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Showing content with the highest reputation on 10/15/2020 in all areas

  1. You are very difficult to listen to.
    3 points
  2. The electoral process has nothing to do with the internet. We've actually been having elections all along, even before the internet was invented by Al Gore.
    3 points
  3. This has been one of the most boring presidential campaigns. The most interesting thing during this time has been @pattine gettigetting banned
    3 points
  4. Unless Biden wins in a blowout on Election Day it's gonna be a shitshow till end of 2020 counting/throwing out votes. My guess is that the media will try to paint Trump's margins as slim indicating he is way behind Biden (and they'll over estimate Biden's mail-in ballots) to try to paint the narrative Trump lost no matter what on election night. It's just narrative setting.
    2 points
  5. But the problem is a major institution is trying to suppress controversial information in order to help one side. That's crystal clear.
    2 points
  6. I honestly think if he gets re-elected (2% chance) he completely moderates himself and becomes a "normal" president.
    2 points
  7. Re 3., my best guess at this point is a Coney Barrett confirmation will energize conservatives more, and probably will net help Trump, but not sure if it will be crucial. Re 4., I don't think it will be that close. Re 2., I answered the fourth option, but I don't think polls have ever been 'scientific'. They're surveys, where sometimes it's easier to get the representative data, sometimes not. With public polling, there are of course biases that factor in at multiple levels. The big problem with Presidential elections is you only have 1 data point to test the polls on. Re 5., th
    2 points
  8. Imagine this story was about Don. Jr. People would be freaking out. https://www.thedailybeast.com/man-who-reportedly-gave-hunters-laptop-to-rudy-speaks-out-in-bizarre-interview/ The computer shop guy sounds a bit crazy, interesting interview
    2 points
  9. And he gave the electorate plenty of ammo all summer. COVID will and should cost Trump.
    2 points
  10. Donald Trump is President of the United States. He also loves the sound of his own voice. He GOT the Presidency based on his eagerness to appear on tv. Of COURSE he’s answered more questions — he calls Fox News when he’s bored.
    2 points
  11. Trumps been WAYY more on message at this Iowa rally and past ones since he got Covid. IDK if it's getting a few days off or realizing the clock is ticking, but he's back on point w his populist message that resonated w so many people in 2016. Say what you want about him w his views politically, but the man is electrifying to watch speak from a charismatic/persuasion view.
    2 points
  12. If this is the “October surprise”, my confidence level moves from 50/50 to 100%. This is literally nothing.
    2 points
  13. Removed the Oct. 15th debate from 2020 - might add it back if add a 'Accept or Decline Debate' feature.
    2 points
  14. https://www.cnn.com/politics/live-news/us-election-town-halls-10-15-20/index.html This is probably what I'll be watching - coverage of both so I don't have to commit to either one.
    1 point
  15. If we visit the Isidewith website, put 2020 Presidential map, customize, by State, last 3 months, after multiplying by 0.90 Biden in every state. We have the following map. Except Alaska and New Mexico seems possible.
    1 point
  16. Colorado results, a not so easy victory for Biden (+6.8%), 53.4% vs 46.6% Trump Adams 42 58 Alamosa 48 52 Arapahoe 41 59 Archuleta 61 39 Baca 78 22 Bent 64 36 Boulder 25 75 Broomfield 45 55 Chaffee 53 47 Cheyenne 81 19 Clear Creek
    1 point
  17. California Results, easy Biden victory, 68.7% vs 31.3% Trump, a so big advantage that means that Trump will have better results than expected in most states. I will adjust the state results in the end to reflect the national polls. I would like a collaboration with someone to coloring the counties in a state map. If somebody offers to do it, I can calculate everything in 3/4 days. If not, only in 1 week, i can complete with every county color. Alameda 13 87 Alpine 44 56 Amador 61 39
    1 point
  18. Model had big issues, was good predicting Congressional Districts, that have all similar population, but lacked something in county level, and was badly tested in counties. Because that I added a variable that helps Dems in urban counties and prejudices in rural areas. Radical changes (maybe more radical than needed)..., for example , Maricopa in Arizona, changed from GOP to DEM, but I think much more than what i Expect. Works well in all elections since 1976, except 2008, when McCain wins the state in the model by mere 0.2%, and in 1992, the Bush advantage is very small too.
    1 point
  19. Can add this as an event in the game if Trump is a player in the game.
    1 point
  20. This election is the craziest since I've been following them (2000) *combined*. We still have 18 days to go ...
    1 point
  21. The media, big tech, the debate commission, all against Trump. What a fucking joke. If this happened to Democrats there would be riots in the street 24/7
    1 point
  22. It's a disgrace and certainly an interference in the electoral process.
    1 point
  23. ""C-SPAN suspends political editor Steve Scully indefinitely after he admits he lied about his Twitter feed being hacked."" More disgusting behavior from the DNC... I mean debate committee lmao. How he was picked as a fair moderator is beyond me
    1 point
  24. If they get to +5 then I'll add them. I'll also note if they're falling. They just haven't budged in ages and they're statistically out of orbit, whether they're accurate or not.
    1 point
  25. Yes, probably with update after next.
    1 point
  26. Sources are saying more to come from Biden's laptop. Meanwhile Twitter has locked or limited access to accounts such as White House Press Secretary, Team Trump (official Trump campaign account), and the NY Post (I believe this remains locked) in the last day. Their rationale for doing this ("Content obtained without authorization") is laughable, and if applied consistently would have resulted in locking accounts retweeting info about many major stories about Trump.
