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Germany 2013

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With only two years to go, the next German federal election already promises to be exciting:

The last four years saw a lot of political upheavel. With Merkel's government facing a heavy majority in the Bundesrat, an unprecedent number of cabinet shuffles and serious infighting in the CDU/CSU' coalition partner FDP, the only uplifting fact for Merkel is that the opposition is not in a better shape. With the SPD struggling to redefine their program and an having an unpopular leader and the Left party suffering several lossel in recent state elections both parties have to try hard to improve their result from last time. Only the Greens are optimistic that they can improve their results from last time and make political gains.

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The start of a difficult campaign for the Social Democrats. But they are hoping that Steinbrück's popularity will bring them a victory

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After 8 weeks of campaigning, the SPD is the largest party and can form a majority coalition with the Green party

Screenshot3-1.jpg

With the popular Joshka Fischer as candidate for chancellor, the Greens manage to get the second best election result

Comment with your Email and I'll send it to you.

Feedback is appreciated ;)

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Love German scenarions. Could you send me a copy

thewhorock93@hotmail.co.uk

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I was wondering if you wouldn't mind some edits to your scenario.

For one thing, I think the Saarland should be more left-wing on economics and others than the Rhineland, and Berlin (and Hamburg) should be CL on Immigration (Rheinland should be C). Also, Mecklenberg-Vorpommern should be more conservative then Niedersachsen. Do you agree with these changes?

I'll also fix the issues as well. I'd remove Afghanistan as an issue and replace it with NATO or Defense. I'll look at the others as well.

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I was wondering if you wouldn't mind some edits to your scenario.

For one thing, I think the Saarland should be more left-wing on economics and others than the Rhineland, and Berlin (and Hamburg) should be CL on Immigration (Rheinland should be C). Also, Mecklenberg-Vorpommern should be more conservative then Niedersachsen. Do you agree with these changes?

I'll also fix the issues as well. I'd remove Afghanistan as an issue and replace it with NATO or Defense. I'll look at the others as well.

Thanks for the feedback.

Re: Saarland I agree

Re: Immigration: I'm not sure. I think Rhineland would definitly be C and Berlin rather CL. Hamburg I would leave at C because of the recent rise of several populist right-wing parties in the city. (The Schill-Party for example)

Re: Mecklenburg-Vorpommern: I think Niedersachsen is quite conservative. There are a lot of catholics there and the quite conservative. In Mecklenburg-Vorpommern on the other hand has left-leaning governments for some time now and all parties even the CDU are quite progressive. So I'd leave like that.

Re: Afghanistan: It depends a lot wether there are still troops in Afghanistan by then. If they are not NATO would probably be no issue, but I'll probably change it into Defense ;)

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Thanks for the feedback.

Re: Saarland I agree

Re: Immigration: I'm not sure. I think Rhineland would definitly be C and Berlin rather CL. Hamburg I would leave at C because of the recent rise of several populist right-wing parties in the city. (The Schill-Party for example)

Re: Mecklenburg-Vorpommern: I think Niedersachsen is quite conservative. There are a lot of catholics there and the quite conservative. In Mecklenburg-Vorpommern on the other hand has left-leaning governments for some time now and all parties even the CDU are quite progressive. So I'd leave like that.

Re: Afghanistan: It depends a lot wether there are still troops in Afghanistan by then. If they are not NATO would probably be no issue, but I'll probably change it into Defense ;)

Ah, really with Niedersachsen? It's usually stronger for the SPD and I think stayed with them in 2005. Plus, Mecklenburg-Vorpommern went for the CDU/CSU in 2005 and 2009.

Good to know about Hamburg, although it has a big immigrant population and also voted heavily SPD in 2011 so I'd still put it as CL.

I'll post the regional changes when I'm finished.

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How is this for the 2005 and 2009 scenarios?

