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Showing content with the highest reputation on 05/21/2021 in all areas

  1. I think I've heard the "low social trust" theory before as to why a certain segment of Trump supporters may have been less likely to respond to polling. I suppose one test will be to see if the pollsters manage to get the 2022 midterms mostly right, or at least avoid a consistent error in one direction or the other. If they do, it might point to an effect that manifests itself primarily when Trump is on the ballot. In which case, if he's the GOP nominee again in 2024, it might be wise for everyone to just assume that the public polling will underestimate his support.
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