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SirLagsalott

2040 - BATTLE OF THE FORUM

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Although it's not ready for full-time release yet (endorsers really need some work), my 2040 scenario is beginning another public test. This time in the form of a play by play. Candidates in bold are based on forum users (with their consent of course.) Candidates in italics are non-fictional characters.

REPUBLICAN CANDIDATES:

Georgia Governor John Taylor @Reagan04

New York Governor David Smith @republicaninnyc

FBI Director John Logs @Kingthero

Florida Governor Victor Victor @victor1313

NYC Mayor Legolas Redbard @LegolasRedbard

Fmr. Texas Senator Ted Cruz

592ddfcca14d0_Screenshot2017-05-3017_07_02.png.782d8ee5368deefe114fc4bd2c1272c8.png

DEMOCRATIC CANDIDATES:

New York Senator Chelsea Clinton

Iowa Governor Steve Almond @SalmonD88

Fmr. Vermont Senator, and oldest politician Bernie Sanders

592ddfcd10054_Screenshot2017-05-3017_07_06.png.902fb06cbf6e49e6d1e76cd2789125b1.png

"SIRFISHESALOTT" INDEPENDENT PARTY CANDIDATES:

Virginia Senator SirLagsalott (me)

Maryland Governor Bruce Fischer @President Garrett Walker (took forever to find you because you changed your name again)

Ohio Senator Wolves Wolves @wolves

California Governor Kerrwhiel Salvador @HomosexualSocialist

592ddfcd67a33_Screenshot2017-05-3017_07_09.png.9baad33ae4463707795afe1c584c6cf6.png

LIBERTARIAN CANDIDATES:

Kentucky Senator Jvikings1 @jvikings1

Missouri Rep. Austin Petersen

Kentucky Rep. Rob Paul

TRUMP PARTY CANDIDATES:

New York Businesswoman Ivanka Trump

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11 minutes ago, SirLagsalott said:

(took forever to find you because you changed your name again)

Sorry :P

Looks good

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Im glad because my candidate is second in national delegates.

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2 hours ago, victorraiders said:

need fix clinton percentage are very high to salmon win in primares

That's intentional, Clinton has enormous national exposure while Almond is very popular in his home state and many rural states. Winning Iowa could give the momentum needed to take it all the way. We'll wait and see.

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Well, turns out I'm the only right wing independent. Hopefully I can win

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Jan. 15, 2040

Smith and Logs Surge at Taylor's Expense

In polls over the last two weeks, former frontrunner John Taylor is losing support to David Smith and John Logs. Taylor holds on to support in the early state of Iowa, which is only 17 days away from voting, but statewide polling shows Smith spreading his support beyond the Northeast, covering almost the entire Northern area of the country. Logs also enjoyed an increase in support, holding onto several West Coast states.

Almond Gains Nationwide; Losing Support in Iowa

Iowa Governor Steve Almond is having strong gains across the nation this week, but is rapidly losing support in his home state of Iowa to Sen. Chelsea Clinton of New York, who is building up a strong organization in the state and rapidly spending her money, but still trails Almond by 30 points. 99-year old Former Senator Bernie Sanders has a dozen supporters in the entire country.

INDEPENDENTS DUKE IT OUT IN EARLY CONTESTS

The first two contests of the Independent primaries finished this week. In Iowa, it looked to be a tight three-way race between Virginia Senator SirLagsalott, California Governor Kerrwhiel Salvador, and Ohio Senator Wolves Wolves. Lagsalott under-performed and Salvador managed to win the contest in a landslide. The next week however, Lagsalott bounced back and narrowly won New Hampshire with Wolves close behind, even though Fischer was expected to have a somewhat comfortable victory there. Nationally the other candidates are gaining on Lagsalott as they target South Carolina, which is deep within his territory. These contests will definitely be an important indicator of what an independent future would look like, as the party is performing strongly in general election polling.

TRUMP PARTY - FUTURE MOVEMENT OR LOST CAUSE?

Ivanka Trump, daughter of former President Donald Trump, is running a third party candidacy. However, she's only polling at 3.2%. With 298 days to go until the election, and $252 million in unspent cash, a lot could change. But for now, the Trumps lag far behind the major parties.

