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Showing content with the highest reputation on 10/14/2020 in all areas

  1. Nobody cares about Hunter Biden.
    4 points
  2. Any impact on the race? NY Post is not the most reputable but they have been given a hard drive from Rudy. https://www.google.com/amp/s/nypost.com/2020/10/14/email-reveals-how-hunter-biden-introduced-ukrainian-biz-man-to-dad/amp/ The customer who brought in the water-damaged MacBook Pro for repair never paid for the service or retrieved it or a hard drive on which its contents were stored, according to the shop owner, who said he tried repeatedly to contact the client. The shop owner couldn’t positively identify the customer as Hunter Biden, but said the laptop bore
    2 points
  3. There's always chatter about "Shy Trump Supporters" in the cities and such, places that tend to lean leftwards. However, why is there never chatter about Shy Biden Supporters, in rural areas, or red suburbs? Surely you'd be under scrutiny for supporting a Democrat just as much as someone supporting a Republican in the city.
    2 points
  4. Trump: Right, maybe Far-Right at one point but not anymore. Weld: Center (No statements, but he's always been left of the GOP traditionally, and as a Libertarian probably favors state intervention over federal) Jorgensen: Center-right "Covid-19 feels like house arrest", but she supports fighting it by cutting regulation in healthcare
    2 points
  5. The shop owner couldn't positively identify the customer he repeatedly tried to contact?
    2 points
  6. Chief Justice Barrett Confirm Gorsuch Block Kavanaugh
    2 points
  7. Ok, where do the parties and leaders stand on Covid-19? The issue positions are: Far-Left: We must stay locked down until there is a vaccine for the Trump virus! Cede all decisions to health care experts. The lock-downs have exposed the Achille's Heel in capitalism! This is our opportunity to launch a glorious Socialist revolution! Left: Lock-downs in hot spots are warranted to stop COVID-19. Limited opening as conditions improve. Federal mask mandate. Use opportunity to increase social spending. Center-Left: Slowly open back up as conditions improve but listen to the sc
    1 point
  8. - Since Aug. 31, Biden has answered less than half as many questions from the press as Trump — 365 compared with 753 — according to a tally by the Trump campaign, which the Biden campaign didn't dispute. - Biden went almost three months without taking questions from beat reporters. Biden aides say one reason there's less scrutiny of Biden in the general election is that he already was examined thoroughly in the primary election and over decades in public life. (what a joke lol) https://www.axios.com/joe-biden-luck-scrutiny-c0ba4e49-41a3-4d22-8dab-d523e345fcfa.html
    1 point
  9. I think, at least on the Democratic side, with the possible exception of governors (who have to implement policy), I think they're mostly letting Biden lead. Trump is Right with some smattering of Center-Right and Far-Right on occasion. Also, I'm not sure the scale of far-left to far-right is right, unless you're just using it as a stand-in for some scale. Because there were certainly plenty of far-left activists in the streets protesting. My impression was that most (but not all) were wearing masks, but they certainly didn't seem pro-lockdown, at least by that point.
    1 point
  10. I’m really trying with you buddy, but cmon.
    1 point
  11. Whenever I wind up with a hung parliament, coalition negotiations are always completely hopeless. The "chance of acceptance" of any of my offers to other party leaders always starts off at -100%, even when the parties concerned would have strong incentive to cooperate in real life. I'm not totally sure what factors that chance of acceptance is based upon, but I suspect the relations between the parties is the main one (I usually run negative campaigns!). I would like to suggest making that less of a decisive factor. In real life, parties like the NDP and the Liberals in Canada will be open to
    1 point
  12. The specific thing with the US however to give a point to those who believe Barrett could overturn Roe v Wade is the absence of evolution on abortion This is particulary different with other societal opinions like Same Sex marriage That's why people are less talking about breaking the 2015 decision on Same Sex marriage than Roe v Wade. But still I remain confident that societal questions rarely go back in time. Traditionnaly the rares times it happened was because a democracy became an authocracy.
