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RI Democrat

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RI Democrat last won the day on November 14 2009

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  1. Maybe, though the disadvantage of the PM4E/K4E system is that you waste money on running ads in constituencies that aren't competitive. The ideal would be that you could just filter the list like you can on Excel, so that you could pull up, for example, all constituencies polling at 5% or closer and turn on an ad for them in one click rather than having to click each of them individually. Or, for that matter, if there was something like the old Congress Forever "watchlist" that allowed you to filter your key seats without necessarily investing the CP and cash necessary for targeting, then you could use the watchlist to filter for the purpose of running ads. (I don't know about everyone else, but in countries with a lot of seats like Canada and the UK, I don't find it practical to try to turn on targeting in every seat where I'm running ads.)
  2. I'd like some way of filtering seats by margin and/or a click-and-drag feature so that I don't have to click the mouse, say, 150 times to turn an ad on in 150 different political units.
  3. Just a question - do you plan to update the candidates in the new Canada 2019 scenario after the parties finish choosing their candidates? (Or maybe they already have, I don't know.)
  4. Georgia came closer to voting Democratic for Governor last year than Ohio did, IIRC.
  5. Is this scenario on the main campaigns page?
  6. Was anyone else thoroughly confused by the term "e-cigarettes" when it first emerged? I'm used to thinking of the "e-" prefix as indicating an online/virtual, non-real version of something, e.g. making fun of somebody who engages in online macho posturing as an "e-tough guy." So when I first heard it, I think on an airplane when the flight crew announced that they weren't allowed, I thought to myself, "What the hell is the point of a pretend online cigarette?"
  7. I believe that the MA Gov only gets an interim appointment and then they have to hold a special election. Unless Baker were to appoint himself, he'd have a hard time finding a Republican popular enough to hold the seat in the special.
  8. Biden and Warren both win. Minnesota is sometimes close, but that's all it ever seems to be - close. They even re-elected a Democratic Governor in 2014, and the GOP have yet to actually win it or even get above about 48% any time recently. My guess is that's their ceiling there as opposed to a bedrock from which to build. That said, MN and NH are probably the Hillary states most likely to flip given the lack of other choices and their relatively small minority populations. Nevada is on a light-blue streak lately, and I don't think the GOP will manage to take more than 1 of Maine's 4 electoral votes.
  9. Sadly, I think Ohio is probably now light-red rather than purple and that Trump will win it again regardless of what's happening nationwide. Biden might be able to make it a nail-biter; Warren probably won't. But it doesn't seem like any Democrat can win there lately whose name isn't Sherrod Brown or Barack Obama. If I were managing the Democratic campaign, I'd have not only the MI/WI/PA trifecta but also Arizona, North Carolina, Georgia, and Florida above Ohio on my list of Trump states to try to flip.
  10. I'm not sure this gets them any voters that they didn't already have. They've been the clearest and most consistent nationwide pro-Remain party for a while now, and these numbers may be enough to end up giving Johnson a majority in the next election with a pitifully low percentage of the vote, just because the opposition is so divided right now.
  11. I mean, here's what I get if I "gray out" every state that I can conceivably imagine flippping on 270towin.com. It still starts with the Democrat at 183 and Trump at 125.
  12. I think the country is too polarized for a landslide, at least if we're talking about something in the realm of 400+ electoral votes. It would require states that went for one candidate by at least 10-15% in 2016 voting the other way in 2020, and I just don't see that happening. The only Hillary states that Trump could realistically win are probably Minnesota and Nevada, and whoever the Democrats nominate doesn't have that many obvious targets beyond the MI/PA/WI trifecta and then probably NC, AZ, and maybe GA, TX, and FL. I'm not optimistic about Iowa or Ohio returning the D column in the near future.
  13. Of course not. Things are only "socialist" when Fox News and the RNC say they are. 🙄
  14. Even in a single-payer system, though, there isn't necessarily much government *ownership* of production and distribution. The way I understand these Medicare For All proposals is that the government would act in place of the insurer, but most health care facilities and their employees would remain under private ownership. Certainly Medicare as it currently exists - as a program for seniors only - does not involve the doctors and nurses who treat seniors becoming government employees. You could call Medicare For All "socialized insurance," I guess, but the actual practice of medicine would still be taking place mostly in the private sector.
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