// each region should have 18 regional center values

// 1 means the regional center is 1' date=' 5 that it is 5

// acceptable values are 1-5

// Armed Forces Reform

// Consumer Protection

// Corporate Responsibility

// Economy

// Education

// Eastern Recovery

// Energy

// Environment

// Europe

// Family

// German-American Relations

// Immigration

// Internal Security

// Jobs

// Military Intervention

// Public Health Reform

// Social Security

// Tax and Budget

//Schleswig-Holstein

// Armed Forces Reform

3

// Consumer Protection

3

// Corporate Responsibility

3

// Economy

4

// Education

3

// Eastern Recovery

3

// Energy

4

// Environment

4

// Europe

3

// Family

4

// German-American Relations

4

// Immigration

3

// Internal Security

4

// Jobs

4

// Military Intervention

4

// Public Health Reform

4

// Social Security

3

// Tax and Budget

3

//Mecklenburg-Vorpommern

// Armed Forces Reform

// Consumer Protection

// Corporate Responsibility

// Economy

// Education

// Eastern Recovery

// Energy

// Environment

// Europe

// Family

// German-American Relations

// Immigration

// Internal Security

// Jobs

// Military Intervention

// Public Health Reform

// Social Security

// Tax and Budget

3

3

3

4

3

1

4

4

3

4

4

3

4

4

4

4

3

3

//Niedersachsen

// Armed Forces Reform

// Consumer Protection

// Corporate Responsibility

// Economy

// Education

// Eastern Recovery

// Energy

// Environment

// Europe

// Family

// German-American Relations

// Immigration

// Internal Security

// Jobs

// Military Intervention

// Public Health Reform

// Social Security

// Tax and Budget

3

2

2

2

2

3

2

2

4

2

3

4

3

2

2

3

3

2

//Sachsen-Anhalt

// Armed Forces Reform

// Consumer Protection

// Corporate Responsibility

// Economy

// Education

// Eastern Recovery

// Energy

// Environment

// Europe

// Family

// German-American Relations

// Immigration

// Internal Security

// Jobs

// Military Intervention

// Public Health Reform

// Social Security

// Tax and Budget

3

2

1

4

3

1

4

4

4

4

4

4

4

4

4

4

3

3

//Brandenburg

// Armed Forces Reform

// Consumer Protection

// Corporate Responsibility

// Economy

// Education

// Eastern Recovery

// Energy

// Environment

// Europe

// Family

// German-American Relations

// Immigration

// Internal Security

// Jobs

// Military Intervention

// Public Health Reform

// Social Security

// Tax and Budget

3

2

1

2

2

1

2

2

4

2

3

4

3

2

2

3

3

2

//Berlin

// Armed Forces Reform

// Consumer Protection

// Corporate Responsibility

// Economy

// Education

// Eastern Recovery

// Energy

// Environment

// Europe

// Family

// German-American Relations

// Immigration

// Internal Security

// Jobs

// Military Intervention

// Public Health Reform

// Social Security

// Tax and Budget

2

2

2

2

2

1

1

1

3

2

2

4

2

2

2

3

2

2

//Nordrhein-Westfalen

// Armed Forces Reform

// Consumer Protection

// Corporate Responsibility

// Economy

// Education

// Eastern Recovery

// Energy

// Environment

// Europe

// Family

// German-American Relations

// Immigration

// Internal Security

// Jobs

// Military Intervention

// Public Health Reform

// Social Security

// Tax and Budget

3

2

3

4

3

3

4

4

3

4

4

3

4

4

4

4

3

3

//Hessen

// Armed Forces Reform

// Consumer Protection

// Corporate Responsibility

// Economy

// Education

// Eastern Recovery

// Energy

