Jump to content
270soft Forum
Sign in to follow this  
vcczar

2020 Playthrough

Recommended Posts

I'm doing a playthrough as the Simulation Party, as I grade papers (hitting spacebar with no other intervention). 

As you may have read, I've deleted most of the events, including Mueller-probe related events for now. This means Trump should have an easier time than he would if he were undergoing impeachment, as in my older version. 

Republicans and Democrats are about even in the polls in October 2019. Tossup states include NV, CO, VA, PA, WI, MN, MI, NH.

Donald Trump faces primary challenges from Kasich and Flake. 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

By mid-October, Democrats take a large lead, despite nothing major happening in the news. This is probably because Trump is getting hammered by Kasich and Flake. 

By the end of October, Trump has invited Putin to the White House. Kasich begins to receive some GOP endorsements. 

Despite this, Trump is still on pace to win the nomination. 

For Democrats, Biden is the favorite, and Kamala Harris has now overtaken Bernie Sanders for 2nd in the Dem polling. 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

In November, Biden is hit with a major scandal, but is able to recover somewhat by winning a debate. 

Trump takes some heat for comments made after the Keystone XL Pipeline explodes.

By the end of November, Republicans have increased in the polls, but Democrats still hold a lead. 

Trump increases his lead on Kasich and Flake. Biden holds his lead over Harris. 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

In December, word is received that the leader of ISIS is killed, and Trump takes credit for it, accidentally forgetting to mention troops in his announcement. Trump also mentions that his Wall is no longer necessary, since Mexican immigration has greatly tailed off, but that he will build the wall anyway. Trump later gets hammered for claiming that ISIS has been destroyed, and gets upset with Mattis, who contradicts Trump by saying that, "ISIS is as strong as they were a month ago," and that they already have a new Caliph. 

Despite this drama, Trump receives a surge of support for his handling on the War on Terror, and he closes the gap somewhat in the race. By mid-December, he is close to even in the polls. 

By the end of December, Trump has pretty much won support of Republicans considering Kasich or Flake. Biden holds a 2 point lead over Harris in Democratic polls with Sanders a strong 3rd place. 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

As we turn to January 2020, Cory Booker is hit with a massive scandal. The Des Moines Register endorses Donald Trump, and Trump gets in a virtual tie with Democrats in the polls. 

In the rest of January, a series of race-related shootings occur. Trump refuses to take sides, which causes some backlash. 

During the State of the Union, most Democrats walk out. 

At the end of January, Democrats hold a slight lead. Iowa is 6 days away with Trump and Deval Patrick as likely winners. Trump and Biden still lead in their respective party polls. 

 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Two upset victories in Iowa as Kasich and O'Malley win the first primary. While O'Malley had been a possibility, Kasich came out of nowhere. 

The next week, both Kasich and O'Malley win New Hampshire! 

In a shocker, Kasich wins South Carolina, leaving Trump 0-3. Deval Patrick wins Nevada for the Democrats.

At the end of February, Republicans and Democrats are even in the polls. Trump is still expected to win renomination, and looks as if he may win the remaining states, as Kasich invested heavily in early contests. Kamala Harris is now the frontrunner for Democrats. 

 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

In March, Trump begins to score primary victories, including 13 on Super Tuesday. Biden benefits the most for Democrats on Super Tuesday. 

At the end of March, Democrats hold a slight lead over Republicans. Trump secures enough delegates for renomination, but neither Kasich nor Flake drop out. For Democrats, Harris leads in the polls, but Biden leads in delegates. Sanders is still a strong 3rd. 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

April is rather uneventful. Surprisingly, not a single candidate has dropped out of the race for either party. Democrats maintain their lead.

In May, Kasich wins a primary, despite Trump having secured enough delegates for nomination. He is also leading in Montana. By the end of May, both parties are about tied. Harris leads in the Democratic polls, but Biden and Sanders have more delegates. 

In June, Biden wins several primaries. Kasich wins Montana. The Dakota Pipeline explodes. Republicans are losing in the polls, but the map favors a Trump reelection. 

In July, Trump gives a Gettysburg Address. Democrats are looking at a deadlocked convention. Trump drops Pence for Fiorina at the Republican Convention. Democrats and Republicans are tied in the poll with the map now favoring no single party. 

In August, Joe Biden arrives at the Convention with the most delegates, but Kamala Harris has the most support. Through five rounds of balloting, O'Malley gains steam, but then support is shifted to Harris in round 6. However, Biden still holds the lead at round 6. Cory Booker, who held many delegates, throws his support to O'Malley in round 7, putting O'Malley ahead of Biden. In round 8, Sanders throws his support to Harris in an effort to stop O'Malley, putting Harris in first place. The decision goes to Joe Biden, who will then select the next Democratic nominee. Biden supports Harris. Kamala Harris picks Eric Holder for VP. The first completely African-American ticket in US History. 

We now enter the general election

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Heading into the general election in mid-August, Harris leads Trump in the polls and she seems likely to squeak in a narrow victory. By the end of August, Trump has caught up to Harris. 

In September, Trump gains in the polls, and seems likely to get 270 EVs; although, Harris is leading in the popular vote. 

In October, Trump defeats Harris in a debate. Shockingly, she completely flubs the debate in a disaster performance. Trump is hit with a sex scandal, but it doesn't effect him too much. Trump wins the second debate with a similar result, as Harris blunders in her performance (not sure what is going on). By the end of October, it seems certain that Trump will be reelected. For whatever reason one of the presidential debates and the VP debate never occur. 

Election day:

Heading into election day, Trump/Fiorina seem likely to win both the EV and PV against Harris/Holder. Information shows that Russians may be helping Trump once again, even thought some of the experts argue that he would probably win without their interference. 

The election victory for Trump is larger than expected. He was expected to get about 307 EVs, and he got 396 EVs and 52% of the PV. Trump manages to win WA, OR, IL, CT, NJ, MN, CO, NM--all states Trump did not win in 2016. 

What a horrid election. Removing most of the events really benefits Trump. 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

There's no way he can be stopped, no way, no how! The only way to avoid it is a coup d'etat!

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
23 minutes ago, Wiw said:

There's no way he can be stopped, no way, no how! The only way to avoid it is a coup d'etat!

Do you go around the streets wearing a clapboard sign with the screaming block letters, "THE END IS NEAR!" if I may ask?

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Haha, it's funny to imagine that the Democrats, after Harris being totally undone in the debates, just canceled the rest of them. Fiorina is an interesting show. In real life, I imagine Pence would be kept on, but in a recent Jeb!2016 playthrough of mine, she became his Veep.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now
Sign in to follow this  

×