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matvail2002

Nova Scotia-2009

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I know that a good map is available and Stephen McNeil is the only new leader to put for the Liberals.

However, it is very difficult to predict the ridings at this time as the three parties are very close in the polls so I will probably put the PC in many rural ridings, the NDP strong in urban areas and the Liberals strong in their strongholds.

For the issues, I will change:

VLT to The Economy (Very High)

We need to nationalize all major industries.

The State needs to control more of our economy (NDP)

We will do everything possible to help our economy getting better (LIB,Green)

We need to help NS to pass through these rough times, however we must have a balanced budget and limit spending (PC)

It is the fault of the US that our economy is doing bad, we need to have better regulate the markets but not fall through protectionism.

Gasoline Regulation to Economic Stimulus Plan (Very High)

We must invest everything that we can to help our economy.

An economic stimulus plan is a good thing to help NS. (NDP, Green)

The federal gouvernment is making its part, we must also have a good stimulus plan. (LIB,PC)

An economic stimulus plan is a good thing, however we must spend the taxpayer's money in a smart manner.

An economic stimulus plan is not a good thing because will only bring more taxes to ordinary taxpayers of NS.

Pharamacare to Seal Hunt (Very High)

The seal hunt is cruel and a very bad thing for our reputation around the world.

We must find a way to keep our seal hunt industry alive.

The EU is not fair and we will take our case to the WTO Court. (LIB,PC,NDP,Green)

Consider putting sanction on the EU for some Canadian products.

We need economic sanction against the EU for this backstabbing.

Is anyone interested about this election?

If so, I can start working on it next week.

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The NDP owns the HRM (Halifax and surrounding areas), I believe they have 13/18 seats and are probably set to win 2 more at least in this area if recent polling is correct. (NDP 36% PC 30% LIB 30%) They also have some strong support in Sydney, a couple seats, and 5 or 6 rural seats scattered around the province.

The Liberals were pretty weak last election but still hold a lot of support in Western Nova Scotia, a couple seats in Halifax and good support on Cape Breton. Theyre actually looking like theyll be a factor this election and will probably win a couple more rural seats and another one or two on Cape Breton. Their main problem is their vote total is spread out over rural and urban areas fairly equally in many cases, allowing the PCs and NDP to win because of their more concentrated vote.

The PCs are obviously really strong in the rural areas but other than that they only hold 1 seat in Sydney and 3 seats in Halifax area and 2 of them are very marginal. They have the strongest support in Eastern Nova Scotia and Rural Cape Breton because of Rodney coming from Cape Breton. With a lot of negative press lately, and polling data showing them polling -10% from 2006, theyre probably in position to lose 4-5 seats if not more.

2006 was PC 40% NDP 35% LIB 24% approximately

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How is this going? I have a ridings file all done, if that would help.

Just out of curriosity, who do you have listed as the PC candidate in Cape Breton Centre? They didn't have a candidate nominated until last night. ;)

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Well, I had the riding file done in the sense that I put in all the candidates that existed up until that point. Now it's complete, I believe.

The issues, though, I'm still considering.

Economy, definitely. Healthcare, as well, has to be one. Nova Scotia Power will be another. Crime, another one.

Any others you can think of?

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With the election almost over, does anybody have a completed scenario or at least a complete set of issues?

All I had is the riding file completed.

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I know that a good map is available and Stephen McNeil is the only new leader to put for the Liberals.

However, it is very difficult to predict the ridings at this time as the three parties are very close in the polls so I will probably put the PC in many rural ridings, the NDP strong in urban areas and the Liberals strong in their strongholds.

For the issues, I will change:

VLT to The Economy (Very High)

We need to nationalize all major industries.

The State needs to control more of our economy (NDP)

We will do everything possible to help our economy getting better (LIB,Green)

We need to help NS to pass through these rough times, however we must have a balanced budget and limit spending (PC)

It is the fault of the US that our economy is doing bad, we need to have better regulate the markets but not fall through protectionism.

Gasoline Regulation to Economic Stimulus Plan (Very High)

We must invest everything that we can to help our economy.

An economic stimulus plan is a good thing to help NS. (NDP, Green)

The federal gouvernment is making its part, we must also have a good stimulus plan. (LIB,PC)

An economic stimulus plan is a good thing, however we must spend the taxpayer's money in a smart manner.

An economic stimulus plan is not a good thing because will only bring more taxes to ordinary taxpayers of NS.

Pharamacare to Seal Hunt (Very High)

The seal hunt is cruel and a very bad thing for our reputation around the world.

