Guest Posted February 14, 2019 Report Share Posted February 14, 2019 By most measures the following are a list of states that are in play in a competitive election. There are some other states that certainly we could see flip in '20 that went Blue/Red in '16 beyond this list, but almost certainly would only occur in a major victory for one side or the other, and likely wouldn't swing in a competitive election year. So out of this list, long before we even know the two candidates, which states are you calling Blue, which states are you calling Red in '20. Nevada Arizona Minnesota Iowa Wisconsin Michigan Ohio Pennsylvania Florida North Carolina Virginia New Hampshire Maine Georgia Colorado Thoughts? Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Actinguy 862 Posted February 15, 2019 Report Share Posted February 15, 2019 7 hours ago, HonestAbe said: By most measures the following are a list of states that are in play in a competitive election. There are some other states that certainly we could see flip in '20 that went Blue/Red in '16 beyond this list, but almost certainly would only occur in a major victory for one side or the other, and likely wouldn't swing in a competitive election year. So out of this list, long before we even know the two candidates, which states are you calling Blue, which states are you calling Red in '20. Nevada - Blue. Arizona - Red. Minnesota - Blue. Iowa - Red. Wisconsin - Hard to say without knowing the candidates. If we can get a midwestern on the Democrat ticket (Brown, Klobuchar, etc) or possibly even Biden, then blue. Otherwise, I say coin flip. Michigan - Blue. I still don't understand what the fuck happened here in 2016. Ohio - Red. Pennsylvania - Blue. Florida - Red. North Carolina - Red. Virginia - Blue. New Hampshire - Blue. Maine - Blue. Georgia - Red. Colorado - Blue. Thoughts? Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Reagan04 658 Posted February 15, 2019 Report Share Posted February 15, 2019 7 hours ago, HonestAbe said: By most measures the following are a list of states that are in play in a competitive election. There are some other states that certainly we could see flip in '20 that went Blue/Red in '16 beyond this list, but almost certainly would only occur in a major victory for one side or the other, and likely wouldn't swing in a competitive election year. So out of this list, long before we even know the two candidates, which states are you calling Blue, which states are you calling Red in '20. Nevada 70/30 Blue Arizona 60/40 Red Minnesota 55/45 Blue Iowa 70/30 Red Wisconsin 55/45 Blue Michigan 60/40 Blue Ohio 65/35 Red Pennsylvania 60/40 Blue Florida 55/45 Red North Carolina 55/45 Red Virginia 80/20 Blue New Hampshire 60/40 Blue Maine 90/10 Blue Georgia 70/30 Red Colorado 65/35 Blue Thoughts? Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Sunnymentoaddict 39 Posted February 15, 2019 Report Share Posted February 15, 2019 7 hours ago, HonestAbe said: By most measures the following are a list of states that are in play in a competitive election. There are some other states that certainly we could see flip in '20 that went Blue/Red in '16 beyond this list, but almost certainly would only occur in a major victory for one side or the other, and likely wouldn't swing in a competitive election year. So out of this list, long before we even know the two candidates, which states are you calling Blue, which states are you calling Red in '20. Nevada- Likely D Arizona- Lean R Minnesota- Lean D Iowa - tossup Wisconsin - tossup Michigan - toss up Ohio- lean R Pennsylvania - lean D Florida - tossup North Carolina- lean R Virginia- likely D New Hampshire- lean D Maine- lean D Georgia- lean R Colorado- likely D Thoughts? Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Harris/Ernst 2020 0 Posted February 15, 2019 Report Share Posted February 15, 2019 Nevada - Blue (Lean) Arizona - Red (Lean) Minnesota Blue (Likely) Iowa - Red (Likely) Wisconsin - Tossup Michigan - Blue (Lean) Ohio - Red (Likely) Pennsylvania - Blue (Likely) Florida - Red/Tossup North Carolina - Red (Likely) Virginia - Blue (Safe) New Hampshire - Blue (Likely) Maine - Blue (Likely) Georgia - Red (Likely) Colorado - Blue (Likely) Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Conservative Elector 2 333 Posted February 15, 2019 Report Share Posted February 15, 2019 14 hours ago, HonestAbe said: By most measures the following are a list of states that are in play in a competitive election. There are some other