// Environment

// Europe

// Family

// German-American Relations

// Immigration

// Internal Security

// Jobs

// Military Intervention

// Public Health Reform

// Social Security

// Tax and Budget

3

3

3

4

3

3

4

4

3

4

4

3

4

4

4

4

3

3

//Thüringen

// Armed Forces Reform

// Consumer Protection

// Corporate Responsibility

// Economy

// Education

// Eastern Recovery

// Energy

// Environment

// Europe

// Family

// German-American Relations

// Immigration

// Internal Security

// Jobs

// Military Intervention

// Public Health Reform

// Social Security

// Tax and Budget

3

3

2

4

3

1

4

4

4

4

4

4

4

4

4

4

3

3

//Sachsen

// Armed Forces Reform

// Consumer Protection

// Corporate Responsibility

// Economy

// Education

// Eastern Recovery

// Energy

// Environment

// Europe

// Family

// German-American Relations

// Immigration

// Internal Security

// Jobs

// Military Intervention

// Public Health Reform

// Social Security

// Tax and Budget

3

2

2

4

3

1

4

4

4

4

4

4

4

4

4

4

3

3

//Rheinland-Pfalz

// Armed Forces Reform

// Consumer Protection

// Corporate Responsibility

// Economy

// Education

// Eastern Recovery

// Energy

// Environment

// Europe

// Family

// German-American Relations

// Immigration

// Internal Security

// Jobs

// Military Intervention

// Public Health Reform

// Social Security

// Tax and Budget

3

4

3

2

2

2

2

2

2

2

3

2

3

2

2

3

3

2

//Saarland

// Armed Forces Reform

// Consumer Protection

// Corporate Responsibility

// Economy

// Education

// Eastern Recovery

// Energy

// Environment

// Europe

// Family

// German-American Relations

// Immigration

// Internal Security

// Jobs

// Military Intervention

// Public Health Reform

// Social Security

// Tax and Budget

3

3

3

4

3

3

4

4

3

4

4

3

4

4

4

4

3

3

//Bayern

// Armed Forces Reform

// Consumer Protection

// Corporate Responsibility

// Economy

// Education

// Eastern Recovery

// Energy

// Environment

// Europe

// Family

// German-American Relations

// Immigration

// Internal Security

// Jobs

// Military Intervention

// Public Health Reform

// Social Security

// Tax and Budget

3

3

3

4

3

3

4

4

3

4

4

3

4

4

4

4

3

3

//Baden-Württemberg

// Armed Forces Reform

// Consumer Protection

// Corporate Responsibility

// Economy

// Education

// Eastern Recovery

// Energy

// Environment

// Europe

// Family

// German-American Relations

// Immigration

// Internal Security

// Jobs

// Military Intervention

// Public Health Reform

// Social Security

// Tax and Budget

3

3

4

4

3

3

4

4

3

4

4

3

4

4

4

4

3

3

//Hamburg

// Armed Forces Reform

// Consumer Protection

// Corporate Responsibility

// Economy

// Education

// Eastern Recovery

// Energy

// Environment

// Europe

// Family

// German-American Relations

// Immigration

// Internal Security

// Jobs

// Military Intervention

// Public Health Reform

// Social Security

// Tax and Budget

3

3

3

4

3

3

4

4

3

4

4

3

4

4

4

4

3

3

//Bremen

// Armed Forces Reform

// Consumer Protection

// Corporate Responsibility

// Economy

// Education

// Eastern Recovery

// Energy

// Environment

// Europe

// Family

// German-American Relations

// Immigration

// Internal Security

// Jobs

// Military Intervention

// Public Health Reform

// Social Security

// Tax and Budget

3

2

2

2

2

2

2

2

2

2

3

2

3

2

2

3

3

2[/quote']

