herbert Hoover @mlcorcoran @Leuser @upandaway @jvikings1 @Rodja @Edouard @jnewt @Nentomat @Kingthero @Sunnymentoaddict @RFK/JFKfan @Mr.Blood @Zenobiyl @Wiw @MBDemSoc @ThePotatoWalrus @Alxeu @Allyn @Cenzonico @CentristGuy @Ishan @billay @wolves @RI Democrat @lizarraba @lizphairphreak @TheLiberalKitten @MysteryKnight @avatarmushi @servo75 @Mark_W

This state will go Blue. 

Here's how Dems have done in the 21st century. Spokane really didn't like John Kerry or really liked Bush after 4 years. The most populous county keeps getting bluer. I predict Biden does well in Clark County. :

King		50	40	42	31	26
Pierce		7	11	12	3	8
Snohomish		17	16	18	7	8
Spokane		-9	-6	1	-12	-9
Clark		0	0	6	-5	-4
WA Totals		16	15	17	7	5

Here's who WA has supported since 2008 for Pres, Gov, Sen, US Reps. The darker the color, the more support. They gained a house seat in 2012. Despite the blue-ness of the state the GOP party is still very much a live. The 2018 Blue Wave saw two of their 4 remaining members under threat. Schrier barely hung on, and McMorris Rodgers was threatened with a defeat. I do expect the state to trend Blue as it keeps increasing in population. :

2008	2010	2012	2014	2016	2018
Obama	Obama	Obama	Obama	Clinton	Clinton
Gregoire	Gregoire	Inslee	Inslee	Inslee	Inslee
Murray	Murray	Murray	Murray	Murray	Murray
Cantwell	Cantwell	Cantwell	Cantwell	Cantwell	Cantwell
Inslee	Inslee	DelBene	DelBene	DelBene	DelBene
Larsen	Larsen	Larsen	Larsen	Larsen	Larsen
Baird	Herrera	Herrera	Herrera	Herrera	Herrera
Hastings	Hastings	Hastings	Newhouse	Newhouse	Newhouse
McMorris Rodgers	McMorris Rodgers	McMorris Rodgers	McMorris Rodgers	McMorris Rodgers	McMorris Rodgers
Dicks	Dicks	Kilmer	Kilmer	Kilmer	Kilmer
McDermott	McDermott	McDermott	McDermott	Jayapal	Jayapal
Reichert	Reichert	Reichert	Reichert	Reichert	Schrier
Smith	Smith	Smith	Smith	Smith	Smith
n/a	n/a	Heck	Heck	Heck	Heck

 

[Conservative Elector 2 333]

I'd say since the events surrounding CHAZ there is a slight chance Washington might be in play. The eastern part of the state was always very conservative.

Same goes for Oregon.

[pilight 232]

Washington has gone Democratic in each of the last eight presidential elections.  It last went Republican in 1984.

[vcczar 1,224]

2 hours ago, Conservative Elector 2 said:

I'd say since the events surrounding CHAZ there is a slight chance Washington might be in play. The eastern part of the state was always very conservative.

Same goes for Oregon.

I'm fairly certain that the part of the state that is getting much more numerous in population is the Western part of the state, which would suggest the state is like to become Bluer. The Eastern part might become bluer once their small towns develop into larger towns and into small cities. 

[Patine 444]

4 hours ago, pilight said:

Washington has gone Democratic in each of the last eight presidential elections.  It last went Republican in 1984.

And it even still elected a Democratic Governor and State Legislative Majority in 1984, despite supporting Reagan by a very large majority of votes.

[Reagan04 658]

@vcczar Kim Schrier is a Democrat, the GOP actually barely lost WA-8 in the 2018 midterm.

[vcczar 1,224]

19 minutes ago, Reagan04 said:

@vcczar Kim Schrier is a Democrat, the GOP actually barely lost WA-8 in the 2018 midterm.

Thanks