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Showing content with the highest reputation since 11/04/2021 in Posts

  1. Senate 2020 leaders list pretty much finalized. The Senate 2020 campaign will become the basis for the 2022 campaign. Republican Mitch McConnell (Senate Majority Leader) Rand Paul (Libertarian faction leader) Todd Young (NRSC Chair) Mitt Romney (Anti-Trump faction leader) Ted Cruz (Social conservatives faction leader) Joni Ernst (Purple-state faction leader) Chuck Grassley (old but crafty) Democrat Chuck Schumer (Senate Minority Leader) Cortez Masto (DSCC Chair) Joe Manchin (Blue Dog faction leader) Kyrsten Sinema (Centrist faction leader) Elizabeth Warren (Progressive faction leader) Cory Booker (Urban faction leader) Bernie Sanders (Populist progressive faction leader) Sherrod Brown (Moderate faction leader)
    4 points
  2. I hate announcing this on a thread like this, but it is Congress Infinity related, so..... I'm excited to announce that soon my Michigan Single State (U.S. House) maps (from 1970s-2010s) "series" are almost complete! When done, I'll release all of the Michigan Maps as a single map pack!
    3 points
  3. A more perfect union
    2 points
  4. 2 points
  5. I am 100% certain Trump wants to run again. This flows from everything I've seen about his psychology. There are only 2 things I can see that will stop that. 1. Health issues. 2. Blackmail.
    2 points
  6. I have created a Congress Infinity specific Custom Map thread in the appropriate forum! If you wnat the maps directly, go there to get them! First posted is California!
    2 points
  7. Congress Infinity-related news for yall.... The 2013-2022 maps for California, Ohio, and PA (at least the post 2017 redraw) are done! The CA one was the biggest project this year for me, and I'm glad for it to be done.
    2 points
  8. If Beto loses the Governor election for the Democrats, he will become the Martha McSally of the Democratic party.
    2 points
  9. Montana's official map has released, netting Republicans 1 (possible) new House Seat, making up for the one they lost in West Virginia. Also persoanl map-making update-I used the 538 California map to make images for a possible Single State Map for California. Next will probably be the Colorado map. The CA map isn't drawn, I just have the possible base map on my hard drive.
    2 points
  10. I'm doing significant work on the Endorsers XML integration code (it's a mess, code that was from many years ago when it was ported), as that will be required when adding to the Endorser Editor Screen.
    2 points
  11. He's a politician. He was initially leaning Populist until he got the GOP nomination, and then he went fusionist once nominated. Who knows how he'll operate. His reluctance to embrace Trump is most often cited as the reason he won. Held him at an arm's length but did so skillfully, so as not to upset MAGA people. This isn't uncommon at all. It reminds me how Presidents veer away from how they campaigned. Lincoln campaigned as moderate, veered left on spending, Civil Rights, education, etc. He was still more moderate than Radical Republicans, but he veered off from his containment strategy. Hayes campaigned as a more moderate version of a Radical Republican, but then he pretty much abandoned anything resembling a Radica Republican and went even more to center. He was kind pinned into this position though. Taft campaigned as a TR Progressive and went moderate-to-conservative in action. FDR campaigned as a moderate Democrats in 1932 and went Progressive. JFK campaigned as a moderate Democrat in 1960 and went more liberal. Nixon campaigned as a conservative and his rhetoric was generally conservative, but he was often liberal as president. Obama claimed in an interview that Nixon was more liberal than him in many ways. Carter was more liberal as president than as he campaigned. Reagan's campaign was very conservative, but he compromised a lot as president. He was kind of forced into this because of Democratic dominance of Congress, however. Clinton's odd because he wanted to be more liberal than as the moderate campaigned as but Gingrich sort of held him in place. Bush campaigned as a moderate but operated more to the right as president. Obama operate more to the center than as he advertised himself to be. Staying with the Primary to General dynamic, you may remember that Joe Biden was the moderate of the Democratic 2020 primaries. Then at the convention, he started embracing a bunch of liberal to progressive policies. Basically, Youngkin is using routine political behavior. I'm curious how DeSantis operates in a primary to general, if he gets there. I'm actually hoping Trump will be the nominee because he's more beatable than DeSantis or Youngkin, if they faced Biden in 2024.
