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More 2020 Candidates for my 2020 Scenario


Who is More Likely than Not to Run in 2020?   

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  1. 1. Which of the following Democrats are more likely than not to run for president in 2020? [Note: This is not asking who you want to run in 2020] The big names have already been included in the scenario.

    • Sen. Bernie Sanders VT
    • Mayor Bill de Blasio NY
    • Sen. Tammy Duckworth IL
    • Sen. Al Franken MN
    • Sen. Amy Klobuchar MN
    • Gov. John Hickenlooper CO
    • Fmr Gov. Michael Bloomberg NY
    • Sen. Chris Murphy CT
    • Fmr Gov. Martin O'Malley MD
    • Gov. Andrew Cuomo NY [officially has declined to run]
    • Sen. Tim Kaine VA [officially has declined to run]
    • Rep. Joe Kennedy III MA [officially has declined to run]
    • Mayor Kasim Reed GA [officially has declined to run]
    • Mark Cuban TX [officially has declined to run]
    • Michelle Obama DC [officially has decline to run]
    • VP Joe Biden DE
    • Sen. John Bel Edwards LA
    • Fmr Sen. Russ Feingold WI
    • Sen. Jon Tester MT
    • None of the above are more likely to run than not.
  2. 2. Which of the following Republicans are more likely than not to run for president in 2020? [Note: This is not asking who you want to run in 2020] The big names have already been included in the scenario.

    • Evan McMullin UT
    • Fmr Gov. Sarah Palin AK
    • Fmr Rep. Michelle Bachmann MN
    • Sen. Joni Ernst IA
    • Sen. Mike Lee UT
    • Fmr Mayor Michael Bloomberg NY
    • Kanye West
    • actor Dwayne Johnson CA
    • UN Amb Nikki Haley SC
    • Sen. Tim Scott SC
    • Sen. Susan Collins ME
    • Fmr Sen. Kelly Ayotte NH
    • George P. Bush TX
    • None of the above are more likely than not to run for president
  3. 3. Which of the following Independents/3rd party are more likely than not to run for president in 2020? [Note: This is not asking who you want to run in 2020] The big names have already been included in the scenario.

    • Fmr Mayor Michael Bloomberg NY
    • Mark Cuban [officially has declined to run]
    • Evan McMullin
    • Kanye West
    • Gary Johnson as a Libertarian [officially declined a 3rd attempt]
    • Austin Peterson as a Libertarian
    • Jesse Ventura as a Libertarian
    • Adam Kokesh as a Libertarian
    • William Weld as Libertarian [officially declined]
    • A more puritan/Ron Paul-style Libertarian other than Austin Peterson or Adam Kokesh.
    • A moderate Libertarian other than Gary Johnson, William Weld or Jesse Ventura
    • Jill Stein as a Green
    • Someone other than Jill Stein as Green.
    • None of the above are more likely than not to run for president


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Feel free to offer other suggestions, especially for Libertarian and Green, since I don't know who might run for these parties. 

You can download 2020 Election 1.0 on the website. The big names have already been included. 

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32 minutes ago, CalebsParadox said:

Why? It is INCREDIBLY unlikely that every single one of those candidates will run in 2020...

Yeah, I'm going to disregard his vote on this. He either isn't thinking logically or didn't read the questions. 

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Republicans:

  • Fmr Gov. Sarah Palin AK
  • Fmr Rep. Michelle Bachmann MN
  • UN Amb Nikki Haley SC
  • Fmr Sen. Kelly Ayotte NH
  • Sen. Joni Ernst IA

Democrats: 

  • Sen. Tammy Duckworth IL
  • Sen. John Bel Edwards LA
  • Sen. Jon Tester MT
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22 minutes ago, Dallas said:

Republicans:

  • Fmr Gov. Sarah Palin AK
  • Fmr Rep. Michelle Bachmann MN
  • UN Amb Nikki Haley SC
  • Fmr Sen. Kelly Ayotte NH
  • Sen. Joni Ernst IA

Democrats: 

  • Sen. Tammy Duckworth IL
  • Sen. John Bel Edwards LA
  • Sen. Jon Tester MT

Do you really believe they are all more likely to run than not in 2020?

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6 minutes ago, vcczar said:

Do you really believe they are all more likely to run than not in 2020?

I do. Palin has never ruled out a run for the president. Ernst is a rising, conservative star in the Republican Party and young. Haley would run given she was critical of Trump in the past. Ayotte will probably run as well, given she lost her Senate seat- with the exception if she decides to run for the other seat. And Bachmann ruled out 2016- however, compared to some of the other women that have run (mainly Hillary), she is younger. 

As for the Democrats, I've heard Duckworth could consider a run, and given her win for the Senate seat, that would strengthen her even more so. Gov. Edwards won in a traditionally Republican Louisiana, though probably in due part to the allegations that were being used against his opponent. As for Tester, he would be a establishment favorite (for the Democrats anyway). 

Now that I think about it, Ayyotte may not run- she lost her seat, and most will probably forget about her, unless she was chosen for a spot in the Trump administration. I am just going by speculation and also, the factors and base each of these potential candidates represent. 

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21 hours ago, CalebsParadox said:

I do hold the belief that O'Malley's 2016 run was more of an exploratory attempt for a possible 2020/2024 run, to get some national name recognition. 

I don't think his tactic worked if that was the case. Most people aren't going to remember O'Malley, Webb or Chaffee in 2020. O'Malley didn't do well at all. I think it all depends on what he does between now and then. 

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31 minutes ago, vcczar said:

I don't think his tactic worked if that was the case. Most people aren't going to remember O'Malley, Webb or Chaffee in 2020. O'Malley didn't do well at all. I think it all depends on what he does between now and then. 

O'Malley won 0.5% in the Iowa Democratic caucuses. :D

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