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State of the Race: 41 Days Left


vcczar
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41 Day Poll  

23 members have voted

  1. 1. See the Data in the First Post: Who do you think wins if the election were today?

  2. 2. Which candidate is probably more religious?

  3. 3. Which candidate is more Christ-like?

  4. 4. Which of the following politicians have high integrity? Check all that apply

  5. 5. Check all the statements regarding a Supreme Court Justice that more or less overlap with your own opinion.

    • A justice should be allowed to making rulings based off Christian dogma if they so wish.
    • A justice should be able to make rulings based off their personal Christian faith.
    • A justice should be allowed to be a judicial activist for their faith (i.e. actively promoting and advocating rulings based on the tenants of the Religious Right)
    • A justice should be allowed to make rulings based on Constitutional law -- and not bias their decisions through religious faith.
    • A justice should be allowed to make rulings based on a secular mindset, since we are not officially a Christian nation (and becoming less Christian each year).
    • A justice should be allowed to make strict, originalist interpretations of law and the US Constitution.
    • A justice should be allowed to make broad interpretations of the US Constitution considering that US Constitution is often vague and the expectations of government and society change over time.
    • A justice should be allowed to use their political bias in making decisions.
    • A justice should be allowed to be a reliable vote for the president that appointed them.
    • A justice should be free to completely change their political ideology and voting patterns once they've been confirmed if they so wish.
    • A justice should be allowed to make any ruling they wish and should not be required to explain why.
    • A justice should never be compelled to resign based off age or minor mental or physical decline.
    • A justice should be required to have judicial experience, even if a party has the vote and determination to make them a justice.
    • A justice shouldn't be within the age range of 18-35, even if a party has the vote and determination to make them a justice.
    • A justice should not be foreign born.
    • A justice should not be LGBT
    • A justice should not be Muslim
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    • A justice must have a college-level education
    • A justice should have the entire US Constitution memorized.
    • A justice should have all the significant court cases from history memorized.
    • A justice should not be a member of a political party.
    • A justice should not be a Socialist
    • A justice should be term-limited.
    • A justice should have a retirement age.
    • A justice must be required to be of a certain age to be nominated.
    • A justice must be required to have been a federal judge in a lower court for a specific number of years to be nominated to the SC.
    • A new Chief Justice must be nominated from the Associate Justices of the SC, since that makes the most sense.
    • The Associate Justices should take turns being Chief Justice.
    • Any justice with a history of misbehavior, including during their college days, should be barred from being a SC Justice.
    • SC Justices should also be approved and/or vetoed by voters either by a straight majority or perhaps a 60%.


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As usual, Blue trends for Biden and Red trends for Trump. 

Biden has been reducing Trump's lead in GA

Trump's lead in IA is noticeably reduced. 

Trump makes some very slight movements in his favor, almost all by 0.1%.

Trump's approval is back down to the 42% range and his disapproval is back up in the 53% range.

Forecast Map is unchanged. 

Categories 41 Days Left A Week Ago 100 Days Left
Gen Avg Biden 6.9 (+0.1) Biden 0 Biden -1.1
AZ avg Biden 4.5 (0) Biden -0.5 Biden +1.6
FL avg Biden 2.0 (-0.1) Biden -0.3 Biden -5.6
GA avg Trump 0.7 (-0.3) Trump -0.7 Trump -0.6
IA avg Trump 1.1 (-0.6) Trump -0.8 Trump +0.8
MI Avg Biden 7.5 (-0.2) Biden 0 Biden +0.1
MN avg Biden 9.1 (0) Biden +0.2 Biden -2.0
MO avg Trump 6.9 (+0.1) Trump +0.1 Trump +1.4
NV avg Biden 5.5 (-0.1) Biden (0) Biden -1.2
NH Avg Biden 6.6 (-0.1) Biden 0 Biden -0.9
NC avg Biden 1.2 (-0.1) Biden +0.2 Biden -1.0
OH avg Trump 1.5 (+0.1) Trump +0.3 Trump +3.6
PA Avg Biden 4.5 (-0.2) Biden -0.3 Biden -2.3
SC avg Trump 6.9 (-0.2) Trump -0.1 Trump +0.3
TX avg Trump 0.8 (-0.2) Trump -0.4 Trump +0.8
WI Avg Biden 6.4 (-0.2) Biden -0.4 Biden -0.7
Trump Approval 42.5 (-0.7) -0.6 2.5
Trump Disapproval 53.1 (+0.4) 0.3 -2.6
Favorability Biden 16.8 (0) Biden 1.6 Biden 5.1
Direction of the Country -39.1 (-0.1) -1.3 6.4
Generic Ballot Dem 6.1 (+0.1) Dem 5.7 (-0.2) Democrats +8.6
Betting Markets Biden 54.3 (+0.9) Biden 3.1 Biden -6.4
Clinton vs. Trump 2016 GE Clinton +2    
Biden vs Clinton GE Polls Biden +4.9  

 

P7Gp3.png

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7 minutes ago, vcczar said:

@admin_270 The icons on the website aren't showing up and the forum format is all messed up via iPhone.

I had something similar yesterday. Logged out, closed safari & re-opened and it's largely back to normal, but I can't see notifications in the drop down, quote or give any reaction other than like on my phone now.

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8 minutes ago, admin_270 said:

Another day, another ~9am lid called for the Biden campaign.

https://twitter.com/jacobkschneider/status/1308398534505488387?s=20

 

Amazing just how biased that perspective is. Given that he is, of course, a Trump official

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6 minutes ago, admin_270 said:

What is biased?

"Back to the basement" for the day. The whole "Biden is hiding in his basement" narrative is just silly and clearly a political machination of the Trump campaign.

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I'm also getting the icon error @admin_270, they're all replaced with the default error square thing. Not a big deal so don't stress about it but it does make it somewhat harder to navigate the site on a mobile device.

noicon.png

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1 hour ago, vcczar said:

@admin_270 The icons on the website aren't showing up and the forum format is all messed up via iPhone.

 

1 hour ago, Mark_W said:

I had something similar yesterday. Logged out, closed safari & re-opened and it's largely back to normal, but I can't see notifications in the drop down, quote or give any reaction other than like on my phone now.

 

5 minutes ago, ThePotatoWalrus said:

I'm also getting the icon error @admin_270, they're all replaced with the default error square thing. Not a big deal so don't stress about it but it does make it somewhat harder to navigate the site on a mobile device.

noicon.png

It's time for all of you to shed of the Mark of the Beast, and go back to your desktops and laptops (and landlines).

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2 minutes ago, ThePotatoWalrus said:

Are credit cards also the Mark of the Beast?

No, they don't match the description in Revelation. But they certainly are plastic chains of slavery and indenturement one willingly puts on themselves - unless one is already a filthy rich plutocrat in the first place.

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15 minutes ago, admin_270 said:

Thanks for this - ya, I'm getting that too.

Yep, it's happening on my laptop too now. At least that update's made it consistent. 😆

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32 minutes ago, Patine said:

 

 

It's time for all of you to shed of the Mark of the Beast, and go back to your desktops and laptops (and landlines).

Well I'm getting it on my surfacepro which is a type of laptop so 😕

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5 minutes ago, admin_270 said:

Tweet with every day Biden campaign has called a lid before noon this month.

https://twitter.com/alec_sears/status/1308408738315931658

8/22 days = 36% of the time.

Those might just be private fundraising days or something else. Regardless, it isn't an issue so long as he's leading Trump by this much in the polls. Naturally, if Biden loses this will be a major reason why he lost a should be shoe-in election victory. Historically, an incumbent doesn't come back from losing this much with so little time left. 

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