Jump to content
270soft Forum

Closest State Elections Margins in 21st Century Pres Elections


Recommended Posts

Here are the elections with the closest state margins in presidential elections. Only including states won by less than 1%:

  • 2016 Trump vs Clinton
    • Trump 3: MI, PA, WI --- 0.23%, 0.72%, 0.77%, respectively
    • Clinton 1: NH - 0.37%
    • Note: If all this switched, and if you keep the faithless electors, the election would have been 269-262, Clinton. House would have to decide the election. 
  • 2012: Obama vs. Romney
    • Obama 1: FL - 0.88%
    • Note: Obama would still have won with 303 EVs without FL
  • 2008: Obama vs. McCain
    • Obama 1: NC - 0.32%
    • McCain 1: MO - 0.14%
    • Note: Result would have been about the same if switched. 
  • 2004: Bush vs. Kerry
    • Bush 2: IA, NM -- 0.67%, 0.79%, respectively
    • Kerry 1: WI -- 0.38%
    • Note: Result would have been about the same if switched. 
  • 2000: Bush vs. Gore
    • Bush 1: FL - 0.01%
    • Gore 4: IA, NM, WI, OR - 0.32%, 0.06%, 0.22%, 0.44%
    • Note: This would have been a good trade for Bush. These 4 states have more EVs than FL. 

 

Link to post
Share on other sites

Crazy seeing how close States with now greater Hispanic populations were.

 

If I was a GOP operative, I would have been doing outreach to keep it close, which would also avoid a Blue Texas or Arizona, and perhaps even help in Florida.

Link to post
Share on other sites
21 minutes ago, Kingthero said:

Crazy seeing how close States with now greater Hispanic populations were.

 

If I was a GOP operative, I would have been doing outreach to keep it close, which would also avoid a Blue Texas or Arizona, and perhaps even help in Florida.

The FL hispanic population is very different from the TX and NM populations. I don't know the details but I hear often that what works with Cuban-Americans doesn't work with Mexican-Americans, Columbian-Americans, other Hispanic/Latino Americans. 

Democrats need to be more agrarian friendly, or rather, at least give them more place in rhetoric. 

Link to post
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

Loading...
×
×
  • Create New...