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UK Predictions


2019 UK election poll  

30 members have voted

  1. 1. Which outcome do you think is most likely?

    • Conservative majority
    • Conservative minority
    • Labour majority
    • Labour minority
    • Lib Dem majority
      0
    • Lib Dem minority
      0
    • Brexit Party majority
      0
    • Brexit Party minority
      0
    • Conservative-Brexit Party majority
    • Conservative-Brexit Party minority
      0
    • Labour-SNP majority
    • Labour-SNP minority
    • Other (please specify...)
      0
  2. 2. Who do you support for Prime Minister?

    • Boris Johnson
    • Jeremy Corbyn
    • Jo Swinson
    • Nigel Farage
    • Other (please specify...)


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14 minutes ago, Patine said:

As a BBC election commentator once termed it, "the Magic of First-Past-the-Post."

That isn't wrong. Even NI results would suggest a border poll is possible...SDLP in particularly had a good night. Where Alliance voters would go is the important thing.

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On 12/12/2019 at 1:59 AM, Edouard said:

I give high predictions

Conservatives 354

Labour 217

SNP 45

Lib Dems 16

DUP 8

Sinn Fein 7

Plaid 3

Alliance 1

SDLP 2

Green 1

Last polls indict a surge for Boris.

Final real result

Conservatives 365 (11 higher)

Labour 203 (14 less than my prediction)

Lib Dems 11 (5 less)

SNP 48 (Just 3 more than my prediction)

DUP 8 (exactly the same)

Sinn Fein 7 (exactly the same)

Plaid 4 (1 more than my prediction)

Alliance 1 (exactly the same)

SDLP 2 (exactly the same)

Green 1 (exactly the same)

I misplaced 15 seats out of 650 😛 

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