    1 point
  13. 1 point
  14. This is from a month ago but it's interesting ( @admin_270 ) https://www.cnn.com/2020/08/16/politics/cnn-poll-biden-trump-august/index.html a majority of voters (53%) are "extremely enthusiastic" about voting in this year's election, a new high in CNN polling in presidential election cycles back to 2003. Overall, 50% of registered voters back the Biden-Harris ticket, while 46% say they support Trump and Pence, right at the poll's margin of error of plus or minus 4 percentage points. Among the 72% of voters who say they are either extremely or very enthusiastic about voting th
    1 point
  15. Yeah, I agree with all of this. I expect Trump to win OH, NC, IA, and NE-2, despite the projection. On Monday, before election day, I'll make my prediction, which will be independent of the poll projection I put every day. I think AZ and FL are tossups with AZ leaning D and FL leaning R in my opinion. My biggest disagreement with you in this is that I think MN, WI, and MI are way out of Trump's reach with votes already coming in and Biden leading +7 to +9 in these states consistently. I think if he defies the polls in any state, it's going to be PA since that one is +5 to +7. I agr
    1 point
  16. Biden as center left is fine. Libs as CR is fine too. Greens as left is fine too.
    1 point
  17. The issue starts at Low profile. 3 events bump it up by April to Very High.
    1 point
  18. @vcczar Re 1., I think it is reasonable for someone to hold that, if the election were held today, Trump would win OH, AZ, NC, IA, FL, and NE-2. That puts Trump at 260. That would mean he would need 1 of the blue wall to win. MN, WI, MI, PA. Is it reasonable to hold he might win one of those if the election were today? Perhaps. I also think it's reasonable to hold that, if the election were held today, Biden would win all of those. It largely turns on how accurate you think the battleground polls are, versus other predictive methods (such as voter registration).
    1 point
  19. I also said unemployed/had phone turned off due to economic problems. On the flip side, you'd also have people who had to pick up extra work to make ends meet under the Trump Presidency. Night shift workers who are asleep during polling hours, etc etc. But even just taking the question at face value: Am "I" better off? Well...financially, yes. For starters, my career has naturally continued to climb over time just like most careers usually do. I also have more money in the bank right now than I've ever had in my life -- thanks to a combination of extra overtime due to COVID and l
    1 point
  20. Kanye got COVID and said, "‘We need to stop doing things that make God mad’ West also claimed — without evidence — that "so many" children who have been vaccinated are being "paralyzed." https://www.businessinsider.com/kanye-west-coronavirus-vaccine-conspiracies-2020-7 https://www.scmp.com/magazines/style/celebrity/article/3092700/kanye-west-wannabe-president-coronavirus-we-need-stop .. I'd say Center-right possibly? If we can play as Kanye in the next update that'd be amazing lol
    1 point
  21. Center or Center-Right, just for sake of this I'll say center-right.
    1 point
  22. By definition I guess this means Biden will get 100% of the black vote this time around.
    1 point
  23. Maybe people who are worse off also "hang up on polls"? Hard to answer the phone if you're suffering from COVID-19 -- or, for that matter, if your phone was turned off because you couldn't afford it due to unemployment, etc. Gallup also has "Satisfaction with the way things are going in the US" has fallen to just 20% (compared to 45% right before COVID hit). Democrat satisfaction is at 6%, the lowest it's been since right before the 2008 Presidential election. Republican satisfaction is at 39%...down from 80% before COVID. Independents is at 18%, the lowest since 2016. Top concern
    1 point
  24. Center left for Dems as default is fine Center right for Reps as default is fine too.
    1 point
  25. I'd say more Right than Center-Right simply because of the school thing. I haven't heard him ever say that hotspots should shut down schools.
    1 point
  26. If Trump is Right and Biden Center-Left, that gives Biden an advantage on the issue. This makes intuitive sense - Trump wants to get the economy going, and is willing to take a position on Covid-19 that is further from the centre because of that.
    1 point
  27. Lately, Biden has caught up in signs in Rural Iowa. I swear, at least 4-5 Biden signs have come up in the last week. It almost seems like it's okay now or something for Biden supporters to be more open.
    1 point
  28. The issue with this issue is that it didn't become an issue until most of the people had dropped out of the race, so we don't have well-known public statements for many of these. Also, should Kanye West be on here?
    1 point
  29. Can we just put Romney on the far-right? For the memes? Please
    1 point
  30. Yes NY isn't a key/battleground state and no I don't care, however from my experience in my region of NY (by that I mean the county right next to mine because red stronghold here, nothing surprising) Trump still seems to have a lot more enthusiasm than Biden in terms of signage in general. I've seen like 5 pro-Biden signs/flags/pretty much anything while on multiple trips to anything from places like Albany and Buffalo to miniature places like Margaretville. Some of these places are Red, some are blue.