// each region should have 18 regional center values

// 1 means the regional center is 1' date=' 5 that it is 5

// acceptable values are 1-5

// Data Privacy*

// Consumer Protection

// Corporate Responsibility

// Economy

// Education

// Eastern Recovery

// Energy

// Environment

// Europe

// Family

// Technology*

// Immigration

// Internal Security

// Jobs

// Military Intervention

// Public Health Reform

// Social Security

// Tax and Budget

//Schleswig-Holstein

// Data Privacy

3

// Consumer Protection

3

// Corporate Responsibility

3

// Economy

4

// Education

3

// Eastern Recovery

3

// Energy

4

// Environment

4

// Europe

3

// Family

4

// Technology

4

// Immigration

3

// Internal Security

4

// Jobs

4

// Military Intervention

4

// Public Health Reform

4

// Social Security

3

// Tax and Budget

3

//Mecklenburg-Vorpommern

// Data Privacy

// Consumer Protection

// Corporate Responsibility

// Economy

// Education

// Eastern Recovery

// Energy

// Environment

// Europe

// Family

// Technology

// Immigration

// Internal Security

// Jobs

// Military Intervention

// Public Health Reform

// Social Security

// Tax and Budget

3

3

3

4

3

1

4

4

4

4

3

4

4

4

4

4

3

3

//Niedersachsen

// Data Privacy

// Consumer Protection

// Corporate Responsibility

// Economy

// Education

// Eastern Recovery

// Energy

// Environment

// Europe

// Family

// Technology

// Immigration

// Internal Security

// Jobs

// Military Intervention

// Public Health Reform

// Social Security

// Tax and Budget

3

2

2

2

2

3

2

2

3

2

3

3

3

2

2

3

3

2

//Sachsen-Anhalt

// Data Privacy

// Consumer Protection

// Corporate Responsibility

// Economy

// Education

// Eastern Recovery

// Energy

// Environment

// Europe

// Family

// Technology

// Immigration

// Internal Security

// Jobs

// Military Intervention

// Public Health Reform

// Social Security

// Tax and Budget

3

2

1

4

3

1

4

4

4

4

3

4

4

4

4

4

3

3

//Brandenburg

// Data Privacy

// Consumer Protection

// Corporate Responsibility

// Economy

// Education

// Eastern Recovery

// Energy

// Environment

// Europe

// Family

// Technology

// Immigration

// Internal Security

// Jobs

// Military Intervention

// Public Health Reform

// Social Security

// Tax and Budget

3

2

1

2

2

1

2

2

4

2

3

4

3

2

2

3

3

2

//Berlin

// Data Privacy

// Consumer Protection

// Corporate Responsibility

// Economy

// Education

// Eastern Recovery

// Energy

// Environment

// Europe

// Family

// Technology

// Immigration

// Internal Security

// Jobs

// Military Intervention

// Public Health Reform

// Social Security

// Tax and Budget

3

2

2

2

2

1

1

1

3

2

3

2

2

2

2

3

2

2

//Nordrhein-Westfalen

// Data Privacy

// Consumer Protection

// Corporate Responsibility

// Economy

// Education

// Eastern Recovery

// Energy

// Environment

// Europe

// Family

// Technology

// Immigration

// Internal Security

// Jobs

// Military Intervention

// Public Health Reform

// Social Security

// Tax and Budget

3

2

3

4

3

3

4

4

3

4

3

3

4

4

4

4

3

3

//Hessen

// Data Privacy

// Consumer Protection

// Corporate Responsibility

// Economy

// Education

// Eastern Recovery

// Energy

// Environment

// Europe

// Family

// Technology

// Immigration

// Internal Security

// Jobs

// Military Intervention

// Public Health Reform

// Social Security

// Tax and Budget

3

3

3

4

3

3

4

4

3

4

3

3

4

4

4

4

3

3

//Thüringen

// Data Privacy

// Consumer Protection

// Corporate Responsibility

// Economy

// Education

// Eastern Recovery

// Energy

// Environment

// Europe

// Family

// Technology

// Immigration

// Internal Security

// Jobs

// Military Intervention

// Public Health Reform

// Social Security

// Tax and Budget

3

3

2

4

3

1

4

4

4

4

3

4

4

4

4

4

3

3

//Sachsen

// Data Privacy

// Consumer Protection

// Corporate Responsibility

// Economy

// Education

// Eastern Recovery

// Energy

// Environment

// Europe

// Family

// Technology

// Immigration

// Internal Security

// Jobs

// Military Intervention

// Public Health Reform

// Social Security

// Tax and Budget

3

2

2

4

3

1

4

4

4

4

3

4

4

4

4

4

3

3