    2 points
  12. Chris Sununu (R-NH, Gov.) will not run for Senate, and instead remain in the race for Governor. Pundits predict this has caused the seat (Hassan, Dem) to move back to Democratic. It was possibly Repbulican with Sununu considering a run. The reason I'm posting this here is because this is important news for the 2022 scenario.
    2 points
  13. He’s definitely more similar than Trump. He’s basically a Trump that’s got it more together and knows when to keep his mouth shut. He isn’t making GOP enemies.
    2 points
  14. If you notice her net disapproval is only -2 to Biden’s which suggest a huge number had no opinion. It’s definitely not ideal. Might be an outlier poll since it is so extreme. Only B+ poll, according to 538 too. Also poll predates thee policy success and the climate conference. In another forum, I brought this poll up. If it is Accurate and the approval is the same after midterms, I voted to have Biden, Harris, and the whole administration back out of a 2024 run. However, Biden will likely be somewhere between 43% and 47%. Harris shouldn’t run unless she can rise up to 50% which she won’t be able to do.
    2 points
  15. Biden finally got some good news with a positive jobs report for the economy. Let’s see if this improves his approval by at least a point. Might be cancelled out by him dosing off at a climate conference. They need to get him one of those 9-hour energy things. It’s like he’s not taking any initiative to get his approval up. Frustrating.
    2 points
  16. The most obvious effect it has is you don't have poll %s and can't get on the ballot outside of your region(s).
    2 points
  17. Ya, the variable was there already, but not accessible through the Editor and not doing everything that needed to be done re the game engine.
    2 points
  18. I am working on a new Kickstarter project for a bit ... more details soon.
    1 point
  19. Saw a poll asking if they think airlines will have mandatory masks in 2023 and 65-70% said yes. If this is the new "reality" we will be in forever no way Biden will win. What is he going to run on?? At least DeSantis GOP can say they want to totally move on from this COVID thing, Dems are on the wrong side of that the more we go into the future.
    1 point
  20. Note that tweet is being censored by Twitter. Of course.
    1 point
  21. I think very quickly Dems would energize against Trump, even if Biden continues to do a poor job.
    1 point
  22. I like RFK Jr aside from his vaccine stances. He taught at Pace University when I taught there.
    1 point
  23. Jordan Schachtel's latest piece on this is probably worth reading. https://dossier.substack.com/p/nu-variant-hysteria-originated-with?token=eyJ1c2VyX2lkIjoxMzUzNDU4MiwicG9zdF9pZCI6NDQ2MjAxMTIsIl8iOiJWb21iWSIsImlhdCI6MTYzNzk0ODcxOSwiZXhwIjoxNjM3OTUyMzE5LCJpc3MiOiJwdWItNjkwMDkiLCJzdWIiOiJwb3N0LXJlYWN0aW9uIn0.VF7PDx2mH-o0ymUzsJHt_Wq-YCh3LW6nLDMP3yjX62w But of course 'vaccine' evading variants are going to arise. What do people think Pfi$er and Mod$rna's plans were from the beginning, a one and done? They want recurring payments, backed by injection passes that raise compliance rates to > 90%. They then turn a significant % of that money right back around to increase their influence, including further regulatory capture.
    1 point
  24. more confirmation trump is running https://twitter.com/JackPosobiec/status/1463350782812737538?s=20
    1 point
  25. https://www.politico.com/news/2021/11/23/trump-2024-map-523230 As Donald Trump builds out a presidential-campaign-in-waiting, his team is focusing on an electoral strategy that relies on recapturing the five states that flipped to Joe Biden in 2020. The five states — Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin — delivered a total of 73 electoral votes in 2020, enough to produce a decisive Electoral College victory for Biden. Since then, Trump has held four rallies, endorsed dozens of candidates and played a key role in shaping contests that could put his allies in top offices in those states in 2024. According to the poll, a memo of which was obtained by POLITICO, the former president led Biden in Arizona by 8 percentage points, Georgia by 3 points, Michigan by 12 points, Pennsylvania by 6 points and Wisconsin by 10 points. Biden has also publicly said he plans to run for reelection. The super PAC supporting him, Unite The Country, is similarly gearing up in the five states the Trump campaign has focused on, first with an eye on the midterms and then the presidential race in 2024. “Our official posture is that this is all about the midterms, and in some ways it is,” said one Trump adviser who spoke anonymously and was not authorized to comment on his behalf. “But this is all about Trump and the movement and what happens in 2024. Trump wants a rematch so badly with Biden he can taste it.”
