vcczar 1,227 Posted August 20, 2020 Report Share Posted August 20, 2020 Here's the chart I was looking for yesterday. This was released by USC Dornsife: 92% of voters that voted for Clinton will vote for Biden. 88% of voters that voted Trump in 2016 will vote for him again in 2020. 9% of 2016 Trump voters will vote for Biden. 4% of Clinton voters will vote for Trump. 4% of 2016 Trump voters and Clinton voters will vote 3rd party. 71% of those that had voted 3rd party will vote for a major party this election--41% for Biden, 30% for Trump, 28% 3rd party again. 52% of those that stayed home and didn't vote in 2016 will vote for Biden. Only 32% of those that didn't vote in 2016 will vote for Trump. 16% of those that didn't vote will vote 3rd party. Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Reagan04 658 Posted August 20, 2020 Report Share Posted August 20, 2020 2 minutes ago, vcczar said: 9% of 2016 Trump voters will vote for Biden. Hmmm what was that about Kasich not leading an exodus of 10% of the party? Quote Link to post Share on other sites
SilentLiberty 224 Posted August 20, 2020 Report Share Posted August 20, 2020 Proud member of the 28 percenters club. Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Reagan04 658 Posted August 20, 2020 Report Share Posted August 20, 2020 . Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Reagan04 658 Posted August 20, 2020 Report Share Posted August 20, 2020 4 minutes ago, SilentLiberty said: Proud member of the 28 percenters club. 9% wya Quote Link to post Share on other sites
billay 163 Posted August 20, 2020 Report Share Posted August 20, 2020 36 minutes ago, Reagan04 said: Hmmm what was that about Kasich not leading an exodus of 10% of the party? When was this poll done? Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Actinguy 862 Posted August 20, 2020 Report Share Posted August 20, 2020 The real question is where do they live. If this was a poll of swing state voters, that's extremely exciting. But if it's folks who live in NY and CA, it won't get us anywhere. Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Reagan04 658 Posted August 20, 2020 Report Share Posted August 20, 2020 12 minutes ago, Actinguy said: The real question is where do they live. If this was a poll of swing state voters, that's extremely exciting. But if it's folks who live in NY and CA, it won't get us anywhere. Looks to be a national effort Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Conservative Elector 2 333 Posted August 20, 2020 Report Share Posted August 20, 2020 1 hour ago, Reagan04 said: Hmmm what was that about Kasich not leading an exodus of 10% of the party? I'm not sure if these 9% are all attributable just to Kasich. The poll took place before Kasich gave the speech actually. Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Actinguy 862 Posted August 20, 2020 Report Share Posted August 20, 2020 38 minutes ago, Reagan04 said: Looks to be a national effort Yep, I understood. I just meant that it doesn't necessarily mean anything, unless the increase is taking place in the states that could actually sway things. Quote Link to post Share on other sites
vcczar 1,227 Posted August 20, 2020 Author Report Share Posted August 20, 2020 8 minutes ago, Conservative Elector 2 said: I'm not sure if these 9% are all attributable just to Kasich. The poll took place before Kasich gave the speech actually. Kasich has been on TV, radio, internet as the leading GOP NeverTrump for years. I don't think anyone was suggesting that the speech was going to lead to an instant 9% gain in cross over voters. The argument was that a user on this forum didn't think Kasich would help in getting 10% Trump-to-Biden voters and/or flip Ohio Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Conservative Elector 2 333 Posted August 20, 2020 Report Share Posted August 20, 2020 9 minutes ago, vcczar said: Kasich has been on TV, radio, internet as the leading GOP NeverTrump for years. I don't think anyone was suggesting that the speech was going to lead to an instant 9% gain in cross over voters. The argument was that a user on this forum didn't think Kasich would help in getting 10% Trump-to-Biden voters and/or flip Ohio That certainly makes sense. Quote Link to post Share on other sites
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