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Showing content with the highest reputation since 03/15/2021 in all areas

  1. You can hover over a point set to see the values.
    3 points
  2. Main Screen and Electoral Info Screen will have a new button, the Polls Button. That opens a screen like RCP or 538 polls page. It depends on which region is selected on the Main Map. So, if Arizona is selected, you would see a graph and polls for AZ. Like this https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/arizona/ If the United States is selected, it would be like this https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/national/ There will be a region selector at the top, so you can view different regions within the screen.
    3 points
  3. This goes both ways though. A lot of the Obama-Trump voters (90%+) stuck with Trump in part because of his less multilateral foreign policy, lack of personal conservatism, and support for deficit spending. 12 Gore-Kerry-Obama-Obama-Trump counties flipped to Biden. 8 Gore-Kerry-Obama-Obama-Clinton counties flipped to Trump Gore-Kerry-Obama-Obama-Trump-Biden Counties: Pueblo, CO Kennebec, ME Saginaw, MI Winona, MN Glouchester, NJ Broome, NY Rensselaer, NY Mongomery, OH Erie, PA Northampton, PA Kent, RI Sauk, WI Gore-Kerry-Obama-Obama-Clinton-Trump Cou
    3 points
  4. An even longer topic on it: https://unusualwhales.com/i_am_the_senate Pretty sure AOC wanted to make a bill that prevented politicians from being allowed to invest in the stock market. As usual the media not covering it unless Mitch was involved or Ron DeSantis..
    2 points
  5. This is the first of the old PM4E Alberta scenarios that I am hoping to remake for the new infinity engine. The file is on the scenarios site. Premier Ed Stelmach is seeking his first mandate from the people of Alberta. Alberta’s white-hot economy is beginning to slow and the Opposition has battered the government on the oil royalty issue, health care premiums, and affordable housing. Will Premier Stelmach be able to win another solid majority, or will the PC string of victories end at 37 years?
    2 points
  6. You know, this United States map could be made into a fun game ...
    2 points
  7. We will never know if Biden had lost or not, but I find it highly interesting that this collusion, which cannot be denied by any means, is tolerated and rarely spoken about. That was quite telling... remember what The Times said about 'fortifying' an election. That's not much different to countries like Hungary in which the media is effectively the mouthpiece of one party touted by some as leading a regime. What if Big Tech had colluded to pave the way for Trump winning again? I guess the interest in media reports and Twitter was overall higher and clicks are what's selling best. I don't
    2 points
  8. What I found particularly hilarious was Big Tech oligarchs colluding to suppress and censor Trump supporters and Biden-critical news, without which Biden would have lost.
    2 points
  9. Beautiful! I like them!
    2 points
  10. Could we also get a copy of President 2000?
    2 points
  11. -1 stamina for admin
    2 points
  12. I'm of the opinion that Trump's personality appealed more to his base than his policies. I think Anthony's question is important. Would they gain more non-Trump voters than they lose MAGA types. I'll add, if so, where does the increased support come from. One thing I noticed is that states that increase in population become more liberal (because more jobs, more tech, more immigrants, more education, etc.) and states that decrease in population become more conservative (because more nostalgic of when their state was booming). The 2020 census estimates might clue us in where we might see s
    2 points
  13. Trump platform + dial back the rhetoric a bit + stop getting in incessant fights with everyone = higher ceiling, IMHO.
    2 points
  14. Yes, I think you guys have made your respective viewpoints clear enough, no need to beat a dead horse.
    2 points
  15. @TheLiberalKitten @Hestia11 If your emoticon can easily be interpreted as laughing at instead of laughing with, please refrain.
    1 point
  16. Sorry, I have covid right now, but I meant California, and New York. I was meaning northeasrtern states, Republicans have Texas and FL locked for now, not permanently. Our system is built around protecting Minority rights, for example the fillibuster in the senate or for the fact that both houses of congress have built in powers, versus the parlimentary system, where if you are the minority you have no power what so ever you just are there waiting to return to power. The states are the Minority compared to the federal government and their power is enshrined in the constitution.