We must find a way to keep our seal hunt industry alive.

The EU is not fair and we will take our case to the WTO Court. (LIB,PC,NDP,Green)

Consider putting sanction on the EU for some Canadian products.

We need economic sanction against the EU for this backstabbing.

Is anyone interested about this election?

If so, I can start working on it next week.

I think the Greens and NDP should actually be L on the issue I think, actually the Greens are definately L, the NDP probably CL.

Hmmm, it looks like the NDP may be winning big this election. Why is the PC government doing so poorly?

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The seal hunt was not an issue at all in this campaign, nor was any kind of stimulus package.

NS Power was one

Emergency Rooms was too

Can we think of any others?

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The seal hunt was not an issue at all in this campaign, nor was any kind of stimulus package.

If a stimulus package was not an issue in the campaign, what do you call the $1.9B "Building For Growth" economic stimulus plan that was the centre-piece of the Conservative campaign?

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If a stimulus package was not an issue in the campaign, what do you call the $1.9B "Building For Growth" economic stimulus plan that was the centre-piece of the Conservative campaign?

I'm sorry, but I have a bad feeling you're going to lose.

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I'm sorry, but I have a bad feeling you're going to lose.

To be honest, I never thought I had a chance at getting elected to begin with. Not only do I face a very strong incumbent, but I'm now facing a huge tide. I would be elated just to come second.

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To be honest, I never thought I had a chance at getting elected to begin with. Not only do I face a very strong incumbent, but I'm now facing a huge tide. I would be elated just to come second.

At this rate, NDP will get anywhere from 46-50% of the vote. And the PC's will be slammed to third place.

Good going Nova Scotia! :)

[ Not a personal slam against you or anything. Being an American I just get elated to see that outside of my own country the Left-Wing is flourishing. ]

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BTW, the Democrats (and the current US President) are center-right wing by Canadian standards because a good majority of Canadians (about 80%) are pro-choice, anti-firearms, don't go to church often and are pro public healthcare (however, our health care system is not as good as many Americans think because you wait a lot for everything, you don't have a really good quality for the enormous cost to get by and the hospitals are dangerous places to get sick).

Weirdly, many Canadian political pundits think that the NDP is not a socialist party per se, but a populist party based on a strong labour support, especially since many younger left-wing voters have moved to the Green Party during the last few years. A good way to see the populist nature of the party is to see the flow of the NDP vote to the Reform Party in Western Canada between 1988 and 1993.

Also, Atlantic Canada is not a region where you see many differences with the parties, except for their colours. Sometimes, you will see a PC government which is in reality more left-wing than the Liberals. Even the PC in the Maritimes (which is more Red Tory than anything), is in reality more left-wing than the ''Left-wing'' Democrats down south.

To my opinion, the NSNDP is not really more left-wing than the NS Liberals, especially since Dexter is not too left-wing to have some appeal to some Centrist, rural or Red Tory voters. Basically, the federal NDP is the most left-wing NDP around especially with Layton. Bob Rae is a good example of NDP that didn't not do too well in a recession in a non-NDP traditional province like Nova Scotia.

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I just heard the NDP's won. First NDP government in the Maritimes, in fact. I suppose now you can finish this scenario, now that the election's over.

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BTW, the Democrats (and the current US President) are center-right wing by Canadian standards because a good majority of Canadians (about 80%) are pro-choice, anti-firearms, don't go to church often and are pro public healthcare (however, our health care system is not as good as many Americans think because you wait a lot for everything, you don't have a really good quality for the enormous cost to get by and the hospitals are dangerous places to get sick).

Weirdly, many Canadian political pundits think that the NDP is not a socialist party per se, but a populist party based on a strong labour support, especially since many younger left-wing voters have moved to the Green Party during the last few years. A good way to see the populist nature of the party is to see the flow of the NDP vote to the Reform Party in Western Canada between 1988 and 1993.

Also, Atlantic Canada is not a region where you see many differences with the parties, except for their colours. Sometimes, you will see a PC government which is in reality more left-wing than the Liberals. Even the PC in the Maritimes (which is more Red Tory than anything), is in reality more left-wing than the ''Left-wing'' Democrats down south.

To my opinion, the NSNDP is not really more left-wing than the NS Liberals, especially since Dexter is not too left-wing to have some appeal to some Centrist, rural or Red Tory voters. Basically, the federal NDP is the most left-wing NDP around especially with Layton. Bob Rae is a good example of NDP that didn't not do too well in a recession in a non-NDP traditional province like Nova Scotia.

