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About MysteryKnight

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    Political Guru
  • Birthday 10/12/1998

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    New Jersey

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  1. MysteryKnight

    Trump/Pence vs. Biden/O'Rourke

    I would vote for Biden, but this combo especially is not what democrats need. If Biden were the nominee, it would be wise for him to pick someone like Booker or Harris
  2. MysteryKnight

    Who Will Run for President in 2020?

    I agree that most of these are just below or at 50% right now, not many above that. Based on his comments Avenatti seems like a sure thing to run, he won't last long though. All signs point to Booker running, and Castro has already said he very likely will run. My feeling is also that Biden is leaning on running. All the others, especially Bernie, Warren, Harris, and Brown, I feel depend on who else decides to run and if they believe they have the best message and the best to beat Trump. I'd put them all at 50% right now.
  3. MysteryKnight

    Democratic Primary Poll (November 2018)

    I'd vote Sanders, even though I actually don't think he should run due to his age, I'd feel obligated to vote for him since I was too young to vote for him in the 2016 primaries (by only a few months at that). But if he doesn't run, Brown or Gillibrand is who I'd look to support from this list
  4. MysteryKnight

    2020 Scenario Senators

    Arizona 1: Who will Doug Ducey (R) select to replace McCain? Cindy McCain, Meghan McCain, Former Sen. Jon Kyl, Sheriff Joe Arpaio, Sarah Palin, Doug Ducey, someone else? Arizona 2: Martha McSalley (R) or Kyrsten Sinema (D) TOSSUP (Trump approval 52%) California: Dianne Feinstein (D-incumbent) or Kevin de Leon SAFE Feinstein Connecticut: Chris Murphy (D-incumbent) or Matthew Corey SAFE D Delaware: Unknown D or Unknown R LIKELY D (Trump approval 41%) Florida: Bill Nelson (D-incumbent) or Rick Scott (R) TOSSUP (Trump approval 50%) Hawaii: Mazie Hirono (D-incumbent) or Ron Curtis (R) SAFE D Indiana: Joe Donnelly (D-incumbent) or Mike Braun (R) TOSSUP (Trump approval 53%) Maine: Angus King (I-incumbent) or Zak Ringelstein (D) or Eric Brakey (R) SAFE I (Trump approval 50%) Maryland: Ben Cardin (D-incumbent) or Tony Campbell (R) SAFE D Massachusetts: Elizabeth Warren (D-incumbent) or unknown Republican (R) LIKELY D (Trump 41% approval) Michigan: Debbie Stabenow (D-incumbent) or John James (R) LIKELY D (Trump approval 47%) Minnesota 1: Amy Klobuchar (D-incumbent) or Jim Newberger (R) LIKELY D (Trump approval 46%) Minnesota 2: Tina Smith (D-incumbent) or Karin Housley (R) LIKELY D (Trump approval 46%) Mississippi 1: Roger Wicker (R-incumbent) or David Baria (D) LIKELY R (Trump approval 58%) Mississippi 2: Unknown (R) or Unknown (D) LIKELY R (Trump approval 58%) Missouri: Claire McCaskill (D-incumbent) or Josh Hawley (R) TOSSUP (Trump approval 54%) Montana: Jon Tester (D-incumbent) or Matt Rosendale (R) LEAN D (Trump approval 64%) Kansas: Deb Fischer (R-incumbent) or Jane Raybould (D) LIKELY R Nevada: Dean Heller (R-incumbent) or Jacky Rosen (D) TOSSUP (Trump approval 50%) New Jersey: Bob Menendez (D-incumbent) or Bob Hugin (R) LEAN D (Trump approval 46%) New Mexico: Martin Heinrich (D-incumbent) or Mick Rich (R) Gary Johnson (Libertarian) SAFE D New York: Kirsten Gillibrand (D-incumbent) or Chele Farley (R) SAFE D North Dakota: Heidi Heitkamp (D-incumbent) or Kevin Cramer (R) TOSSUP (Trump approval 64%) Ohio: Sherrod Brown (D-incumbent) or Jim Renacci (R) LIKELY D (Trump approval 52%) Pennsylvania: Bob Casey (D-incumbent) or Lou Barletta (R) LIKELY D (Trump approval 51%) Rhode Island: Unknown D or Unknown R SAFE D Tennessee: Marsha Blackburn (R) or Phil Bredesen (D) LEAN R (Trump approval 61%) Texas: Ted Cruz (R-incumbent) or Beto O'Rourke (D) LEAN R (Trump approval 53%) Utah: Mitt Romney (R) or Jenny Wilson (D) SAFE R Vermont: Bernie Sanders (I-incumbent) or Unknown (R) SAFE I Virginia: Tim Kaine (D-incumbent) or Corey Stewart (R) LIKELY D (Trump approval 49%) Washington: Maria Cantwell (D-incumbent) or Susan Hutchinson (R) SAFE D West Virginia: Joe Manchin (D-incumbent) or Patrick Morrisey (R) LEAN D (Trump approval 71%) Wisconsin: Tammy Baldwin (D-incumbent) or Leah Lukmir (R) LIKELY D (Trump approval 47%) Wyoming: John Barrasso (R-incumbent) or Gary Traune (D) SAFE R
  5. MysteryKnight