    1 point
  17. No. But releases for 2021 should wrap up in a few months.
    1 point
  18. That’s nice of you to do. Yeah, it was terrible at the time, but I got over it really quickly. I think it’s because I had so many hobbies and interests that it was easy to move on. I feel like I was just massively upset for 30 minutes, mainly about him not telling me. I would have given them to him if he asked or gave him something else to sell. I think he picked them because he dropped me off to the comic book store so often and talked to the boss occasionally. I liked some DC characters but rarely the comic books about them. I liked the hybrid Marvel vs DC comics. I had some of tho
    1 point
  19. Certified Mac version now available from https://270soft.com/request-product-links-and-keycodes/
    1 point
  20. I had a huge comic book phase in like 4th grade through early high school. This was before comics became popular with the main stream and all those superhero movies started coming out. My dad, who had been a millionaire, was living paycheck-to-paycheck by the time I was in high school. He sold my large collection of comic books for gas money without telling me. After that I never went back to comics mainly because I didn't want to start over building up my collection again. I can't get into any of the movies because there's so many cliches and so much predictability. I'd prefer that new superh
    1 point
  21. I really don't think the diversity within America is really great enough to be "like having a world government for itself." That may have been the case at a time. Regional divides have mostly been replaced by Rural vs Urban; Small town vs Large City; etc. It's trans-regional rather than geographical in the North-South, East-West sense. You also have so many people moving now for work that people identify with a state or region less often than was previously the case. I definitely feel trans-regional, I was born and raised in TX, spent 5 years in NYC, 4 years in PA, and I'll probably be s
    1 point
  22. Also speaking of which, if USA's presidents were kings: George I: 1789~1797 John I: 1797~1801 Thomas: 1801~1809 James I: 1809~1817 James II: 1817~1825 John II: 1825~1829 Andrew I: 1829~1837 Martin: 1837~1841 William I: 1841 John III: 1841~1845 James III: 1845~1849 Zacharias: 1849~1850 Millard: 1850~1853 Franklin I: 1853~1857 James IV: 1857~1861 Abraham: 1861~1865 Andrew II: 1865~1869 Ulysses: 1869~1877 Rutherford: 1877~1881 James V: 1881 Chester: 1881~1885 Grover (or Stephen): 1885~188
    1 point
  23. How is this different from communism? Take money from people who are wealthier on average, redistribute to people who are not as wealthy, to make society 'fair'?
    1 point
  24. Yes, in all sorts of ways. Are there prominent allegations Big Tech did this? I haven't heard of anyone alleging this. Ya, lots of truth in those reasons. I think the biggest mistake was his handling of Covid. Early on, he had a choice to go with Fauci, Birx, et al., or Atlas, Bhattacharya, Ionnidis, et al. I think he could have gone either way, and it could have worked. Instead, he went this way and that, undermining his own task force with his actions. He brought Atlas on board when it was too late.
    1 point
  25. Here's an interesting map on Affirmative Action: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Affirmative_action_in_the_United_States#/media/File:Affirmative_Action_Policies_in_the_United_States_by_state.png It's interesting that WA and CA ban affirmative action and selective employment (states in Green have bans). TX had banned it but now it is legal. LA, MS, AL, GA, TN, KY, SC, NC, ND, SD, MT, WY, UT allow affirmative action or selective employment (states in purple)
    1 point
  26. Ah ok. Although I personally like Patine (most of the time), I do understand why that would warrant permanent banning from any company. I likely would have done the same thing. I'll miss him on the forum, but I'm enjoying the relative tranquility since I've returned.
    1 point
  27. Prior to Covid, it was one of my major hangout areas in Philadelphia. I did a lot of research when deciding where to live. It was actually my first choice. Excellent. Let me know what you think. Also kudos for using a public library. I sometimes beat up myself for opting to buy books when I can just borrow them.
    1 point
  28. I picked free college and university education but I'd be more in favor of free community college and trade schools with a more affordable 4 year and higher degree programs.