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Just now, SirLagsalott said:

The next week however, Lagsalott bounced back and narrowly won New Hampshire with Wolves close behind

Yay!

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3 hours ago, SirLagsalott said:

Lagsalott under-performed and Salvador managed to win the contest in a landslide.

Hah! Landslide baby. I'm kinda sure I'll win nevada, since it's right next to my home state.

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REPUBLICAN MOMENTUM CHANGES COURSE

Last week it appeared that Smith was surging and Taylor was losing ground. This week they both lost support, due to scandals on both sides, feeding primarily into support for Logs, Victor, and Redbard. Smith's sea of blue is steadily turning into a sea of yellow (ew) as Logs picks up support across the country.

CLINTON SURGES IN IOWA, ALMOND BEHIND FOR FIRST TIME

Due to Clinton's massive campaign war chest, she was able to spend heavily in Iowa, where she would have been projected to lose just a week ago. She gained 25 points in a single week, while Sanders is finally polling above 0%, at 0.5% in Iowa.

FISCHER TAKES LEAD IN INDEPENDENT PRIMARIES

Despite Lagsalott's surprise win in New Hampshire, and successfully fending off a home-field challenge in South Carolina he wasn't expected to win by a 17-point margin, Fischer managed to take a polling lead over the other candidates. Next up is Florida, which Lagsalott has a 22 point lead in. After that, the next contest is in Nevada, deep within Salvador's territory, and Salvador is ahead of the nearest competitor by 29 points. With just under two weeks, it's unlikely anyone other than Salvador will win which is why most candidates are focusing on Minnesota and Colorado which have contests just 3 days after Nevada.

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SCANDALS IN THE AIR AS IOWA LOOMS

Major scandals on Gov. Victor, Gov. Taylor, and Gov. Smith exploded onto headlines days before the Iowa caucuses. It is widely suspected that FBI Director John Logs may have been investigating his opponents more deeply than he should. Meanwhile, Clinton has beat down Salmon in his home state far enough that he's only polling at 11%, and she has been ruthless against him in ads, rapidly burning away cash.

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SMITH WINS REPUBLICAN IOWA CAUCUS, CLINTON WINS DEMOCRATIC

Despite strong polling for John Logs, and many scandals he researched on his opponents, Smith was able to win by a 1.8-point margin over Logs. Victor's national support collapsed in the wake of an enormous scandal regarding his state AG's schemes and their potential connection to himself. On the Democratic side, Clinton obliterated Almond after what looked like the only change of a win for him.

LAGSALOTT REGAINS LEAD AFTER TOUGH WEEKS

Senator Lagsalott was able to gain 6 points in the span of one week, displacing Governor Fischer as the independent frontrunner. An enormous win in Florida, in his home territory, as well as coming only 9 points behind Salvador in Nevada (which was expected to have been won by Salvador by almost 30 points) is responsible for the surge. The upcoming Colorado contest is expected to be a fight between Salvador, Lagsalott, and Wolves, while Minnesota is expected to be won comfortably by Wolves for his first win. Fischer has yet to take a state, and in terms of delegates won so far is in last place, but second in the popular vote.

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@SirLagsalott How do I keep getting these scandals?

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22 minutes ago, Reagan04 said:

@SirLagsalott How do I keep getting these scandals?

Your opponent, John Logs, has a research attribute at 5 because he is the FBI director. Because you were the initial front runner he spammed scandals on you. No joke, the only states you're leading in now are George Wallace's in 1968. You may bounce back though if you can retake South Carolina. 

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BUSINESS AS USUAL IN MAJOR PARTY PRIMARIES?

Although the accuracy of polling was called into question after Clinton's landslide in Iowa and especially the independent primaries, Clinton and Smith both easily won their New Hampshire primaries - reaffirming faith in the polling system. Redbard did unexpectedly emerge to come second in the Republican New Hampshire contest. In the independent primaries, Lagsalott won an unexpectedly large 20-point margin in Colorado, exceeding polling expectations by 16 points with Salvador dropping to third in the state. Minnesota was narrowly won by Wolves for his first win, with Lagsalott surging 10 points to place a solid third. Fischer finally got on the map by winning Maine narrowly over Lagsalott, and the two upcoming contests - Arizona and Michigan - are both comfortably held by Salvador and Wolves, respectively. We'll have to see how it goes.

