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Showing content with the highest reputation on 09/25/2020 in all areas

  1. Here is what I would say about the composition of the court... 1. Chief Justice @Conservative Elector 2: Solidly a member of the conservative bloc on the court, and a rigid textualist. Most economically libertarian on the court. Justice C was appointed by Bush in 2005 to replace William Rehnquist. 2. Justice @Reagan04: Another member of the conservative bloc on the court, and a huge proponent of civil liberties versus government intrusion. Very opposed to the regulation of intrastate commerce and skeptical of the vague claims of programs such as the Affordable Care Act. The most se
    8 points
  2. Answer the above questions so that we can put together our forum court as I was talking to @vcczar about. Please pick the answers that you feel represent you best. There are 5 mega categories and within them several smaller categories. You may pick as many answers as you feel you need to to best represent your philosophy on the issue but if you feel your need to pick contradicting answers, please elaborate in the thread below. We start by looking at the Bill of Rights and the individual liberties granted to people. Then I ask a few questions about the structure of government and chec
    4 points
  3. While there is a lot of light shone on the fact that polling was very off in the states of Michigan, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania in 2016, less is talked about the opposite effect - something I've been thinking about now for a few days. I believe that Democrats stand a better chance in Texas than people may think (even if it won't come with an outright victory). Take this, from the polling of the 2018 race between Beto O'Rourke and Ted Cruz Emerson was the closest pollster in Texas - yet still had a red bent. Pollsters are getting complacent in states that they believe should be blue
    3 points
  4. October surprise! 270soft releases Chancellor Infinity beta!!!
    2 points
  5. My masterpiece cakeshop caveat: A business may refuse to do a certain action based on religious principles, provided that it's applied equally across the board. For example, if a bakery refuses a bachelorette party's request for a penis shaped cake, the bakery may object provided that they would never make a penis shaped cake for anybody regardless of gender, race, sexuality, religion, etc. But if a bakery does make wedding cakes, then they must provide a wedding cake to every paying customer regardless of gender, race, sexuality, religion, etc.
    2 points
  6. How about less active members can argue for/against to the court on certain cases? And then the court gives a ruling afterwards?
    2 points
  7. vcczar @Reagan04 @Actinguy @Patine @Conservative Elector 2 @TheMiddlePolitical @WVProgressive @SilentLiberty @pilight @admin_270 @Hestia11 @Herbert Hoover @mlcorcoran @Leuser @upandaway @jvikings1 @Rodja @Edouard @jnewt @Nentomat @Kingthero @Sunnymentoaddict @RFK/JFKfan @Mr.Blood @Zenobiyl @Wiw @MBDemSoc @ThePotatoWalrus @Alxeu @Allyn @Cenzonico @CentristGuy @Ishan @billay @wolves @RI Democrat @lizarraba @lizphairphreak @TheLiberalKitten @MysteryKnight @avatarmushi @servo75 @Mark_W As usual, Blue trends for Biden and Red trends for Trump. This is the most volatile polling day yet! B
    1 point
  8. https://www.politico.com/news/2020/09/23/dianne-feinstein-supreme-court-battle-420357 Interesting article for a read about inside Democratic politics.
    1 point
  9. I was seeing Trump as a very disharmonious and fumble prone FB that somehow had a cult following with his team's fan base.
    1 point
  10. 3 of those incumbent R Senators are in Presidential race swing states - their fortunes to a large degree could be tied to the Presidential race.
    1 point
  11. I'm still shocked (as much as I like her personally) that Greenfield is leading a senator like Ernst in Iowa. Iowans typically like their incumbent senators (see: Grassley, Harkin). Shes relatively unknown still, but is leading Ernst. That is a bad sign.
    1 point
  12. My neighborhood in Ohio was a terrifying sea of “Lock Her Up” signs in 2016. Now most yards have no signs at all. Those who do are maybe 60% Trump, 40% Biden.