    1 point
  31. I do. He's almost cool enough to make me vote for his dad.
    1 point
  32. This is an important point. But also worth noting Clinton held battleground ave. lead the entire year (as far as I can tell from the RCP page), albeit fluctuating from 7% to 1.5% at various points.
    1 point
  33. Except Clinton's lead in battleground polls was a lot less stable than Biden's. On election day 2016, Clinton was only ahead 1.1% in top battleground polls. Biden is currently ahead 4.9% and has never been ahead by less than 2%. If the numbers hold up (which I suspect they will, changing at most by 1%), Biden would be +3.8% compared to 2016 in battleground polls.
    1 point
  34. "Trump is way down in the polls and the EC map is moving out of his direction" Yes, but he's +0.3% compared to 2016 in battleground polls. https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/president/us/trump-vs-biden-top-battleground-states-2020-vs-2016/ So it comes back to how accurate the battleground polls are. 2016 accurate? Then this is currently a close race.
    1 point
  35. I voted for most who had judicial experience and werent expressing bizarre views I would never vote for (Cruz, Cotton). I would support Barrett if this was a normal nomination process. We need to de politicize the court, and it used to be justices got appointed with 90+ votes.
    1 point
  36. I'm surprised you didn't add "Now we're all going to die!" at the end of this.
    1 point
  37. Read a bit more. Honestly, it seems planted to me but it's theoretically possible it's something. They said it was handed over in December, but the FBI hasn't said anything about it for...ten months? The right will freak out, the left will move on. It won't impact much.
    1 point
  38. One more thing, to promote realism: maybe in addition to command points, you could make cabinet seats an option for the largest party to offer. Like, maybe if you win the election, you have three or four cabinet seats available to hand out to smaller parties that are each worth x command points, and they're worth points for the final score of whichever party has them at the end of the game (like if you're the Lib Dems in PM4E, you get a 20 point boost to your final score if you get Cameron to give you one; or if you're Cameron, you get 60 extra points if you get Clegg to agree to a coalition w
    1 point
  39. Chief Justice Gorsuch confirm Barrett block Kavanaugh
    1 point
  40. Chief Justice Gorsuch. Pleasantly surprising as a judge so far, he seems to be more of a Roberts than an Alito/Thomas, which is the best I can really ask for with a Trump nominated Judge. Confirm Justice Amy Coney Barrett It's all hypothetical at this point, but in terms of conservative judges I presume she'll rule to the right of Kavanaugh, and fit in as more of an Alito/Thomas type. but she doesn't really have any marks against her personally. Block Brett Kavanaugh Not fit to be a Supreme Court Justice.
    1 point
  41. Elevate Neil Gorsuch Confirm ACB Block Brett Kavanaugh Gorsuch has been a rock star and a great Justice so far, my favorite on the court. We could do with his leadership. ACB I hope will join with Gorsuch in her interpretations but since she's not yet on the court, I'll just add her to the court. While I don't think Brett Kavanaugh is a rapist, I don't think he's a good judge. I think he's neither the temperament nor the record for me to trust him with a seat. I am particularly troubled with his takes on the 4th amendment.
    1 point
  42. Confirm Amy Coney Barrett Block Brett Kavanaugh Elevate Neil Gorsuch
    1 point
  43. Chief Justice Barrett Confirm Justice Kavanaugh Block Justice Gorsuch
    1 point
  44. Chief Justice Gorsuch Justice Barrett block Kavanaugh bad for me politically but I just really don't like the dude
    1 point
  45. I appreciate the change. This forum used to be dead before we started talking politics — the common thread that binds us, even when we disagree. There’s only so much you can say about the game — I’d check in maybe once a year to see if there was an update, instead of multiple times a day to see if there’s an interesting discussion.
    1 point
  46. This is still a terrible idea - who's going to have ANY opinion on it during the 2019 portion of the scenario? Seriously!
    0 points
  47. My guess is the reason people hang up or don't answer the phone re pollsters is they don't have time. It's busy people - the opposite of this. Vast majority of people who have had Covid-19 had it at home and it was mild - asymptomatic -> flu-like. You see the peeps in the hospital (very small %), so you get a select view.
    0 points
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