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23 minutes ago, Kingthero said:

Dangit Logs, do better.

You're actually currently in second place nationally and you're leading in the next primary, South Carolina.

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MAPS:

(As of February 12, 2040)

GENERAL:

592f05f578a5c_Screenshot2017-05-3114_01_04.png.7283f24c70d0549c26b9b8f544fc79a4.png

REPUBLICAN:
592f05f6752db_Screenshot2017-05-3114_01_11.png.ea53a6227185c9a77be6695b5b448feb.png

DEMOCRATIC:
592f05f776aef_Screenshot2017-05-3114_01_14.png.0ff4dfbbe549447a36be10e83267119d.png

SIRFISHESALOTT:

592f05f87143a_Screenshot2017-05-3114_01_22.png.fe43102b9182d1f2b569acfb38241b46.png

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Forgot to document everything but Super Tuesday just happened and WOW.

For the Democrats, Clinton took all states and Almond only picked up a handful of delegates, he is now considering dropping out. Sanders is too, he's received only 0.5% of the votes cast so far and no delegates. To add insult to injury for the two, Clinton was able to successfully spin her landslide of all the states, giving her guaranteed momentum for the next three weeks.

For the Republicans, an already fractured field is going crazy. John Logs won both Nevada and South Carolina, and picked up Tennessee and Virginia on Super Tuesday. However, the contests were dominated by Smith - the polls suggest that if all contests were held today, he would obtain a majority of delegates. Taylor held on to most of the Deep South. Victor is seriously considering dropping out as he's in last place so far and is actually losing his home state in polls, due in no small part to major scandals that rocked his candidacy early in the race. Logs suffered from scandals too - it's very likely his mediocre performance on Super Tuesday compared to polls is due to these. Cruz, shockingly, won his home state of Texas by a margin of 2.3 points, and Redbard almost won it. Redbard picked up a significant number of delegates, but as of yet has not won any contests (though he is one point ahead in Washington D.C, according to polls).

For the Independents, Lagsalott again outperformed expectations by taking Arizona and Michigan, deep within the territories of Salvador and Wolves respectively. However, by a narrow margin of 1.4%, Salvador defeated him in Washington to get Salvador his first win since Iowa.

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ALMOND ENDORSES LAGSALOTT, WITHDRAWS

Due to his campaign's lack of traction among the Democratic electorate and Clinton's domination of state contests, Almond endorsed Lagsalott and withdrew. Sanders was also offered the same deal with Lagsalott, but Sanders ignored it and remains in the race. Prior to Almond's withdrawal he was only polling at 12% nationally.

SMITH LOOKING TO OUTRIGHT WIN; VICTOR GETS ON THE MAP

Despite talk of Victor possibly withdrawing due to low polling and having won no contests, Victor was able to narrowly pull ahead and win his home state of Florida. Nationally however Smith will receive 1467 delegates if all contests were held today. All Republican candidates are trying to stand as the anti-Smith candidate. Smith will need to win 61% of all remaining delegates to win without a convention, and barring a sudden change it does not appear that will happen.

LAGSALOTT LEADING THE INDEPENDENTS

On the closest thing to what the Independents could call a "Super Tuesday", Lagsalott won the majority of the contests and polls indicate he may win an outright majority of delegates if he stays course the rest of the race.

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SANDERS, LOGS WITHDRAW

Sanders withdrew his bid today and endorsed Lagsalott. Logs surprised many by withdrawing despite strong polling in upcoming contests. Much to the dismay of anti-Smith Republicans, most of his support went to Smith. Smith's opening to an outright win widens as he now only needs 59% of the remaining delegates, a feat he is expected to accomplish.

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Noooooo, do better Fischer...

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3 hours ago, SirLagsalott said:

For the Independents, Lagsalott again outperformed expectations by taking Arizona and Michigan, deep within the territories of Salvador and Wolves respectively. However, by a narrow margin of 1.4%, Salvador defeated him in Washington to get Salvador his first win since Iowa.

Nooooooo. :( I was happy that I was winning in the rust belt.

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