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Maviejderha

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About Maviejderha

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    Political Guru

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  1. can I get a copy too? Thanks joshuabarron@gmail.com
  2. I would appreciate any scenarios that are still available. Thanks! joshuabarron@gmail.com
  3. Maviejderha

    P4EP Bug

    This game definitely gets unbalanced results and high voter turnout. On my first attempt as John McCain (on medium difficulty) I defeated Edwards with ALL 538 electoral votes and 67% of the popular vote (right after the convention I ran a 6 Attack radio ad nationwide and that got everystate in my corner except Arizona! which didn't come over till later). Even more startling, despite the fact that the election had been over since just after the conventions, there is still a record turnout. With 120.8 M votes, I was less than 2M votes away the 2004 TOTAL, and Edwards, despite only getting a measly 33% of the vote, still had more votes than John Kerry did in 2004, making him the 3rd highest vote getter ever.
  4. didn't realize that...I think that's a mistake for him; he's only been governor for four years, right?
  5. * Possible Incumbents Hillary Clinton, Edwards, Kerry (Kerry is an extreme longshot), and Dean (if Dems do will in 06) * Gov. Warner of Virgina. He's challanging Senator Allen in 06, and both men have been mentioned as 08 possibilities whose political careers will be over with an 06 loss. As a freshmen Senator, Warner probably wouldn't challenge Hillary, but if she loses in 08, Senator Warner would probably be the frontrunner for '12.
  6. I don't really think it would have made all that much of a difference; I mean, its not like Bush is against disaster relief, and since Katrina had not yet happen, he could probably make an argument that he was better at it than Kerry, since he had responded to 9-11, and had responded to natural disasters in Texas while governor. What Kerry needed to do to win was not try to walk the tightrope between the far left "get out of Iraq immediately" and the more reasonable "Let's finish the job, even if Bush is an idiot." He did eventually try to establish himself in the latter, but not until getting himself labeled as a waffler, which such phrases as "I actually opposed the war before I voted for it." Also, though California may have an Earthquake, the odds of a devastating Earthquake is quite slim. Nothing devastating enough to even be compared to Katrina as happened since the 1906 EQ in San Fran, and the 1900 hurricane that destroyed Galveston (an event which eventually made the minor city of Houston the largest city in Texas). Thus, I think that disaster relief will probably not be a national issue, though could stilll be an issue in states affected like LA, MS and AL.
  7. I think there are two ways that we could get a strong 3rd party candidate: On the republican side, if Rudy Guliani or someone very pro-choice like him were somehow to get the Republican nomination, I think it would likely split the Republican party. On the Democratic side, if Hilary runs as a moderate and loses, I think the far left might split from the party. I don't think disaster planning will be a major issue past 2006, maybe 2008, simply because they don't tend to happen that often. Debt will likely be a big issue as well, but there is no danger of a country demanding immediate payments - the way we finance the debt is by issuing government bonds that are worth a specified amount after a specified time. The real issue with debt is that some nations are starting to get a little wary of continued investment in the U.S., especially due to the weak dollar. As debt becomes more expensive to extend, politicians may have to start making some tough choices. MI actually used to be a swing state. I expect it to continue to remain a leans (rather strongly) Democrat state. I think that WI, IO, and MN though will likely be GOP states by then. If social issues remain the top issues, these states are socially generaly more intune with the GOP (helped by the Republicans become more and more willing to have a big gov't). However, Democratic losses here will probably be offset somewhat by states like Virginia and Colorado becoming a swing states.
  8. I think Immigration will be a huge issue for the forseeable future.
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