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brianappel

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Posts posted by brianappel

  1. I think it's a fun idea, and I'm a huge supporter of a united left party.

    But the reality, of course, is that, while the Liberals may occasionally take a left-leaning position on certain issues, their policy is basically shaped by their leader. Under Trudeau, they were more left-wing, under Turner they were more right-wing, etc.

    All in all, though, the Liberals are not about policy so much as power. They cater to whatever positions are likely to win power and then keep them in power. Typically, they fill voids.

    A United Left party would be more likely with the NDP and BQ moreso than NDP and Liberals.

    A more realistic proposition would be a United Left party made up of the NDP, certain Liberals and certain Bloc members, with a few Green people thrown in too. Leave the Liberal Party and BQ as seperate, but somewhat weaker, parties.

    I dunno. Ultimately, there's no 100% sure way of making a United Left party seem realistic, at least in the context of current Canadian politics. But fill your boots, dude...

  2. I've found some remnant issues with the 2006 scenario even after the last update...

    - British Columbia Southern Interior is still listed as Southern Interior

    - Several of the minor parties candidates are still either wrong or not listed

    And a few things that are not really errors, but still kind of make me wonder...

    - It's pretty impossible for the Liberals to have the level of decline that they've actually had in this election.

    - The Bloc Quebecois are still way too powerful and manage to finish with 67-68 seats way too easily.

    - The NDP are way too strong and, without any sort of cheating at all, will finish with 30-40 seats.

    - The Green Party is way too strong and frequently get over 20% in ridings that they would never do so IRL...like I've had the Green Party beat Stockwell Day in Okanagan-Coquihalla and get over 20% in BC Southern Interior, Okanagan-Shuswap and Abbotsford.

  3. conmin.jpg

    I think this is a little more realistic of what will likely happen.

    Provincial breakdown:

    Newfoundland & Labrador:

    L: 4

    C: 2

    NDP: 1 (L & C split the vote in Bonavista-Gander-Grand Falls-Windsor and the NDP won it by less than 1%)

    PEI:

    L: 4

    C: 0

    N: 1 (NDP won Charlottetown by a few votes)

    NS:

    L: 5

    C: 3

    N: 3 (Dartmouth-Cole Harbour back to the NDP :) )

    NB:

    L: 6

    C: 2

    N: 2 (Madawska-Restigouche was the 2nd one)

    PQ:

    L: 10

    C: 1 (Cannon won his seat, but Tories came within a percentage of winning 4 other seats)

    BQ: 64 (Ahuntsic, Jeanne-Le Ber, Outremont and Honore-Mercier all went Bloc)

    ON:

    L: 33 (Ignatieff won his seat, barely)

    C: 46 (Including 6 seats in Toronto)

    N: 27

    MN:

    L: 2

    C: 7 (Alcock lost his seat to the Tories)

    N: 4 (Schreyer barely won his seat)

    I: 1 (Bev won her seat by 1%)

    SK:

    L: 1

    C: 11

    N: 2 (Nystrom and Wiebe won their seats)

    AB:

    L: 1 (Anne managed to hold on by less than 1%)

    C: 27

    BC:

    L: 4

    C: 22 (Tories beat Keith Martin)

    N: 9 (NDP won Victoria, Vancouver Centre, Vancouver Kingsway and Surrey North)

    I: 1 (Zeisman won his seat by 2%)

    Territories:

    L: Nunavut

    N: NWT and Yukon

    Final:

    L: 70

    C: 121

    N: 51

    BQ: 64

    I: 2

    This result is entirely within the realm of possibility.

  4. libmajority.jpg

    Basically, all I did was campaign in Ontario and Quebec constantly.

    Notables:

    - Jack Layton and Olivia Chow both lost their seats.

    - Marc Garneau and Michael Ignatieff won their seats

    - The NDP lost every seat east of Manitoba

    - Bev Desjarlais won Churchill

  5. It still seems like there are glaring issues with it.

    First off, Jim Pankiw is still listed as a candidate in Saskatoon-Humboldt, as the incumbent no less. Pankiw is actually running as an Independant in Battlefords-Lloydminister, definately not as the incumbent.

    Also, it seems like the support percentages are out of whack. It's still way too easy for the NDP to win 50+ seats without even trying, plus Coyne is a little too competitive in Toronto-Danforth.

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