states that certainly we could see flip in '20 that went Blue/Red in '16 beyond this list, but almost certainly would only occur in a major victory for one side or the other, and likely wouldn't swing in a competitive election year. So out of this list, long before we even know the two candidates, which states are you calling Blue, which states are you calling Red in '20. Nevada - likely D Arizona - likely R Minnesota - likely D Iowa - likely R Wisconsin - lean R Michigan - likely D Ohio - lean R Pennsylvania - lean D Florida - lean R North Carolina - likely R Virginia - likely D New Hampshire - lean D Maine - likely D Georgia - likely R Colorado - likely D Thoughts? Quote Link to post Share on other sites
jnewt 37 Posted February 15, 2019 Report Share Posted February 15, 2019 On 2/14/2019 at 2:28 PM, HonestAbe said: By most measures the following are a list of states that are in play in a competitive election. There are some other states that certainly we could see flip in '20 that went Blue/Red in '16 beyond this list, but almost certainly would only occur in a major victory for one side or the other, and likely wouldn't swing in a competitive election year. So out of this list, long before we even know the two candidates, which states are you calling Blue, which states are you calling Red in '20. Nevada - likely D Arizona - lean R Minnesota - likely D Iowa - likely R Wisconsin - lean R Michigan - likely D Ohio - likely R Pennsylvania - likely D Florida - lean R North Carolina - likely R Virginia - likely D New Hampshire - likely D Maine - likely D Georgia - lean R Colorado - likely D Thoughts? It obviously depends on who the Presidential and Vice Presidential nominees are, but these predictions are if Kamala Harris is the nominee (because I give her the highest chance of winning the primary right now) and a VP nominee who doesn't help a ton in any particular swing state. Quote Link to post Share on other sites
ThePotatoWalrus 471 Posted February 15, 2019 Report Share Posted February 15, 2019 On 2/14/2019 at 2:28 PM, HonestAbe said: Nevada (Likely D) Arizona (Likely R) Minnesota (Likely D) Iowa (Likely R) Wisconsin (Tossup) Michigan (Lean D) Ohio (Safe R) Pennsylvania (Tossup) Florida (Tossup) North Carolina (Tossup) Virginia (Safe D) New Hampshire (Lean D) Maine (Lean D) Georgia (Likely R) Colorado (Safe D) Nothing too crazy here. Quote Link to post Share on other sites
pilight 237 Posted February 16, 2019 Report Share Posted February 16, 2019 Nevada - DEM Arizona - REP Minnesota - DEM (gone Dem 11 straight elections, no reason to expect a change) Iowa - REP Wisconsin - DEM Michigan - DEM Ohio - This is the bellwether. Ohio has gone to the election winner in each of the last 14 presidential elections . - DEM Pennsylvania - DEM Florida - REP North Carolina - REP Virginia - DEM New Hampshire - DEM Maine - DEM Georgia - REP Colorado - DEM Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Hestia11 590 Posted February 16, 2019 Report Share Posted February 16, 2019 On 2/14/2019 at 1:28 PM, HonestAbe said: By most measures the following are a list of states that are in play in a competitive election. There are some other states that certainly we could see flip in '20 that went Blue/Red in '16 beyond this list, but almost certainly would only occur in a major victory for one side or the other, and likely wouldn't swing in a competitive election year. So out of this list, long before we even know the two candidates, which states are you calling Blue, which states are you calling Red in '20. Nevada- Likely D Arizona- Lean R Minnesota- Likely D Iowa- Lean R Wisconsin- Tossup (Tilt D if I had to pick) Michigan- Lean D Ohio- Likely R Pennsylvania- Tossup (Tilt D) Florida- Tossup (Tilt R) North Carolina- Likely R Virginia- Solid D New Hampshire- Lean D Maine- Likely D Georgia- Likely R Colorado- Solid D Thoughts? Quote Link to post Share on other sites
jvikings1 40 Posted February 16, 2019 Report Share Posted February 16, 2019 On 2/14/2019 at 2:28 PM, HonestAbe said: Nevada - lean D Arizona - lean R (tossup) Minnesota - lean D Iowa - lean R Wisconsin - tilt D (tossup) Michigan - tilt D (tossup) Ohio - likely R Pennsylvania - tilt D (tossup) Florida - lean R (tossup) North Carolina - lean R Virginia - likely D New Hampshire - tilt D (tossup) Maine - lean D Georgia - likely R Colorado - likely D Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Recommended Posts
Join the conversation
You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.