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Showing content with the highest reputation on 10/13/2020 in all areas

  1. I actually don't believe that Republican elected officials are really as passionate about overturning Roe v. Wade as they pretend to be. My reasoning: 1) It's not like they've lacked opportunity. Trump took office with Republicans dominating the White House, the Senate, the House, the Governors, the state legislatures, and the Supreme Court. A 6-3 advantage in the Supreme Court doesn't give you anything that a 5-4 advantage doesn't also give you. They've had every opportunity to overturn Roe v. Wade and they've made no actual, serious effort to do so. 2) I suspect many of them are
    4 points
  2. My dream scenario would be where Ricky would win and find himself in a swing vote/balance of power position. Imagine the possibilities!
    3 points
  3. This race will most likely be the best performance by the Libertarian Party ever in a statewide race. They should be pouring all their money into this rather than Jorgensen's campaign. This is the Libertarian Party's best chance to legitimize themselves in a long time, perhaps ever.
    3 points
  4. I needed to restart everything and doing retrotesting in past elections, with more focus in 2016. Now its much better. I will show all percentages forecast, I followed @vcczar advice about third parties, and now the forecast is only about the main parties, together they need to have 100% everywhere. I discovered that Trump will do better than expected in his best places and will do worse in his worst places. Extreme polarization can change everything, but we will only discover the effects when I finish all states. I will do all states by alphabetic order. Alabama to start. Will be red.
    2 points
  5. Alright. here's the, so-far, improved version of the 2016 race. Brought by yours truly. Constructive criticism is welcome. The primaries are done so far, Havent touched the general too much yet though. I keep the off-brand candidates off as to not create a weird outcome (like O'malley or Jindal winning Iowa). Overall, the polling is kept much closer to real life though. Updates: photos added. primary colors changed a bit to give a more distinctive look United States - 2016 TZMB.zip
    2 points
  6. Well, if I were appointed to the court I'd probably have some legal background. I'd also want to state that there is a long history of judicial independence both on the Supreme Court and lower courts. There are many moments of precedent that when a Justice believes that the President who appointed them is in the wrong, or the law does not support their positions, they rule against that President. I would have to consult with my colleagues about a possible recusal but in all circumstances there is never a binding requirement for a judge to always uphold the position of the President who nominat
    2 points
  7. 1. No, as a public official it would violate the judicial canon of ethics for a judge to do so. 2. Certainly Roe v. Wade is a piece of the American legal canon, but I would follow precedent and give more deference to the more recent decision passed down by the Court, Planned Parenthood v. Casey (1996) which superceded certain pieces of Roe. 3. The Affordable Care Act is the policy of Congress and the Executive Branch and as such is a law. It has been amended by this body and I would consider all the laws made by this body and signed by the President when considering a case regarding
    2 points
  8. I'd also like to hear @Herbert Hoover and @Conservative Elector 2 since they seem interested in judicial things.
    2 points
  9. I agree. She's very qualified. Frankly I'd vote in favor of her confirmation based on her qualifications
    2 points
  10. You are correct. PP V. Casey is the one that altered Roe v. Wade
    2 points
  11. I do not know if Barett would dare to overturn both, but I believe in one thing. More a thing has been scealed in time, the harder it is to overturn it. White christians in 70's ruled Roe v Wade, they weren't much more progressisve than Barrett. While Obamacare it's different, it's more common than 10 years ago but it's still a left-wing project. it's much more easier to overturn Obamacare than Roe v Wade in my opinion.
    2 points
  12. I think that's somewhat disrespectful to be honest. One shouldn't be reduced on his religion, especially with an undertone signaling some reservations about that person's faith. To illustrate that: it would also not sound very nicely when referring to 'the black Senator from SC', when talking about Tim Scott or mentioning Chuck Schumer as the 'Jewish Senator from New York'. Sadly such things are not meant in a positive way most of time...
    2 points
  13. Ya, but if they win TX they've already won. They need PA, MI, WI, FL. This has echoes of Clinton thinking she could take TX in 2016. Trump won by 9 pts.
    2 points
  14. Yeah, he's incoherent. But I'd vote for a shoe over Trump. Incidentally, you've made only 13 total posts, but I haven't seen you post anything that seems anti-Trump. It seems almost as if your name is ironic.
    2 points
  15. My mistake! I was so sure y'all were talking about Jill Stein. Jill Biden, I like. She'll probably be the most active first lady since Hillary Clinton. Why is Jill Biden in TX? Trump is up only +1.5% in this state. Not a bad move.
    2 points
  16. I'm not sure why he sends me an e-mail and then messages you.
    2 points
  17. Here's an example of Alabama going through the major realignment of the 1990s (Pres, Gov, 2 US Sens, and the rest are US Reps): 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 Bush Bush Bush Bush Dole Dole Bush Hunt Hunt Hunt James James Siegelman Siegelman Shelby Shelby Shelby Shelby Shelby
    2 points
  18. Flash poll: should I use the China flag icon for the COVID-19 issue in the updated 2020?
    2 points
  19. This is cursed for multiple reasons. 1. Obama lost the convention because of Hillary despite winning a plurality of the popular vote and plurality of delegates. 2. Biden won the first four states because I purposely killed Obama in those states 3. Every state was locked in except Colorado and Nevada, the key swing states. 4. Biden was going to win Nevada and the election, but Ralph Nader spoiled the election by vote splitting. 5. I won the electoral vote despite losing the popular vote 6. Its Newt fucking Gingrich
    1 point
  20. Instead of asking about Roe, I would ask about Lawrence v Texas. Because Roe is associated with abortion, but Lawrence's ruling came from the same mindset of Roe: the right to privacy. I would ask do you agree with the ruling in Lawrence v Texas in regards to the right to privacy, and how expansive is this right to privacy?
