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An Alternate History Scenario


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Although I don't (yet) have President Forever, a simming friend of mine is designing a scenario I've come up with for the game. The point of divergence is not exactly grand or spectacular, in fact, it's pretty simple.

In 1936, rather than winning everything but Maine and Vermont, FDR sweeps the country and carries home 535 electoral votes. In turmoil, the Republican party splinters between its moderate and archconservative wings, and President Roosevelt manages to get away with his Court packing scheme of 1937.

In 1938, the "Bull Moose" Republicans form their own party, the Whigs, with a major base of operations in the Midwest; eventually displacing the Republicans (who dwindle away into a staunch nationalistic organization by the year of my scenario, 1996).

World War II goes as in our timeline, more or less, with a few changes. In 1944, FDR sees no reason to dump Henry Wallace off the ticket, and this results in Wallace's succession to the Presidency in 1945, which obviously has some rather...bizarre effects on the country. (For example, Joseph P. Kennedy, Jr., who does not die in WWII becomes a Whig as a result of the socialistic policies of President Wallace. JPK will eventually become the first Whig elected to the White House in 1960.)

Wallace establishes several massive changes, universal healthcare, strict size limits on corporations, and issues the Wallace Doctrine, a statement of firm isolation (WWII ends with a seizure of the Japanese homeland by force, and the nuclear bomb is never used, although the USSR detonates their own by 1950). He also integrates the military, and presses for civil rights (at this, the Whigs co-opt the Democratic position, which the Democrats will drop once Wallace leaves the White House for fear of losing the South. Today African-Americans routinely vote for the Whigs.)

By 1996, Communism has expanded across Europe and Asia, and is threatening secular and Islamic reigmes in the Mideast and north Africa. America never fought any wars in Korea, Vietnam, or Nicaragua; and the unchecked rise of Red flags has lead to a divided electorate, uncertain as to where to move. The Whigs and Democrats, with a third-party Republican ticket are presenting their agendas to America in this election.

Economic theories are being tested as well (the Democrats are pressing for an increased minimum wage (already at twelve dollars an hour) while the Whigs are presenting profit-sharing as an alternative).

(There's also some things that were done for the sake of tilting the left/right scale: for example the Whigs generally detest governmental intervention, but will do so in certain cases of moral necessity, i.e. guns, abortion, the death penalty(!), and the environment)

Whig Party

Speaker of the House Glenallen Ryan (W-Ill.)/Senator William Jefferson Blythe, IV (W-Ark.)

Mascot: bull moose

Political Orientation: Right

Regional Base: West Coast, Midwest, Rocky Mountains

 

Favors abolition of abortion

Favors privatization of healthcare

Favors legalization of tobacco and alcohol

Favors race-based affirmative action

Favors the usage of tactical nuclear weapons

Opposes the Wallace Doctrine of isolation

Favors ten-year terms for Supreme Court justices

Opposes the standard use of the death penalty

Favors strict gun regulation

Opposes federalization of state's rights

Opposes strict size limits on corporations

Favors profit-sharing as a means of establishing equality

Opposes a minimum wage as a means of establishing equality

Opposes same-sex marriage

Favors state solutions to environmental hazards

 

The modern day Whig Party is very much the heir to their namesakes, the anti-Jacksonian Whigs of the nineteenth century.  Although generally associated with the new American conservative movement, most Whig positions grow out of a staunch opposition to Democratic policies.  For example, nearly six decades after President Roosevelt successfully "packed" the Supreme Court, the Whigs still demand a constitutional amendment to limit justice terms to ten years.  Similarly, they favor profit-sharing as a general way to get around the current minimum wage of $12 an hour instituted by the Democrats.  Generally seen as a state's rights party, the Whigs have nevertheless come out in favor of Congressional regulation of "morality", such as abortion and guns.

 

Despite the fact that President Henry Wallace is most remembered for beginning the civil-rights movement, the Whigs were the ones who finished it.  Southern Democrats broke ranks with Wallace, and later Adlai Stevenson, and the Whigs co-opted the Democrats on the issue of race as a means to gain the votes of Southern blacks.  Today, some of the most radical Whigs will sometimes recall the Democrats as the party of slavery and Jim Crow laws. 

 

On the subject of the Soviet Union and the spread of Communism across Europe and Asia, the Whigs stand for a type of mutual defense pact with the democratic and nationalistic states of the "free"  Middle East, England and Africa.  With all of Europe save Britain and Spain under red flags, the remaining bastions of liberty must unite.

