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vcczar

Pres Approval on 4th of July in Relection Years

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Here is the average approval net positive/negative on the 4th of July for presidents in their reelection year:

  • Nixon, 1972: 25.9%  [Won reelection in a landslide]
  • Ford, 1976: 2.3%    [Lost reelection in a competitive election]
  • Carter, 1980: -26.1%   [Lost reelection in a landslide]
  • Reagan, 1984: 15.8%    [Won reelection in a landslide]
  • GHW Bush, 1992: -17.5%  [Lost reelection convingly]
  • Clinton: 1996: 14.4% [Won reelection convincingly]
  • George W Bush, 2004: -2.8% [Won reelection in a competitive election]
  • Obama, 2012: 1%  [Won reelection convincingly]
  • Trump, now: -15.2%  [TBD]
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I’ll find margin vs opponent next 

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