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My 2020 election simulation.

THE CANDIDATES

REPUBLICAN

Donald Trump - Declared
John Kasich - Undecided
Rand Paul - Not Seeking
Nikki Haley - Not Seeking

DEMOCRAT

Martin O'Malley - Declared
Lincoln Chafee - Declared
John Hickenlooper - Declared
Steve Bullock - Undecided
Amy Klobuchar - Undecided
Kamala Harris - Undecided
Julian Castro - Undecided
Jason Kander - Undecided
Bernie Sanders - Undecided
Cory Booker - Not Seeking
Chris Murphy - Not Seeking
Al Franken - Not Seeking
Joe Biden - Not Seeking
Elizabeth Warren - Not Seeking
Hillary Clinton - Not Seeking
Kristen Gillibrand - Not Seeking
Tim Kaine - Not Seeking
Andrew Cuomo - Not Seeking

LIBERTARIAN

Adam Kokesh - Declared
Austin Petersen - Not Seeking

GREEN

Jill Stein - Declared

INDEPENDENT

Kanye West - Declared

JULY 1st polling

GOP

Trump - 61%
Kasich - 8%
Paul - 6%
Haley - 5%

DEM's (Minimum 5 percent)

Clinton - 17%
Sanders - 10%
Harris - 8%
Biden - 7%
Booker - 5%
Gillibrand - 5%
Castro - 5%

LIB

Kokesh - 40%
Petersen - 40%

General Election

Democrats - 40%
Republicans - 28%
Libertarians - 1%
Kanye - 1%
Stein - 0%

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July 8 Crystal Ball Rankings

UD - undecided
NS - not seeking

GOP

1) Trump
2) Kasich (UD)
3) Haley (NS)
4) Paul (NS)

DEM

1) Clinton (NS)
2) Harris (UD)
3) Klobuchar (UD)
4) Bullock (UD)
5) Franken (NS)
6) Sanders (UD)
7) Booker (NS)
8) Murphy (NS)
9) Castro (UD)
10) Kander (UD)
11) O'Malley
12) Gillibrand (NS)
13) Biden (NS)
14) Cuomo (NS)
15) Kaine (NS)
16) Warren (NS)
17) Hickenlooper
18) Chafee

LIB

1) Petersen (NS)
2) Kokesh

News

July 2 - Mitch McConnell endorses Rand Paul (R)

July 9 - Clinton declares her candidacy

July 18 - Hickenlooper Scandal

July 20 - O'Malley Scandal

July 21 - Trump endorsed by Sheldon Adelson

July 22 - Petersen declares his bid for the Libertarian nomination

July 25 - Kamala Harris enters campaign

July 28 - Trump endorsed by George H W Bush

August 2 - Clinton Scandal

August 4 - Trump endorsed by George W. Bush

August 5 - Clinton Scandal

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August Polling Update

GOP

Trump - 68.8% (2254 delegates)
Kasich - 8.9% (37 delegates)
Haley - 5.1% (75 delegates)
Paul - 4.8% (40 delegates)

DEM's - 2383 to win

Clinton - 18.7% (3389 delegates)
Harris - 10.1% (362 delegates)
Sanders - 9.6% (59 delegates)
Biden - 8.9% (141 delegates)
Franken - 6.4% (27 delegates)
Klobuchar - 5.7% (37 delegates)
Gillibrand - 5.4% (291 delegates)
Booker - 4.6% (72 delegates)
Bullock - 4.2%  (14 delegates)
Warren - 4.2%
Castro - 4% (251 delegates)
Murphy - 3.2% (87 delegates)
Cuomo - 2.3%
Kander - 1.7% (35 delegates)
Hickenlooper - 1.3%
Chafee - .8%
Kaine - .6%
O'Malley - .6%

Libertarian - 1144 to win

Kokesh - 43.5% (886 delegates)
Petersen - 38.1% (1249 delegates)

GENERAL ELECTION - 270 to win

Democrats - 45.5% (310 Electoral Votes)
Republicans - 41.7% (186 Electoral Votes)
Libertarians - 0.9%
Kanye West - 0.8%
Jill Stein - 0.3%

Undecided - 10.5% (42 Electoral Votes)

 

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