    1 point
  27. I completely understand you not wanting to spend more time than needed on these posts, but as a reference point at this date in 2016 MI was Clinton +11.4 PA was Clinton +7 WI was Clinton +6
    1 point
  28. There should also be a “stimulus” issue surrounding the printing of money and stimulus checks used to sustain the economy during the pandemic. This issue should be very low profile until some events bump it up.
    1 point
  29. It will be less chaotic as COVID’s effects will gradually subside. Lindsay Graham will win. He’s not well liked, but its a conservative state at the end of the day. I think Harrison will pull a Beto and turn it purple, but will ultimately come up short. Barett’s nomination will motivate upset/concerned democrats to vote, but will also convince religious conservatives to re-enter the trump coalition. Overall, I think the two groups will nullify each other. Although I think the playing field is unfavorable for Trump, there is something to him that polling struggles to capture. I t
    1 point
  30. For the last question: Absolute chaos. The ONLY thing that has been constraining Trump even 0.01% from doing literally ANYTHING he wants is the knowledge that he would have to face another election again, eventually. But once he wins again, and has no future elections to consider? Look out.
    1 point
  31. Interfering in an election by suppressing links to news reports is a shame. People need to get educated in a proper way.
    1 point
  32. The reactions to these story (especially from Twitter and Facebook) might overtake the actual story (whether true or not). It's not a good look for Biden coming down the stretch regardless. Whether that changes anything will have to be seen.
    1 point
  33. idk why people on twitter are so mad Chuck Todd is doing a Trump townhall on Biden's night. Do people not realize Chuck Todd hates Trump? lol. While Biden is getting softballs (for the 3rd time) on ABC, Todd is going to be trying to get some viral moments of Trump stumbling guaranteed. It's gonna be a shit show and imo I don't think it's the right decision for Trump. I would have done a town-hall on CBS or Fox. Very curious to see the ratings though for both regardless.. ratings > polls (Though some are definitely watching to see Trump look bad I'm
    1 point
  34. Elevate Barrett Confirm Gorsuch Block Kavanaugh *Sorry Brett, you like beer just a little too much
    1 point
  35. Chief Justice ACB Confirm Gorsuch Block Kavanaugh
    1 point
  36. § 4001 says "For the purposes of this chapter “abandoned personal property” shall be deemed to be tangible personal property which the rightful owner has left in the care or custody of another person and has failed to maintain, pay for the storage of, exercise dominion or control over, and has failed to otherwise assert or declare the ownership rights to the tangible personal property for a period of 1 year." Thy NYP says the laptop was left at the shop in April and seized in December. That means the hard drive was copied before it became the shop owners property. It's also likely that the
    1 point
  37. I agree with Nevada. I think Ohio was somewhat center-left for a while, while Florida and maybe Arizona would be center-right. (Of course, some states shifted over time. Especially if there were outbreaks.) Will there be covid hotspots in the game (and if so, will it be historic hotspots or random?). If there is a hotspot, will something happen if a candidate goes there during one? (potential bad news story? potential risk of getting covid?)
    1 point
  38. This is the big thing right now. https://nypost.com/2020/10/14/email-reveals-how-hunter-biden-introduced-ukrainian-biz-man-to-dad/
    1 point
  39. I meant in the fact theyre talking a lot about the cocaine and sex tape which really doesnt matter a ton in the long run.
    1 point
  40. Got some new info about neighborhoods today via my GFs relatives who are rare Biden supporters in conservative neighborhoods. In Amarillo, TX, there were so many Trump signs that it was "demoralizing" (point of view of a Biden supporter in that city). In Kingwood, TX, a high income suburb of Houston, there have have been only about 20% of the Trump signs as there was in 2016, but there still isn't any Biden signs. This comes from a Biden supporter that's afraid to put a Biden sign up for fear of property damage or being disliked from their neighbors. The latter might suggest t
    1 point
  41. The most important aspect of this so far seems to be evidence of people attempting to buy influence in the Obama-Biden admin through Hunter Biden.
    1 point
  42. One thing to consider about where Presidential campaign resources are being allocated is Senate races, which are crucial to a President's ability to enact an agenda. IA, for example, doubles as a battleground state and a Senate election this cycle.
    1 point
  43. It's just unethical to attack somebody over there past where they only did harm to themselves. If anything it's sad. Trump supporters will try to use this as an attacking point for some reason. It's disgusting to attack someone over this in my opinion. And a sex tape, like what? Who cares. They just look so desperate at this point.
    1 point
  44. Read a bit more. Honestly, it seems planted to me but it's theoretically possible it's something. They said it was handed over in December, but the FBI hasn't said anything about it for...ten months? The right will freak out, the left will move on. It won't impact much.
    1 point
  45. Chief Justice Barrett Confirm Gorsuch Block Kavanaugh
    1 point
  46. @vcczar One county of interest I think you’d like is Elliott county. It voted Democrat straight for 140 years... until it gave Trump 70% of its vote. It is the archetypical extreme example of rural Kentucky swinging hard towards a Trumpist GOP and away from neoliberal Democrats.
    1 point
  47. My aunt and uncle in Kentucky who have voted Republican every time since Reagan are voting Biden this time.
    1 point
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