vcczar 1,043 Posted December 11, 2015 Report Share Posted December 11, 2015 I just made a scenario with Trump/Carson as a 3rd party (since both are threatening to bolt). I took their numbers in each state poll, and then halved them. I then subtracted this number from the Republican numbers. As such, the election is a walk for the Democrats, or so it seems: Starting positions-- Clinton/Castro 44.7% 420 EVs (including Red States, AZ, GA, SC, TN, IN) Rubio/Ayotte 26.8% 103 EVs (losing in all battle ground states) Trump/Carson 18.3% 0 EVs Undecided 9.8% 15 EVs (AL and AR are undecided) I hope to have this scenario up soon. Note: I've reduced Clinton's integrity to 2, since the steering council is leaning that way (I think she's a 3). Quote Link to post Share on other sites
vcczar 1,043 Posted December 11, 2015 Author Report Share Posted December 11, 2015 Ok, I've now posted the scenario Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Conservative Elector 2 269 Posted December 11, 2015 Report Share Posted December 11, 2015 Awesome, thanks! I'll test it tomorrow. Quote Link to post Share on other sites
vcczar 1,043 Posted December 11, 2015 Author Report Share Posted December 11, 2015 I'm going to have to update it. Trump's party wasn't on all the ballots. So I need to change that. Quote Link to post Share on other sites
vcczar 1,043 Posted December 12, 2015 Author Report Share Posted December 12, 2015 I've updated this scenario Quote Link to post Share on other sites
garythecat 0 Posted December 13, 2015 Report Share Posted December 13, 2015 I'd say Haley is a more likely running mate for Rubio since Haley is a Governor and doesn't have to worry about a tough re-election this year. So I'd put SC in the Rubio column with that. Quote Link to post Share on other sites
vcczar 1,043 Posted December 13, 2015 Author Report Share Posted December 13, 2015 Well, Rubio is from Florida, so regionally they will probably want someone from somewhere else. The only reason the Dems have SC in this scenario is because of Trump draining away REP votes. Quote Link to post Share on other sites
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