State of the Race: 42 Days Left
42 Day Poll
19 members have voted
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1. See the Data in the First Post: Who do you think wins if the election were today?
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Trump
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Biden
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2. Trump was +10 in TX at this time last year. Here is now +1 in TX. What does this probably mostly reflect?
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That polls are way off this year.
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That TX likes Biden way more than Clinton.
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That TX dislikes Trump in 2020 more than they did in 2016.
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This is larger than TX. This reflects a general growth of anti-Trump voters nationally.
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3. Who Should Trump nominate to the Supreme Court? (He says he will pick someone Friday or Saturday and that they'll be a woman). Here's his presumed short-list:
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Amy Coney Barrett - IN (She's 48, so will serve like 40 years. She's also a vocal religious conservative, somewhere between Ted Cruz and Michelle Bachmann.)
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Barbara Lagoa - FL (She's 52. Cuban-American who could help Trump win FL. She's also very conservative, but with less of a religious emphasis. Federalist Society Member.)
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Bridget Shelton Bade - AZ (She's 54. She was made a federal judge by Trump only last year. I'm not sure how conservative she is.)
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Martha Pacold - IL (She's 41, so she could serve for half a century. She's a former member of the Federalist Society, but she's also probably the most moderate judge on this list. Could help win moderates for Trump.)
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Allison Jones Rushing - NC (Only 37 years old. She'd serve for half a century. She's a current Federalist Society Member; therefore, likely very conservative).
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Sarah Pitlyk - MO (She's 43. Could serve half a century. Former Kavanaugh clerk and Federalist Society member. The ABA voted her not qualified when Trump made her a federal judge last year.)0
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Kate Todd - DC (One of Trump's Chief Counsel officers in the White House. Not much about her. Federalist Society Member. She looks like she's in her mid to early 40s.)0
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4. Should Democrats Pack the Court if Trump gets a justice confirmed, despite the Merrick Garland precedence of 2016?
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Yes, despite the fact that the GOP might pack the court in the future.
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Yes, but also pass a law to prevent future court packing so GOP can't respond in kind.
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No, but only because I don't like the precedence it will set for future court packing.
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No, because it defies tradition and is too political.
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Yes or No for other reason (Mention below)0
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5. Is it a problem that Trump's short list is composed of mostly women in their 40s to early 50s (and even one in her 30s!)?
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No. A president is smart to pick someone who is youthful enough to serve for half a century, regardless of limited experience.
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No. These are probably the most qualified female judges for the US Supreme Court.
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Yes, but I'm mostly bothered that he's limiting himself to women.
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Yes, but I'm mostly bothered that he's not selecting top legal minds, who are likely to have decades of experience and are probably 65+ years old.
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Yes, there needs to be term limits, or an age range requirement, or a retirement age, so presidents aren't picking SC justices based on their youth.
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Yes or No for other reason (Mention below)0
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