I found that all rather interesting Matvail, i didn't realise how un-fixed they were on a local basis, the parties seem much more fixed to stances in UK and US.

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I just heard the NDP's won. First NDP government in the Maritimes, in fact. I suppose now you can finish this scenario, now that the election's over.

Wow talk about an electoral landslide and a realigning election.

I'm not sure about the USA Democrats being centre-right in Canadian politics, I'd think they're basically the same as the Canadian Liberals (who are centrist/slightly-left-of-centre).

I do know Canadians do support universal public health care (well hell, so do most Americans- just special interests have kept on hoodwinking people and vetoing any proposal to fix the system), but I'm not sure about them being 80% pro-choice and anti-gun. Canada does have higher religiosity than most of Western Europe, though it is lower than the United States or the rest of the Americas (save perhaps Uruguay and Cuba). Canada also does have a large population of gun owners, though it's mostly concentrated in rural areas and the Western provinces, and does have mixed views on abortion compared to Western Europe or Asia (but still more liberal than the US). I dunno, I'd say Canada is to the left of the United States, but to the right of Europe and around the same as Australia or New Zealand.

Anyways, I'll do some work on modifying the 1993 election.

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GOP, thanks for your views on Canadian politics. Personally, I voted Conservative since 2004 but Canada is far from the US especially on some topics on ''nation building'', taxes and justice. I will say than the main cities (Montréal, Toronto, Vancouver, Winnipeg, Edmonton) and the whole of Quebec and many regions in Ontario and in the Atlantic Provinces are at par with New Zealand or Western Europe (maybe Denmark or Belgium), but many more rural areas (Alberta, Manitoba, BC, Saskatchewan, some areas in Ontario) have views which goes for the ones expressed in states like Montana or New Hampshire (strong libertarian base), Kansas (agrarian and more religious area) to Ohio or Michigan (mixed-bag area).

For me the main difference, between Canada and the US are taxes that you pay because somebody who makes more than 100K can pay 35-45% of their salary in income taxes. The sales tax is also about at a 12% average by province, with maybe only Alberta was you only have to pay the 5% Federal GST. As per the health system, it is not as wonderful as some left-wing Americans what to show you, because they only show you the best of it, because we have quite a lot of overcrowding (since you can wait 7-8 hours to the ER), you can wait 10-12 months to see a specialist and sometimes we don't have high-tech medical technology as in the States. We also pay on average two times more on gas than the US because of taxes. Also, our criminal system is MUCH more lenient than the one in almost all US States for the same crimes.

In Canada (likes in the US), politics depends from the region you're in, linguistics, from the urban/rural split and from the demographics which seems Canada more likely to be like the UK than the USA at my point of view with both a similar parliamentary system.

However, the main cities in Canada are mainly very liberal by US standards. If you take the city that I'm living in (Ottawa) which is having support for all main parties politically, you will see some trends that you see around the county.

The NPD (which have basically the same populist-left-wing ideas as Ralph Nader) are doing well among poorer people and especially among youth left-wing (but more less since the rise of the Greens).

The Liberals (which is a centrist party, which can be considered having no clear ideology by many) are doing well especially among immigrants and a part of the middle-class.

The Conservatives (which are center-right party by Canadian standards) are doing well among the middle-class (especially in Suburbs), people which are living in rural areas, more religious people and richer people.

The Greens (which is a centrist Green Party) are doing well amoung the 18-35 crowd and among some green leaning folks.

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A Quebec Conservative? I'm surprised you haven't been drummed out of your town for not voting BQ! :blink:

But yes, I agree Canada has neither the capacity nor the will to actually engage in "nation-building" without help from coalition partners or the UN.

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I lived in Quebec for about twenty years. Ironically, the Quebec MP from the riding that I was living in is the current (Conservative) foreign affair minister. I am now living in the nation capital which is in Ontario but I am at about 10 minutes by car from Quebec side.

BTW, there are some regions in Quebec which not BQ, expect for most of Montréal and the Outaouais region (which is traditionally liberal and federalist) such as Quebec City (which is quite Conservative and libertarian), the Beauce Region (the Conservative candidate had about 62% of the vote last time) and the Saguenay region which is a considered a right-wing soft-nationalist area by many pundits.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Canadian_fede..._in_Quebec_City

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Canadian_fede...rd_and_Saguenay

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Canadian_fede...stern_Townships

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Canadian_fede..._Central_Quebec

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Canadian_fede...Northern_Quebec

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If somebody has a good riding file and a picture of the Liberal leader and the Green leader (already have a good one of MacDonald and Dexter), I will work on this one.

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