Jump to content
270soft Forum

Washington Senate 2010


Recommended Posts

While I wait to see what's going on with my old elections scenarios (I may have to send them into TheorySpark if no one on this forum can help he), I thought I'd do this little scenario, built largely from my Washington Gubernatorial 2008 scenario. I would use the issues from the 2010 Congress Forever scenarios and include many of the same endorsers, as well as the same counties and such. My candidates would thus be:

DEMOCRATIC

Senator Pat Murray

Bob Burr

Charles Allen

Mike the Mover

Goodspaceguy

REPUBLICAN

Dino Rossi

Clint Didier

Paul Akers

Mike Latimer

William Edward Chovil

Norma D. Gruber

REFORM

Will Baker

CENTRIST

Mohammed Hassan Said

NON-PARTISAN

James "Skip" Mercer

Schalk Leonard

Any suggestions or ideas?

Link to comment
Share on other sites

I suggest that you add some candidates that didn't run.

Republicans

-AG Rob McKenna

-Rep Cathy McMorris Rodgers

-Rep Dave Reichert

-St Rep Matt Shea

-St Rep Jaime Herrera

-St Sen Cheryl Pflug

-St Sen Don Benton

Democrats

-Rep Jay Inslee

-St Rep Dave Upthegrove

-St Sen Lisa Brown

-St Sen Margarita López Prentice

Progressive Democrat

-St Rep Brendan Williams

  • Upvote 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

I suggest that you add some candidates that didn't run.

Republicans

-AG Rob McKenna

-Rep Cathy McMorris Rodgers

-Rep Dave Reichert

-St Rep Matt Shea

-St Rep Jaime Herrera

-St Sen Cheryl Pflug

-St Sen Don Benton

Democrats

-Rep Jay Inslee

-St Rep Dave Upthegrove

-St Sen Lisa Brown

-St Sen Margarita López Prentice

Progressive Democrat

-St Rep Brendan Williams

I certainly could use a few of them, off by default, of course. But does a Progressive Democrat really need to be in a seperate party? I see no evidence of that in the Washington state legislature roster.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

I've now got the candidates (including the off-by-default ones) mostly done. I now just need a county-by-county percentage breakdown of the primary results and the current polls (also county-by-county) between Rossi and Murray. Does anyone know where I could find such things?

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Okay, here's my alpha version for playtest to make sure I'm on the right track. There's so far no events and the issue prioritization may be a bit wonky (it hasn't yet been edited). Also, I plan to reword the Health Care, Immigration, Iraq, and possibly War on Terror issue stances for the final version, however they're at 2008 defaults for now. Please do not turn on the off-by-default candidates for this version; they don't have starting percentages yet, though feel free to read their bios. Please enjoy, and give comments and criticisms here. Download below.

http://drop.io/1g08hzj

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Downloaded.

Will test it.

Okay, right in the middle of my first try.

First impression: Looks very good, one of the most hard fought battles I ever had.

I (Rossi) made a few mistakes in the first turns by focusing on Didier rather than start to hammer Murray right away.

That gave her a solid lead in Kings County and Snohomish County.

Which brings me to my other point:

I don't know enough about WA ... aren't 434 ev for KC a bit too much?

August 2nd:

Murray is ten points ahead at 54%.

It is impossible to break into her stronghold of Kings County.

EDIT:

Second try.

Once again, I'm impersonating Rossi.

Focusing only on seven county, all above 50 EVs.

Doing good so far and have opened an early lead over Murray on March 22nd.

April 19th:

Rossi - Murray: 49,4% - 43,5%

7,1% undecided.

The key to victory is really to get an early(!) lead in the counties with the most EV.

The only competitive county right now is Kitsap County which is tied right now.

Kings County is impossible to win for a Rossi.

EDIT:

June 7th:

50,4-46,6%.

Rossi - Murray

Kitsap County and Snohomish County are the only two counties (with over 50 ev) which are competitive.

But Murray's not able to pull ahead, but neither am I.

Like I've said above: The key is an early lead in the important counties.

Forget about the smaller ones and focuse on the with over 50 evs.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Downloaded.

Will test it.

Okay, right in the middle of my first try.

First impression: Looks very good, one of the most hard fought battles I ever had.

I (Rossi) made a few mistakes in the first turns by focusing on Didier rather than start to hammer Murray right away.

That gave her a solid lead in Kings County and Snohomish County.

Which brings me to my other point:

I don't know enough about WA ... aren't 434 ev for KC a bit too much?

August 2nd:

Murray is ten points ahead at 54%.

It is impossible to break into her stronghold of Kings County.

EDIT:

Second try.

Once again, I'm impersonating Rossi.

Focusing only on seven county, all above 50 EVs.

Doing good so far and have opened an early lead over Murray on March 22nd.

April 19th:

Rossi - Murray: 49,4% - 43,5%

7,1% undecided.

The key to victory is really to get an early(!) lead in the counties with the most EV.

The only competitive county right now is Kitsap County which is tied right now.

Kings County is impossible to win for a Rossi.

EDIT:

June 7th:

50,4-46,6%.

Rossi - Murray

Kitsap County and Snohomish County are the only two counties (with over 50 ev) which are competitive.

But Murray's not able to pull ahead, but neither am I.

Like I've said above: The key is an early lead in the important counties.

Forget about the smaller ones and focuse on the with over 50 evs.

King County is meant to have that many EV's. I gave each county 1 EV for each roughly 4000 residents and King County (where Seattle is) is by far the largest county in population in Washington State, hugely dwarfing the others, and is, in fact, the 14th largest county in pop in the whole US.

Ignoring Didier as Rossi and focussing on Murray is a good tactic, and is exactly what Rossi did in RL. Most candidates have little or no chance of succeeding; that may change when I finish the off-by-default ones. Good playtest, though! Thank-you muchly. If anyone else has playtested this and has criticisms or comments, please post.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Updated version posted below. Changes include:

-Title being run for changed from Governor to Senator.

-Health Care and Iraq issues reworded from 2008 defaults.

-Issue priority fixed.

-Regional issue centres updated.

-Mike Latimer's home county fixed.

-Off-by-default candidates now have starting percentages.

http://drop.io/gt42ox2

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Ah, sorry, forgot about the test report.

First game:

I (Rossi) had the Reformer, the Centrist and the Progressive Democrats enabled.

My strategy was the same: Focus on Murray, forget about the primaries.

It worked and I won by a razor thin margin, thanks to the three independent candidates.

It was a very tight race which is very realistic in my view.

Second game:

Same setup, but this time, Murray mad a last minute comeback and defeated me.

Overall: Very balanced and portrays the WA election very accurately.

Good scenario, thank you very much :)

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

 Share

×
×
  • Create New...