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Found 3 results

  1. I've made some updates to the 2018 House of Representatives campaign on the Campaigns page. 1. Updated incumbents Added special election winners Updated committee chairs Input some newly-declared challengers 2. MAGA Party Challenging moderate/liberal Republicans On ballot in districts where... Trump carried by 20+ points and either Democrat incumbent or GOP under 80% by Heritage Scorecard 3. "TBD" in districts where GOP/Dem has targeted but no formal declared candidates. Non-targeted districts are "off ballot" if no one has declared. 4. If DCCC or RNCC has a district in a "frontline program" for extra support (source ballotpedia), I raised Candidate Strength by 1 5. Region percentages: GOP% = 50 + Cook PVI + Cook Prediction * *Cook Prediction: Likely GOP +8 Lean GOP +5 Tossup GOP +1 Tossup Dem -1 Lean Dem -5 Likely Dem -8
  2. Announcing a new campaign - What if all candidates ran as independents and we literally had a five or six-way race in the general? http://campaigns.270soft.com/2016/10/22/2016-all-independents/ I also updated my Libertarian 2020 campaign (maybe I should change that name at this point) to reflect what I think may feel regardless of the current election - the fracturing of both the Democrats (spinning off the Globalist Party which then merges with the Green Party) and Republicans (spinning off the Trumpian Populist Nationalists and the Ted Cruz / Mike Lee Constitutional Conservatives. I'm still experimenting with the percentages, as I'm trying to do this such that when combining the Liberal (Dem, Glob) and Conservative (GOP, Const, PopNat), their totals are competitive with each other. The establishment Democrat and Republican parties have taken major hits. If you have any suggestions for candidates for these parties, please let me know. http://campaigns.270soft.com/2016/09/14/2020-the-libertarian-revolution/
  3. This poll is for a 2020 campaign I'm working on. What category would you place the following potential GOP candidates in? (select one or more). I may have to split this in several polls since I can only do three at a time.
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