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vcczar

2020 Board Game Idea

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Primary Debate Results

Democratic Debate

Gillibrand 1/4=5 (attack on Sanders successful; Sanders loses a point and Gillibrand gains a point; she also gains a point for winning the debate ***Debate Winner***
Biden  1/1=0 (Attack on O'Rourke mildly successful)
O'Rourke -1/-1/4=2 (attack on Biden fails; gains a point on a defense)
Gabbard -4 on (attack on O'Rourke backfires, loses a point)
Sanders -1/-4=-5 (attack on Gillibrand fails; loses a point for flopping the debate) ***Debate Flop***

Republican Debate

Trump 0/4/5/-1=8 (Attack on Kasich successful; gains point for winning debate) ***Debate Winner***
Rubio 4 on Trump on MAGA (Attack on Kasich very successful; Rubio would gain a point if he didn't drop out after the debate. )
Kasich 0/-4/1=-3 (attack on Trump deflected)
Cruz -4 (attack on Trump backfires; loses a point and Trump gains)
Paul -5 (major backfire on Trump attack; Paul loses a point and a temporary -1 on Christians for the NV and SC debates) ***Debate flop***

In other news

Rubio drops out and endorses Kasich, which gives Kasich another point. 

Points/deficit to split on SC and/or NV:

The following points are NOT used on both SC and NV. They are used to be spread out to whichever state you wish to campaign. Remember to check the Google Doc, you can't have more than 5 or less than 1 in any demographic:

  • Kasich 4 points to use on SC and/or NV
  • Sanders 2 points
  • Gillibrand 2 points
  • Trump 2 points
  • Paul loses -1 on Christians for SC and NV
  • O'Rourke 1 point
  • Gabbard -1 (must pick a state and demographic to take a hit)

Up next: SC and NV Primaries

 

30%

20%

20%

10%

10%

Nevada-D

Loyalists

Hispanic-Asians

Millennials

Left

Blacks

Nevada-R

Libertarian

MAGA

Moderates

Old Guard

Christian


 

 

30%

20%

20%

10%

10%

South Carolina-D

Blacks

Loyalists

Millennials

Left

Hispanic-Asians

South Carolina-R

Old Guard

MAGA

Christian

Libertarian

Moderates

 

@Rodja @CalebsParadox @Reagan04 @ThePotatoWalrus @Hestia11 @lok1999 @vcczar

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@vcczar I might have done the math incorrectly, but doesn't Biden get a point?

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Kasich - 1 point on Old Guard in South Carolina, one on Moderates in Nevada, and two on Christians in South Carolina.

Gillibrand - 1 point on Hispanic-Asians in Nevada and 1 point on Blacks in South Carolina. 

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24 minutes ago, Reagan04 said:

@vcczar I might have done the math incorrectly, but doesn't Biden get a point?

No. His attack O’Rourke was only mildly successful so he get a point or two for his debate score. He had a front runner bonus but it was cancelled out by losing NH. 

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12 minutes ago, vcczar said:

No. His attack O’Rourke was only mildly successful so he get a point or two for his debate score. He had a front runner bonus but it was cancelled out by losing NH. 

But what about my bonus from the Klobuchar endorsement.

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2 hours ago, Reagan04 said:

But what about my bonus from the Klobuchar endorsement.

Oh I forgot about that! You’re right. 

Biden gets a point. 

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1 minute ago, vcczar said:

Oh I forgot about that! You’re right. 

Biden gets a point. 

I also noticed, Ted Cruz was ALMOST the Dark Horse, came 2nd in NH but was just shy of the 4th place needed in Iowa for that distinguishment. 

Biden spends his point on Black voters in SC. 

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Bernie spends one point on Hispanics/Asians and one on Blacks.

Rand subtracts one point from Old Guard

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12 hours ago, Rodja said:

Bernie spends one point on Hispanics/Asians and one on Blacks.

Rand subtracts one point from Old Guard

As a reminder: You have to specify where you spend your points, I assume you're spending them on Hispanic/Asians in NV and Blacks in SC?

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19 minutes ago, Reagan04 said:

As a reminder: You have to specify where you spend your points, I assume you're spending them on Hispanic/Asians in NV and Blacks in SC?

I already calculated everything. I had him place them both in NV. 

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Phase 3: Nevada and South Carolina Primaries! 
[Note: Going to condense the information since two primaries will make the post too massive. Super Tuesday, when we get to it, will be very condensed, giving only the state-by-state results, rather than the demographic breakdown.]
 