    1 point
  13. I know Markey was the Progressive. My statement was not to dismiss Markey's progressivism. But rather to emphasize that Kennedy made him double down on his Progressivism. Had there been no Primary Challenge from anyone, I doubt Markey would be courting the left as hard as he did. And the left embraced him, despite his problematic record (similar to Biden). And despite Kennedy's pathetic attempt to paint himself as a progressive. When he's nothing but an elitist, useless, corporatist and corrupted Centrist. I have to note here that when I say "the left", I mean Berniecrats. Not Warr
    1 point
  14. With something like this, it could absolutely be done on a week to week basis. After all, I'm sure that myself, Reagan, and you would love to add a lot of flavor to our posts with it. I wouldn't mind it being a case a week at all. I like @Zenobiyl's idea that those who aren't on the court can argue cases before the court. Maybe what we could do is that a non-court member proposes a certain case to the court and yourself as ChJ chooses whether or not we take it just for simplicity. We could also use the Rule of 4, but that would likely be a bit time consuming.Then, two posters can argu
    1 point
  15. Personally, when discussing modern American politics (I find historical American and the politics of a LOT of other nations, past and present, to be a lot more interest, worthy, and preferred topics of discussion), I prefer to call out both major parties for their crimes, failings, hypocrisy, corruption, and the many similarities over differences they have in screwing over the American people and the world, and the rigged elections that won't ALLOW any but a few token elected offices not be won by a Duopoly Party, and won't allow one Duopoly to govern and the other to effectively, in a Parliam
    1 point
  16. For comparison, recent polls for 2020 TX Senate race (Cornyn vs. Hegar) aren't that different from 2018 (Cruz vs. O'Rourke).
    1 point
  17. 1 point
  18. Where I say "small towns" above that should say, "small college towns." Small non-college towns are Republican. Some of the college towns are Republican too, especially if the college has an agricultural focus.
    1 point
  19. The most shocking October surprise of all. We go to sleep on October 31st and we wake up on October 32nd. Damn you, 2020!
    1 point
  20. Probably 2032. There's a lot of Libertarians in TX and different varieties of those. It depends on the type of Democrat being elected. They're basically going to be swing voters. In 2016, about 90% of my Libertarian friends in and around the Austin area voted Clinton over Trump, while the rest voted 3rd party. Those that voted for Clinton over Trump did not like Obama. They didn't like Clinton either, but they preferred her on trade and in some other areas. Those that went 3rd party were Libertarians that were probably more interested non-intervention than with trade. TX Dems are also al
    1 point
  21. Sudan's already in negotiations. But, IMO, it's doubtful that it would change the race significantly.
    1 point
  22. It would lead to more talk of electoral reform in the United States because players will see the difference of FPTP and MMP
    1 point
  23. I think a Camp David peace deal on the level of Carter's peace deal between Israel and Saudi Arabia, Israel and Syria, or Israel and Palestine would be the only ME peace deal that would have any impact. I doubt it. The economy never really seems to help his numbers. He's always 45% approval or less. It will have to be something else. He's too teflon. It would have to be a tape of him being peed on by Russian prostitutes or something. And I still don't think that would cost him more than 1 pt in the polls! I don't know if there's time, but maybe. The Senate recently re
    1 point
  24. This is a good question. It just seems like Covid is just one big October Surprise. I could see any of the following happening: Some sort of surprise occurs in the Supreme Court nomination storyline. Something big happens overseas that shifts the discussion to foreign policy. Major Hurricane Major Sex Scandal against one of the nominees. One of the nominees gets seriously ill. Major corruption scandal against one of the nominee. Major gaffe made by one of the nominee. Another SC vacancy occurs! Economy suddenly moves up or down sharp
    1 point
  25. Biden might mix up words. Just a hunch.
    1 point
  26. Agreed. This is probably one of the greatest and certainly one of the most well put together polls I've ever seen posted in my 5 years here. @Reagan04, thank you for taking what was almost certainly hours and hours to put this together!!