 

Democratic Party

Senator Joshua Brookley (D-Tenn.)/Governor Bill Watterson (D-Ohio)

Mascot: donkey

Political Orientation: Left

Regional Base: South, New England

 

Favors legal abortion

Opposes privatization of universal healthcare

Favors continued prohibition

Favors means-based affirmative action

Favors immediate disarmament of nuclear weapons

Favors the Wallace Doctrine and military withdrawal

Opposes term limits for Supreme Court justices

Favors nominal use of the death penalty

Opposes any sort of gun control

Favors federalization of state?s rights

Favors strict size limits on corporations

Opposes profit-sharing as a means of establishing equality

Favors a minimum wage as a means of establishing equality

Favors same-sex marriage

Opposes state solutions to environmental hazards

 

The Democratic Party is America?s longest lasting party having defeated the National Republicans, the old Whigs, the Republican Party, and now spars against the new Whigs.  The Democrats of 1996 are an odd group of federalists, socialists, gun-rights activists (and in the South, racist organizations) and liberals.  Generally speaking, the Democrats favor more power on the presidential and federal level, while the Whigs prefer to allocate power to the Congress and the states.

 

The modern day Democrats hail the heroism of Franklin Roosevelt more than Henry Wallace (mostly in order to prevent massive defections amongst their Southern supporters), although the party's approach to economics was undoubtedly influenced by the latter.  Unlike the Whig theories of a lassiez-faire economy, Democrats ascribe to Keynesian economics and press for tough regulation of corporations, including enforcement of legal size limits on businesses.

 

Democrats have strongly opposed gun regulation, mostly for the benefit of securing the votes of lower and middle-class whites in the Deep South, holding the Democratic line of support in Alabama, Mississippi and South Carolina.

 

In relations with the Soviet Union and the new Communist states, the Democrats stand behind their isolationist stance that the United States should not engage in foreign conflicts unless directly attacked, as in the case of World War II, the last war that America fought.  Communism will only be a threat to America when and if the U.S. is attacked by the Union of Soviet Socialist Republics. 

-------

Hobbes

Nothing Like a Good Cause

Just like to suggest that everyone visits www.xs4all.nl/~myranya/help4free.html where your click on any of listed sites helps pay for a donation sponsored by businesses with adbanners on the page towards certain causes (e.g. www.thehungersite.com helps fight hunger, www.thebirthsite.com helps impoverished pregnant mothers, www.thebiblesite.org gives Bibles to persecuted Christians). You can also find links to help “use your computer to help process some information. You download the client and a small packet of data, process it either while your computer is idle or run the program in the background, then send the results back to the server and retrieve a new data packet.

And please visit my own website at http://www.geocities.com/cal4hobbes an essay on whether or not science has disproven faith.

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Problem!

Here's the electorate trends thingy:

//

// NUMBER OF PARTIES

//

// the number of blocks will then be:

//

// number of parties * 2, + 2

//

// (+ 2 because of the undecided and none blocks)

// each party that is established has 2 blocks, a LEANING block and

// a COMMITTED block

4

//

// PARTY NAMES

//

// in 2000, these 4 were:

Democratic

Whig

Republican

Pax Liberatis

//

// NUMBER OF REGIONS - MAXIMUM OF 70

//

// for this scenario, that means how many states (plus 1 for the

// District of Columbia)

51

//

// BLOCK PERCENTAGE RANDOMIZATION

//

// percentages below are randomized slightly for each game, according

// to the following variable x:

1

// this means the maximum percentage change in any given party will be

// x, with an average of x/2

// in this case, x=2, so the average percentage change would be 2/2,

// that is, 1

//

// PERCENTAGE FOR EACH BLOCK FOR EACH REGION

//

// 40

// 50

// 60

// 55

// ... (and so on for the other parties) ...