    1 point
  29. If he's reasonably healthy he'll run again. It's too soon to tell what his chances of winning will be.
    1 point
  30. With virtuoso performances like this where the press just shrugs, I might just change my vote to 2 full terms! But anyone paying attention to the primaries knows Biden has had speech issues like this for some time, and they're probably only going to get worse with age.
    1 point
  31. Actually, maybe 2.5 years of the term. That sets Harris up to be able to run before the primaries start, instead of stepping down part way through the primaries.
    1 point
  32. I think he is going to run for reelection and lose. Especially in a vulnerable health position, the spotlight will shine brightly on Kamala who had an awful VP performance. All of the talking points from 2020 were 4 years too soon, they will all be very effective in 2024. If the Democrats sweep in 2022, I'll have a different opinion probably.
    1 point
  33. I don't think it will have that much of an impact. It's only going to pull in people that are ardent Trump supporters, many who are already having their posts censored on Facebook and Twitter. People that don't like Trump or vote for him only because he's not a Democrats, are not going to use that platform. Basically, it's going to be an echo chamber for a cult devoted primarily to a single political figure. I'm also curious if a social media platform that is an echo chamber can survive. One theory I have is that with the "death of newspapers" as an instrument of partisan politics, social medi
    1 point
  34. Ya, but there's already news stories if %s go up. I'll consider it.
    1 point
  35. will there be polls as well for the incumbent's approval ratings during the election? would be nice to see
    1 point
  36. They are once again floating former NASCAR driver Carl Edwards around as someone who may run for this seat. He rejected it in the past and seems to enjoy his retirement life but anything is possible. Austin Petersen may also run under the republican banner again.
    1 point
  37. It would be possible ... Sometimes, it seems these events are planned in advance. For example, a media company has some info and decides to release it at a certain date. We'll see.
    1 point
  38. Yet another hoax! Trump just leaves an umbrella at the entrance to AF1. I do the same thing often when entering my house. Sheesh, people.
    1 point
  39. Remember when Trump didn't know how to close an umbrella so he just left it there at the top of the ramp? Maybe -1 stamina and maybe minus one issue familiarity. I mean who doesn't know how to close an umbrella? (The -1 for issue familiarity is a joke, but really...closing an umbrella isn't hard.)
    1 point
  40. Ya, you can weight polls, but having a toggle like that is probably worthwhile.
    1 point
  41. 1 point
  42. The polling system development and implementation is under way. Apple Developer certification is also under way, to solve problems Mac users are having with installing the game.
    1 point
  43. @vcczarI will reply in detail when I get home from work, but you raise a valid point. Trump’s coalition is optimized for the electoral college. A different candidate might perform better in safe states but that doesn’t help them get past 232 (or 268, I think Biden received a favorite son boost in PA and GA was close enough that it could’ve flipped, even if it’s trending away).
    1 point
  44. Am I the only person here who preferred Trump’s personality to policy? Sure, some things were better than generic republican for me (more secular, less of a deficit hawk, protectionist on trade, unilateral foreign policy, more of an immigration reductionist) but on domestic economic policy Biden is clearly better.
    1 point
  45. A Trump-led Apprentice-like series of debates, where each show 1 or 2 nominees is vote 'off' by national GOP membership would be way better than the way debates and primaries currently work.
    1 point
  46. To be clear regarding my analysis above, I wasn’t suggesting Trump or Trump-adjacent candidates have a high ceiling. That’s yet to be determined and I lean toward that not being the case (and I say this as a two-time Trump voter). However Trump had an extremely high floor and it’s reasonable to assume similar candidates will as well.
    1 point
  47. wait, what? The nominee in 2024 is either Trump or someone ideologically identical to Trump if he ends up deciding not to run. Trump IS the GOP for at least the next 4 years. How can anyone look at the results from 2020 and not see what the people said???
    1 point
  48. Yes, it's obvious and a Walker campaign will have to be prepared for it - preferably for them by getting out front of it and being entirely transparent.
    1 point
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