//Rheinland-Pfalz

// Data Privacy

// Consumer Protection

// Corporate Responsibility

// Economy

// Education

// Eastern Recovery

// Energy

// Environment

// Europe

// Family

// Technology

// Immigration

// Internal Security

// Jobs

// Military Intervention

// Public Health Reform

// Social Security

// Tax and Budget

3

3

3

4

3

3

4

4

3

4

3

3

4

4

4

4

3

3

//Saarland

// Data Privacy

// Consumer Protection

// Corporate Responsibility

// Economy

// Education

// Eastern Recovery

// Energy

// Environment

// Europe

// Family

// Technology

// Immigration

// Internal Security

// Jobs

// Military Intervention

// Public Health Reform

// Social Security

// Tax and Budget

3

4

3

2

2

2

2

2

2

2

3

3

3

2

2

3

3

2

//Bayern

// Data Privacy

// Consumer Protection

// Corporate Responsibility

// Economy

// Education

// Eastern Recovery

// Energy

// Environment

// Europe

// Family

// Technology

// Immigration

// Internal Security

// Jobs

// Military Intervention

// Public Health Reform

// Social Security

// Tax and Budget

3

3

3

4

3

3

4

4

3

4

3

4

4

4

4

4

3

3

//Baden-Württemberg

// Data Privacy

// Consumer Protection

// Corporate Responsibility

// Economy

// Education

// Eastern Recovery

// Energy

// Environment

// Europe

// Family

// Technology

// Immigration

// Internal Security

// Jobs

// Military Intervention

// Public Health Reform

// Social Security

// Tax and Budget

3

3

4

4

3

3

4

4

3

4

3

3

4

4

4

4

3

3

//Hamburg

// Data Privacy

// Consumer Protection

// Corporate Responsibility

// Economy

// Education

// Eastern Recovery

// Energy

// Environment

// Europe

// Family

// Technology

// Immigration

// Internal Security

// Jobs

// Military Intervention

// Public Health Reform

// Social Security

// Tax and Budget

3

3

3

4

3

3

4

4

3

4

3

2

4

4

4

4

3

3

//Bremen

// Data Privacy

// Consumer Protection

// Corporate Responsibility

// Economy

// Education

// Eastern Recovery

// Energy

// Environment

// Europe

// Family

// Technology

// Immigration

// Internal Security

// Jobs

// Military Intervention

// Public Health Reform

// Social Security

// Tax and Budget

3

2

2

2

2

2

2

2

2

2

3

2

3

2

2

3

3

2[/quote']

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How about these for issues in 2013? I need one more.

Budget and Debt

Economy

Education

Energy

Environment

Europe

Family

Financial Crisis

Foreign Policy

Immigration

Internal Security

Islam

Jobs

Public Health Reform

Social Security

Tax Policy

Turkey

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How is this for the 2005 and 2009 scenarios?

How about these for issues in 2013? I need one more.

Budget and Debt

Economy

Education

Energy

Environment

Europe

Family

Financial Crisis

Foreign Policy

Immigration

Internal Security

Islam

Jobs

Public Health Reform

Social Security

Tax Policy

Turkey

Most of the Eastern German states are siginficantly more left wing on economic issues. Not so much on social issues. As I said earlier already Lower Saxony is fairly conservative. Only the large cities are leaning left.

For the 2013 scenario Direct Democracy could be more of an issue.

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Most of the Eastern German states are siginficantly more left wing on economic issues. Not so much on social issues. As I said earlier already Lower Saxony is fairly conservative. Only the large cities are leaning left.

For the 2013 scenario Direct Democracy could be more of an issue.

To be fair, there are events that shift the electorate to the left.

What issues do you think should be strongest for the CDU, SPD, FDP, Greens, and Left?

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if you are changing the scenario i will like to know if you can add the NPD and the MLPD who are the to far right and left partis the NPD IS far right party many of them are neo-nazi and nationalist they don't had to many voters but they had representation in Sajonia and Meckelemburg there they had 6% of the vots so it will very interesting to found the two extremist in the election NPD lider is Holger Apfel and MLPD is Stephan Engel

Good look

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