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Iran Issue:

POLLWONK

By POLLWONK,
in General

Iran: How the issue will play out in 2012...  

15 members have voted

  1. 1. Will the issue of Iran grow or shrink in importance in 2012?

    • Yes, this will be the biggest issue! War is coming!
      0
    • Probably, the issue will be of increasing importance, though not the most important. We could see a confrontation between Iran and Israel.
      10
    • Status Quo.Tensions and importance will remain the same over Iran.
      4
    • Probably not... Iran has been threatening us from Day 1.
      1
    • By the 2012 General Election, it will no longer be an issue.
      0

  2. 2. Will there be a confrontation between Israel and Iran or the US and Iran in 2012?

    • Yes. The US and Israel will confront Iran militarily.
      0
    • Yes. Israel will confront Iran militarily with US support.
      4
    • Maybe. Whether or not it will be Israel or the US doing the confronting is yet to be seen.
      6
    • No. The issue will just prolong itself as usual.
      4
    • No. The issue will die out.
      1

  3. 3. If there is a confrontation between Iran and Israel, what will be the most likely action by President Obama?

    • FULL MILITARY INVASION OF IRAN. Expect Obama to use war.
      2
    • MILITARY DEFENSE FOR ISRAEL. Expect Obama to provide defensive shields for Israel.
      7
    • ECONOMIC AND AIR SUPPORT FOR ISRAEL. Expect Obama to use a similar strategy to that of the Libyan campaign.
      11
    • NOTHING. Expect Obama to do nothing about a confrontation.
      1
    • UN CEASEFIRE. Expect Obama to appeal to the UN.
      2

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  • 2 weeks later...
Alfonzo

Alfonzo 117

Posted
Posted

If Iran does gain importance as an issue, it would probably help Obama quite a lot. Obama's foreign policy is really strong, and the last thing any Republican would want is to give Obama the chance to remind people of his foreign policy successes. If it does become an issue, Obama will walk circles around any Republican opponent, and probably resoundingly win a second term.

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ellchicago

ellchicago 353

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If Iran does gain importance as an issue, it would probably help Obama quite a lot. Obama's foreign policy is really strong, and the last thing any Republican would want is to give Obama the chance to remind people of his foreign policy successes. If it does become an issue, Obama will walk circles around any Republican opponent, and probably resoundingly win a second term.

Economy matter, but foreign affairs don't really matter.

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POLLWONK

POLLWONK 375

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While Obama has had moderate success on the foreign stage, it doesn't mean that he will do well in Iran. Right now, his record on Iran doesn't look that good. He hasn't gotten back our drone. He hasn't stopped Iran from developing nuclear power. He hasn't removed Ahmadinejad the nutjob from power.

If Iran does gain importance as an issue, it would probably help Obama quite a lot. Obama's foreign policy is really strong, and the last thing any Republican would want is to give Obama the chance to remind people of his foreign policy successes. If it does become an issue, Obama will walk circles around any Republican opponent, and probably resoundingly win a second term.

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ellchicago

ellchicago 353

Posted
Posted

While Obama has had moderate success on the foreign stage, it doesn't mean that he will do well in Iran. Right now, his record on Iran doesn't look that good. He hasn't gotten back our drone. He hasn't stopped Iran from developing nuclear power. He hasn't removed Ahmadinejad the nutjob from power.

Ayatollah Khamenei has the real power in Iran. He controls the goverment.

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POLLWONK

POLLWONK 375

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Yes Ayatollah is the Supreme Leader, but Ahmadinejad is technically the probelm. Ayatollah was fine when the Iranian president before Ahmadinejad canceled their nuclear program. Its the nutjob Ahmadinejad who is the big problem.

Ayatollah Khamenei has the real power in Iran. He controls the goverment.

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  • 3 weeks later...
  • 2 months later...
POLLWONK

POLLWONK 375

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I disagree with that logic for a few reasons...

-The United States Foreign Policy towards the Middle East has been focused on establishing peace. By attacking or invading Iran, we would only throw the region into a war that could rapidly escalate. It would immediately endanger US Troops in Afghanistan who are already dealing with insurgent attacks. It would destabilize the region to launch a preemptive attack on Iran.

-We would lose all justification for our actions by launching a preemptive strike. The US can say "We stand for peace", but in the end its actions would result in a massive destabilization of the Middle East. That would kill any justification for preemptive strikes.

Even if Iran did strike Israel first, the idea of aiding Israel AND THEN attacking Iran wouldn't work effectively. Instead, Obama (if he's President during such an event) should appeal directly to the United Nations and get a resolution against Iran. Arab Nations like Saudi Arabia and Turkey would give more positive reactions with a UN Resolution. Plus, the whole world would be against Iran rather than the US and Israel.

Probably need to aid Israel first then war Iran on this. :)

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