    1 point
  26. Awful to hear about this. Especially given the news that Jesse Jackson was headed to Wisconsin today to lead protests following the Rittenhouse verdict. Not good.
    1 point
  27. "Old but crafty" that is so funny!
    1 point
  28. Let's go Brandon!!! I'm sure these numbers will get better with time https://www.politico.com/news/2021/11/17/poll-biden-mental-fitness-job-approval-522785 Only 40 percent of voters surveyed agreed with the statement that Biden “is in good health,” while 50 percent disagreed. That 10-percentage-point gap — outside the poll’s margin of error — represents a massive 29-point shift since October 2020, when Morning Consult last surveyed the question and found voters believed Biden was in good health by a 19-point margin. Asked whether Biden is mentally fit, voters are almost evenly split, with 46 percent saying he is and 48 percent disagreeing. But that negative 2-point margin stands in stark contrast to Biden’s numbers last October, when voters believed he was mentally fit by a 21-point margin.
    1 point
  29. Regions have been named, located, and targeted. Next up, %s and candidate names (for Dems/Reps only for now).
    1 point
  30. I’m not really sure. Good question. He’d probably do well eventually. I think the first ones eliminated would be more conservative or fringe, both going mostly to Biden or Sanders. When the more mainstream people start getting cut, then I think Booker rises. Where I think he would do very well is in the old convention style assuming Biden can’t get the votes but is still in first. Biden would be dropped if he has no path forward. At this point, Booker would probably surge up. Warren might get more votes too. Sanders could drop out and potentially overtake Booker because Buttigieg would probably try to stay in, holding potential Booker votes. Warren is kind of a hybrid of Sanders and mainstream which helps her. Booker would win if mainstream greatly outnumbers progressives, especially if Buttigieg drops out to push Booker over the top. I’d say In 2020, the strongest candidates below the surface (broad backup candidate support) was probably Booker and Warren. Not sure where Harris would be.
    1 point
  31. I'm putting "other" for now. Here's how I view it: Joe Biden will be strongest if he can get his approval back to 45% nationally. Incumbency is very powerful as we saw from Trump, who was competitive despite being a 42%er or so. Kamala Harris. I see now situation in which she's competitive, except if Biden is forced to retire and she does really well as president leading up through the election. Pete Buttigieg. If Biden's approval isn't good, then he won't do well as he's part of the administration. If Biden gets to about 50% somehow, and doesn't run for president, then Buttigieg could win. His likely path is to resign before midterms and become a critic of the administration, but that might hurt him with Democrat supporters, so scratch that. I think Buttigieg has to play for 2028. I could see Biden opting not to run, then have an approval spike, and then declare Buttigieg his successor rather than Harris. That's an outside chance though. AOC. She will excite LW independents and progressives, but she'll see an equal force run against her. Imagine if you merged Bernie Sanders with Hillary Clinton. I think, electorally speaking, the downside of her running is too strong. I say this as someone who is ideologically similar to her. I'm both an idealist and a realist. Sherrod Brown would potentially be strong. He's kind of a likable, common guy that's extremely blue color. It's hard to really hate the guy, if not impossible. Might be the best bet in a tough election. He's getting old now though. Tulsi Gabbard. She's more of a 3rd party-type than AOC. I think as a nominee she'd be a disaster. You'd have almost no support from rank-and-file Democrats, but she'd have a horde of voters who are generally non-voters. You'll have an odd situation of having a high Populist turnout across the spectrum but low moderate and registered Democrat turnout. I don't see her winning any states that are battleground. Elizabeth Warren. Any many ways, an ideal person for president, I think. However, she's too old. 70+ year old Lisa Simpson will have a hard time inspiring some Demographics. I'm not sure she'll be able to keep Obama-to Trump-to Biden voters. She's a perfect foil for Trump. She might do better against DeSantis. I'd love to see her in debates in a general election, she'd tear Trump or DeSantis to pieces, but she'll never get there. Al Franken. This might sound completely ludicrous but hear me out. This candidacy only works if Trump is the nominee. Al Franken is a professional comedian. He is sharp-witted and funny. His weakness is his scandal, but that's going to have basically no effect versus Trump for obvious reasons. Imagine a debate in which Franken is stating both profound things and routinely humiliating Trump in extremely comical ways. If anyone can make Trump look like a loser to some of his own supporters it's going to be someone that can use sharp-witted humor. You may remember that I was advocating Al Franken for president on this forum in 2015. Once he was taken out by scandal, I mentioned that I thought it was the first step to a potential Trump victory (even though at the time I was still certain Democrats would win). Do I think Franken will run in 2024? No. I'm 98% sure he won't. I just think him or someone like him--that has both brains and a sharp sense of humor--is what Democrats need. Humor falls into the rhetorical appeal to pathos (emotions). People are more likely to like someone that makes them laugh, even if they might disagree with them. There might be a reason why Ukraine elected a comedian to their highest office.