// would mean:

// 40% of voters who don't consider themselves undecided

// or none (alienated) are with (in this case since 'Republican' was

// listed first) the Republican party, and 50% of those are COMMITTED

// Republicans, while 50% are LEANING Republicans

// 60% of voters ... are with (in this cas since 'Democratic' was

// listed second) the Democratic party, and 55% of those are COMMITTED

// Democrats, while 45% are LEANING Democrats

// when playing, if one of these parties is not selected, the

// percentage of people in that block go to the undecided block

// or to other parties

// if the numbers for all parties > 100, then they are distributed

// relative to the total (so 50/150 would mean 33% of voters who

// aren't alienated or undecided)

// finally, add the number of undecideds and number of none (alienated)

// so,

// 20

// 0

// would mean 20% of the electorate is undecided, 0% none

// put a @ after each region's stats, so the program knows if you've

// goofed and put too many/not enough numbers in for that region

// Bush, Gore, Nader, Buchanan, Undecided

// Alabama 1

//Democrats

59

80

//Whigs

40

80

//Republicans

1

80

//Pax Liberatis-ers

0

80

//Undecided and None

20

0

@

// Alaska 2

53

80

47

80

0

80

0

80

20

0

@

// Arizona 3

49

80

51

80

0

80

0

80

20

0

@

// Arkansas 4

46

80

54

80

0

80

0

80

20

0

@

// California 5

50

80

50

80

0

80

0

80

20

0

@

// Colorado 6

55

80

45

80

0

80

0

80

20

0

@

// Connecticut 7

54

80

46

80

0

80

0

80

20

0

@

// Delaware 8

49

80

50

80

1

80

0

80

20

0

@

// Florida 9

48

80

52

80

0

80

0

80

20

0

@

// Georgia 10

60

80

40

80

0

80

0

80

20

0

@

// Hawaii 11

40

80

60

80

0

80

0

80

20

0

@

// Idaho 12

42

80

58

80

0

80

0

80

20

0

@

// Illinois 13

50

80

50

80

0

80

0

80

20

0

@

// Indiana 14

53

80

47

80

0

80

0

80

20

0

@

// Iowa 15

56

80

43

80

1

80

0

80

20

0

@

// Kansas 16

50

80

48

80

2

80

0

80

20

0

@

// Kentucky 17

51

80

49

80

0

80

0

80

20

0

@

// Louisiana 18

55

80

45

80

0

80

0

80

20

0

@

// Maine 19

35

80

35

80

30

80

0

80

20

0

@

// Maryland 20

50

80

50

80

0

80

0

80

20

0

@

// Massachusetts 21

54

80

46

80

0

80

0

80

20

0

@

// Michigan 22

44

80

56

80

0

80

0

0

20

0

@

// Minnesota 23

47

80

53

80

0

80

0

80

20

0

@

// Mississippi 24

59

80

41

80

0

80

0

80

20

0

@

// Missouri 25

52

80

48

80

0

80

0

80

20

0

@

// Montana 26

40

80

60

80

0

80

0

80

20

0

@

// Nebraska 27

49

80

51

80

0

80

0

80

20

0

@

// Nevada 28

47

80

53

80

0

80

0

80

20

0

@

// New Hampshire 29

52

80

47

80

1

80

0

80

20

0

@

// New Jersey 30

50

80

50

80

0

80

0

80

20

0

@

// New Mexico 31

45

80

55

80

0

80

0

80

20

0

@

// New York 32

50

80

50

80

0

80

0

80

20

0

@

// North Carolina 33

58

80

42

80

0

80

0

80

20

0

@

// North Dakota 34

46

80

52

80

2

80

0

80

20

0

@

// Ohio 35

47

80

53

80

0

80

0

80

20

0

@

// Oklahoma 36

51

80

49

80

0

80

0

80

20

0

@

// Oregon 37

43

80

56

80

1

80

0

80

20

0

@

// Pennsylvania 38

49

80

49

80

2

80

0

80

20

0

@

// Rhode Island 39

60

80

32

80

8

80

0

80

20

0

@

// South Carolina 40

58

80

41

80

0

80

1

80

20

0

@

// South Dakota 41

50

80

49

80

1

80

0

80

20

0

@

// Tennessee 42

53

80

47

80

0

80

0

80

20

0

@

// Texas 43

49

80

49

80

2

80

0

80

20

0

@

// Utah 44

47

80

52

80

1

80

0

80

20

0

@

// Vermont 45

34

80

32

80

34

80

0

80

20

0

@

// Virginia 46

50

80

49

80

1

80

0

80

20

0

@

// Washington, D.C. 48

53

80

46

80

1

80

0

80

20

0

@

// Washington 47

48

80

51

80

0

80

1

80

20

0

@

// West Virginia 49

49

80

49

80

2

80

0

80

20

0

@

// Wisconsin 50

48

80

52

80

0

80

0

80

20

0

@

// Wyoming 51

48

80

51

80

0

80

1

80

20

0

@

But here's what the map comes out as:

hobbes1996_randomness.png

SOS :(

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