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2020 Election: Maryland


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This state is reliably Blue. 

Here's how Democrats have fared in the 21st century. The state has been almost completely Blue since Obama. It's also one of the states in which Clinton may have outperformed Obama:

  image.png.0c81e59785d7872a83662bece38a516c.png image.png.940597fd40b9e2a9e441bacbc8fceea1.png image.png.84fd23ef12f5f8497cbdd433d78d2a66.png image.png.75c106651b5734e3925d18fd08972f24.png image.png.a34b5a2d4c408d9604804a977b0bd172.png
Montgomery 56 44 45 34 29
Baltimore County 27 17 14 4 9
Prince George's 80 81 79 66 61
Anne Arundel 3 0 -2 -12 -7
Baltimore City 74 76 75 66 69
  26 26 25 13 17

Here's who MD has supported since 2008 for Pres, Gov, US Sen, US Reps (in that order). The darker the color, the more support. Larry Hogan is a huge outlier here. One can see how he often must oppose Trump to have any support in this state. :

2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018
Obama Obama Obama Obama Clinton Clinton
O'Malley O'Malley O'Malley Hogan Hogan Hogan
Mikulski Mikulski Mikulski Mikulski Van Hollen Van Hollen
Cardin Cardin Cardin Cardin Cardin Cardin
Kratovil Harris Harris Harris Harris Harris
Ruppersberger Ruppersberger Ruppersberger Ruppersberger Ruppersberger Ruppersberger
Sarbanes Sarbanes Sarbanes Sarbanes Sarbanes Sarbanes
Edwards Edwards Edwards Edwards Brown Brown
Hoyer Hoyer Hoyer Hoyer Hoyer Hoyer
Bartlett Bartlett Delaney Delaney Delaney Trone
Cummings Cummings Cummings Cummings Cummings Cummings
Van Hollen Van Hollen Van Hollen Van Hollen Raskins Raskins



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Howard County tends to be a strong bellwether for Maryland. It often tends to predict the statewide winner given that it pretty much represents the rural-suburban-urban divide that the state feels as a collective.

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I lived in Maryland 2013-2014, while working for the Obama administration.  It was well known at the time that Maryland was where Democrats lived and Virginia was where Republicans lived.

It's remarkable how far Virginia has moved to the blue side of the line in just the past few years.

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