    1 point
  32. Cosidering hes been there since my Parents were 4 years old when he was elected about time!
    1 point
  33. there was no friggin family emergency. If anything he should just say his kids were crying about halloween which even that is dubious.. Him getting flu and covid booster at the same time was ill advised and most likely the issue but of course this guy is the most disingenuous democrat today
    1 point
  34. Agreed. My guess is by the time the wedding was happening, he was feeling better. Wedding had nothing to do with the COP trip IMO.
    1 point
  35. Match 1 DEM: Joe Biden & Kamala Harris REP: Donald Trump & Mike Pence LIB: Jo Jorgensen & Spike Cohen GRN: Howie Hawkins & Angela Walker
    1 point
  36. I’m in agreement there. I think the Democrats should always continue to be the party of labor and the working class, which also means giving farmers and rural workers a large voice in the party. This is definitely an area where the party fails. I think the struggle is how to do it when urban and suburban turnout is easier to do and probably more predictable. Biden won because of high urban and suburban turnout. Hillary Clinton underperformed. Theoretically, Democrats feel they don’t need rural sections if they can just get urbanites to the polls and convince enough suburbanites to vote Democrat. However, I certainly think there needs to be a return to rural voters—not because it’s necessarily a winning strategy—but because it’s the right thing to do. You can’t claim to be the leaders of a democratic America if you’re ignoring an important group of people. I’d have as many surrogates with rural roots as possible make the rounds. I think someone from IA would be a great VP pick for an urban Pres nominee. The nominees should hit one rural, one suburban, and one urban spot per campaign day. Farmings had a lot of innovations lately. It’s a technologically advanced profession. I think catering to this growth, innovation, and the future of agriculture might be a way that Democrats can make inroads. Funding and subsidies to agriculture modernization as a major part of a 2024 agenda could help. Let them know they’re important and heard. If they become Democrats that they’ll be an integral part to the forward-thinking community.
    1 point
  37. If you don't fix this, the party will be destroyed in the midterms @vcczar Now, some Democratic operatives and politicians focused on rural voters say their party needs to wake up. Without investing more in organizing and outreach to address new lows with rural voters, critical elections in Pennsylvania, Wisconsin and other states President Joe Biden narrowly won could slip away from the party next year. Recent struggles in states like Ohio and Iowa could solidify into ceding those places long-term. https://www.politico.com/news/2021/11/06/rural-dems-trouble-519782
    1 point
  38. Any progress, @Anthony_270?
    1 point
  39. Match 3 DEM: Elizabeth Warren & Beto O'Rourke REP: Mike Pence & Mike Lee LIB: Adam Kokesh & Jim Gray GRN: Jill Stein & Ajamu Baraka SCH: Howard Schultz & Joe Lieberman
    1 point
  40. Candidate Seat / Delegate List and Completed Primaries & Caucuses are D and C, respectively. The text turned into emojis upon my submitting the post.
    1 point
  41. Politically this is likely too little, too late. It is a good bill when coupled with BBB so I credit Biden for his agenda. I’m always in favor of more spending. This is part of the danger of a slim majority. Democrats will lose in 2022 and likely in 2024, but it’s not Biden’s fault.
    1 point
  42. I’d be okay with the doctors letting him sleep. Coolidge slept 14 hours a day. Maybe it would maximize whatever efficiency he has left to let him work less.
    1 point
  43. I reactivated my subscription to a couple 270soft games, and I'm really enjoying the improvements since I last played these games, but yeah, what happened to the spacebar function? why was it replaced with the "n" key? It might sound like a small thing, but I'm so used to navigating the game and moving forward through turns by pressing the spacebar.
    1 point
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