Nevada Democratic Primary
 
1. Loyalists/Liberals 30%
2. Hispanic/Asians 20%
3. Millennials 20%
4. Left/Progressive 10%
5. Blacks 10%
6. Misc 10%
 
                 1       2    3     4    5      6
Biden       10%   0   2.5   0   2.5    n/a  = 15%  7 delegates
O'Rourke  20%  10  15   0     0     2.5   = 47.5%  19 delegates ***Winner***
Sanders    0%    0    2.5  5%  2.5   5      = 15%  7 delegates
Gillibrand  0%    10   0    0      5      0      = 15%   7 delegates
Gabbard    0%    0    0    5%   0      2.5   = 7.5%  0 delegates
 
O'Rourke wins big, gaining +2 points for 4 states on Super Tuesday for defeating the Frontrunner and winning. Biden gets -1 on four Super Tuesday states for losing as the Frontrunner. Gabbard loses -1 on every demographic for Super Tuesday. All these numbers may change based off SC primary. 
 
South Carolina Democratic Primary
 
1. Blacks 30%
2. Loyalists/Liberals 20%
3. Millennials 20%
4. Left/Progressive 10%
5. Hispanic/Asians 10%
6. Misc 10%
 
                   1       2     3    4      5   6
Biden         20%  10   5    2.5   0   0 = 37.5% 23 delegates ***Winner***
O'Rourke    0      10    5    0     5   5  = 25% 16 delegates
Sanders     0        0    10   2.5   0  0  =  12.5  10 delegates
Gillibrand    10%  0     0    2.5   5  0  =   17.5 11 delegates
Gabbard      0       0    0    2.5   0  5  =   3   0 delegates
 
Biden wins so he cancels out his point deficit from NV. Gabbard now loses -2 on every demographic for Super Tuesday and is encouraged to drop out. After the four pre-Super Tuesday primaries, O'Rourke now has more total delegates than the Frontrunner, so he is now the frontrunner. O'Rourke gets another +1 on four Super Tuesday states (3 total), and Biden loses a point on all Super Tuesday states for losing frontrunner status, despite a win in SC. 
 
Nevada Republican Primary
 
1. Libertarian 30%
2. MAGA 20%
3. Moderates 20%
4. Old Guard/Neocons 10%
5. Christians 10%
6. Misc 10%
 
                1      2     3    4   5  6
Trump      5%   15   5    0  5   5  = 35%  10 delegates
Kasich     5%    0    15   5  0   0  = 25%   9 delegates
Cruz        10%   0    0    5   5   5  = 25%   9 delegates
Paul         10%   5    0    0   0  0  = 15%   2  delegates
Trump gains 1 point in Super Tuesday states. Paul loses -1 on Super Tuesday states, but avoids losing -1 on every demographic for gaining delegates. SC primary may modify these numbers. 
 
South Carolina Republican Primary (WINNER TAKES ALL)
 
1. Old Guard/Neocons 30%
2. MAGA 20%
3. Christian 20%
4. Libertarian 10%
5. Moderates 10%
6. Misc. 10%
 
                 1       2    3    4      5     6
Trump       0%   10   5    2.5   5    0  = 22.5%
Kasich      20%   0   5     0      5    5  = 35%   All 50 delegates!
Cruz         10%   0   10   2.5   0    5   = 27.5%
Paul           0%   10   0    5     0     0  = 15%
 
Kasich wins the winner-takes-all state. He is now the frontrunner. He gains 2 points to use on four Super Tuesday states. Trump loses 1 point in every Super Tuesday state for losing frontrunner status, but he gets to keep his 1 point to use in four states. Cruz gets 1 pt to use in four states for defeating a frontrunner. Paul comes in last in both primaries, so he loses -1 on every demographic on Super Tuesday and is encouraged to drop out. 
 
Up Next: Pre-Super Tuesday Debates! 
Note: It will take me awhile to set up the Super Tuesday charts. I don't know if I'll have this done today or in a few days. The debate will be easy, but also expect the calculation of Super Tuesday to take a while. 

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Gillibrand attacks O’Rourke on Black voters

 

kasich attacks trump on Moderates

 

 

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@vcczar I sent you an email

Biden attacks O'Rourke with Liberals (Loyalists)
 

Cruz attacks Trump with Christian Conservatives

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DELEGATE COUNT SO Far

Kasich 76 (50 from SC's winner takes all)
Trump 27
Cruz 16
Paul 14

O'Rourke 64
Biden 50
Sanders 42
Gillibrand 23

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 @vcczar The Nevada Democratic Caucuses were calculated incorrectly. You made Millennials a 30% group and erroneously gave yourself 57.5% when you only got 47.5%.

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Bernie attacks O'Rourke on Millennials

Rand attacks Kasich on Libertarians

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15 hours ago, Reagan04 said:

 @vcczar The Nevada Democratic Caucuses were calculated incorrectly. You made Millennials a 30% group and erroneously gave yourself 57.5% when you only got 47.5%.

Strange. Not sure why I did that. I’ll fix it when I can. I may put you in charge of doing the primary results because I’m pretty much rushing everything I’m doing because of all my other work. 

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12 hours ago, vcczar said:

Strange. Not sure why I did that. I’ll fix it when I can. I may put you in charge of doing the primary results because I’m pretty much rushing everything I’m doing because of all my other work. 

I would happily be of assistance.

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