    1 point
  27. Something else about Hunter Biden?
    1 point
  28. Lower courts? Perhaps they each take a Federal Circuit?
    1 point
  29. I can't really understand what's going through Democratic leadership's head right now. Surely, Pelosi and Schumer know that you cannot impose term limits and change the lengths of Supreme Court Justice's tenures without a constitutional amendment. Besides, 18 is a very strange number. The average time served for a justice is roughly 16 years, and like @ThePotatoWalrus mentioned I can only see its significance as time for every senator to have been reelected from appointment to finishing the term. This isn't the kind of move that will rally support for changing term limits for SC Justices
    1 point
  30. You're probably the most informed on the supreme court here than anyone. Do you know the significance of 18? Google says nothing. All I can think is it's the length of 3 Senate terms?
    1 point
  31. Would be a nice bipartisan effort, I assume.
    1 point
  32. First they should pass term limits on themselves.
    1 point
  33. I lived in Maryland 2013-2014, while working for the Obama administration. It was well known at the time that Maryland was where Democrats lived and Virginia was where Republicans lived. It's remarkable how far Virginia has moved to the blue side of the line in just the past few years.
    1 point
  34. vcczar @Reagan04 @Actinguy @Patine @Conservative Elector 2 @TheMiddlePolitical @WVProgressive @SilentLiberty @pilight @admin_270 @Hestia11 @Herbert Hoover @mlcorcoran @Leuser @upandaway @jvikings1 @Rodja @Edouard @jnewt @Nentomat @Kingthero @Sunnymentoaddict @RFK/JFKfan @Mr.Blood @Zenobiyl @Wiw @MBDemSoc @ThePotatoWalrus @Alxeu @Allyn @Cenzonico @CentristGuy @Ishan @billay @wolves @RI Democrat @lizarraba @lizphairphreak @TheLiberalKitten @MysteryKnight @avatarmushi @servo75 @Mark_W This state is reliably Blue. Here's how Democrats have fared in the 21st century. The state has been a
    1 point
  35. Howard County tends to be a strong bellwether for Maryland. It often tends to predict the statewide winner given that it pretty much represents the rural-suburban-urban divide that the state feels as a collective.
    1 point
  36. Maryland has gone Democratic in each of the last seven presidential elections. It last went Republican in 1988.
    1 point
  37. That's respectable. I guess we just prioritize things differently. I think Alito's opinions tend to be trite, meandering, and activist. He is a conservative activist. Again, he can't write for his life. I'd say this is my ranking: Gorsuch Barrett (?) Thomas Roberts Kagan Kavanaugh Alito Breyer Sotomayor
    1 point
  38. You do understand that Kennedy was the corporate centrist in that race right? Markey was a progressive before Joe Kennedy primaried him and won because Kennedy didn't have any tangible policy proposals for the people of the Bay State, he just thought he should win because he had the last name that seems to buy a seat in the US Senate from Massachusetts. Markey isn't pushing hard for progressive policies because of Kennedy, he's pushing for them despite Kennedy.
    1 point
  39. @Reagan04 Thank you so much for this great poll!
    1 point
  40. The last few months it has been a Biden forum
    1 point
  41. I dont think MN is so safe a democrat states as you all think. Like ive said ive lived here all my life and the amount of money pouring into this state not just for President but also the Senate. There are three different outside group ads hammering Tina Smith while I havent seen a single Pro Tina ad either from outside groups or her campaign. The riots really moved the state to the right and now with our Governor doing the extreme policies regarding covid and forcing businesses to pay their property taxes in full before being able to reopen after the riots and the pandemic. I think Trump has
    1 point
  42. Always remember that Riots are constitutionally protected!
    1 point
  43. @Conservative Elector 2 Just to let you know, you'll likely have to tag me on this thread a lot. I probably won't check it unless tagged. I just got too much going on.
    1 point
  44. You realize what this forum is about right
    1 point
  45. Arkansas has gone Republican in each of the last five presidential elections. It last went Democratic in 1996.
    1 point
  46. I would be interested.
    1 point
  47. I’ll do it so long as it isn’t time consuming. I’m doing about 100 other things plus work.
    1 point
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