    1 point
  21. I also think that it would be very foolish for them to attack Obamacare at this point in time. This isn't 2016 anymore, the debate over Obamacare was effectively ended when John McCain put his thumb down. Reopening this issue has more potential to hurt them than it does to help. The focus should be on amending the existing legislation if need be, in my personal opinion at least, rather than scrapping the legislation in its entirety. If their intention is to scrap it, they need to present an alternative to replace it with.
    1 point
  22. "Biden's polling in NC, WI, and FL has been getting better every day, which must be worrying for Trump." Trump's and Biden's campaigns will have internal polling numbers, and these will probably be more accurate or relevant than we do (although perhaps not - they have to model all sorts of things that could be worse than public polling aggregates). But basically all we now about what their numbers are telling them is where the candidates are going, advertising buys, issues they are emphasizing, issue position shifts - that sort of thing.
    1 point
  23. As someone with religious right friends and family, I think you hit the nail on the head. Republicans themselves have more to gain from allowing abortion to remain a hot topic. However, SCOTUS members aren’t beholden to a party, so the best indicator for their vote would be ideology and voting records. The choice of Barrett, a conservative, religious, and pro-life advocate, will no doubt increase the odds of Roe v. Wade being overturned. Not to mention, Pence will be a serious candidate down the line. Even if Trump doesn’t give a shit about abortion, Pence 100% does.
    1 point
  24. I know some of these people irl. My mom didn't vote in 2016 and her first time voting will be for Trump in 2020. In regards to my former classmates, the vocal ones are voting for Biden out of anti-Trump hate, though most of the non-vocal ones who never post about politics publically confide in me that they're voting Trump and are afraid of getting hate (I've lost 20% of my followers this year and I've only posted things anti-rioting and anti-Biden). The silent majority (though I live in a rural suburb town) supports Trump. I'm still undecided. And by undecided I dont know whether I'm
    1 point
  25. Just as my impression is that almost no one on the left is really for Biden, it seems almost no one on the right is really against him. However, I've read multiple people who didn't vote Trump in 2016 and now say they are voting Trump. I believe in each case I read, they had been won over by his record.
    1 point
  26. @admin_270i should also add that another indicator for me is word of mouth. I’ve personally talked to at least 12 people that regretted their Trump vote and will presumably vote Biden or 3rd party. I have never met anyone that wants to vote Trump but had voted Clinton. Honestly, I can’t fathom that there’s even a demographic of Clinton-to-Trump voters. However, it’s natural to imagine that there’s Trump to Biden voters since there were Obama to Trump voters. Many Trump voters were Never Hillary voters. Are there Never Biden Trump voters?
    1 point
  27. I really don’t think Jill Biden is going to be a high level enough campaigner to really register as a miscalculation. She’s probably there primarily for fundraising. Besides, Biden is routinely in PA. He was just in FL. He does need to be in MI and WI more.
    1 point
  28. 1 point
  29. @vcczar If any of these are with the intention to supress votes from the other party I am against them.
    1 point
  30. Same, I think she's good for the campaign overall tbh. I also appreciate their love story and their dynamic as a couple.
    1 point
  31. This is true, if we remove him and look at a more traditional Libertarian candidate, Gary Johnson scored 15.4% in the New Mexico Senate race in 2018.
    1 point
  32. I don't know, I think she's okay
    1 point
  33. I read through it earlier today on mobile but forgot to like it. I usually like everything that I read to acknowledge it.
    1 point
  34. vcczar @Reagan04 @Actinguy @Patine @Conservative Elector 2 @TheMiddlePolitical @WVProgressive @SilentLiberty @pilight @admin_270 @Hestia11 @Herbert Hoover @mlcorcoran @Leuser @upandaway @jvikings1 @Rodja @Edouard @jnewt @Nentomat @Kingthero @Sunnymentoaddict @RFK/JFKfan @Mr.Blood @Zenobiyl @Wiw @MBDemSoc @ThePotatoWalrus @Alxeu @Allyn @Cenzonico @CentristGuy @Ishan @billay @wolves @RI Democrat @lizarraba @lizphairphreak @TheLiberalKitten @MysteryKnight @avatarmushi @servo75 @Mark_W Here's my refined ranking of Realigning events since 1960. Here's what is scored. Each of the below is weigh
    1 point
  35. This is an excellent and interesting write up! Thanks for the research it was a great read (Though I may have not responded to any posts) I have enjoyed reading all of them
    1 point
  36. I think he thinks you'll ignore them or something. I don't understand it either.
    1 point
  37. Playing Fallout with low intelligence is the best Fallout!
    1 point
  38. Not enough memes here tbh. So here's one
    1 point
  39. Can we just chill? Like I just want to do RP, see funny memes, and talk about how to make PI better.
    1 point
  40. ... or maybe end of November or ...
    1 point
  41. Ah yes, Wiw and Patine, the two horsemen of the apocalypse.
    1 point
  42. You have 4 days to cool off. Peace, bro.
    1 point
  43. It would be neat to modify the icon based on issue position. Right position in the game it's called 'China Virus', Far-right 'Bio-weapon from China'. Any other lexical differences anyone aware of?
    1 point
  44. @Conservative Elector 2 thanks for being the first, and possibly only, person to like this.
    1 point
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