    2020 Democratic Poll

    1. This was tough, I picked Booker only because I feel like he has the best charisma and able to convey a strong and inspirational message and get people out to vote, but corruption and being part of the elite establishment would definitely hurt. My personal choice would be Merkley but he just doesn't have the name recognition or personality necessary to beat Trump. 2. I picked Bernie. Seeing the enthusiasm from 2016, I can't imagine any of the other candidates delivering the message and getting the vote out as well as him in this age range. Sherrod Brown is a close second. Platform-wise he is the best to get progressive, moderate and conservative votes all at once, but lack of name recognition and excitement 3. Barack obviously. In every issue that I can think of Obama has done a better job so far
  6. MysteryKnight

    Alex Jones Poll

    1. Mostly yes. I'm inclined to want to be against banning him because I am a strong supporter of the 1st amendment, but in the end these companies like Facebook and YouTube are private companies who have guidelines and have every right to ban those who constantly violate them 2. No, not much more needs to be said 3. Yes, though that may change depending on how relevant he still is next year
  7. MysteryKnight

    Updated 2020 Election is Here

    Maybe add Jon Bon Jovi as an endorser for NJ? He campaigned with Hillary in 2016 and speaks out on political issues often. I wish I could be more of a help on endorsers. On a different note, have you considered adding Chris Murphy as a candidate? Though he hasn't said he is interested, he did dodge the question a bit when asked last year: http://abcnews.go.com/Politics/democratic-sen-chris-murphy-deflects-questions-2020-presidential/story?id=50422720). He's definitely become more known than before with the whole gun control debate and stuff. And just yesterday he announced his own healthcare plan with Jeff Merkley.
  8. MysteryKnight

    Building a Good Presidential Cabinet

    Not doing all of them, just the ones I can think of a good one for State: former Sen. Russ Feingold (WI) Treasury: Sen. Sherrod Brown (OH) Attorney General: Sen. Amy Klobuchar (MN) Agriculture: Rep. Julian Castro (TX) Commerce: Sen. Elizabeth Warren (MA) Interior: Gov. John Hickenlooper Health and Human Sciences: Sen. Jeff Merkley Veteran Affairs: Sen. Tammy Duckworth (IL) Housing and Urban Dev: Mayor Pete Buttigieg (IN) Transportation: John Wisniewski (NJ) Education: Zephyr Teachout Labor: Robert Reich Energy: Rep. Bill Foster (IL) Adm. EPA: Bill McKibben
  9. MysteryKnight

    2020 Scenario Update

    Booker and Gillibrand just announced last month they will stop accepting donations from corporate PACs to try to push for campaign finance reform. And there has been a lot of talk about the problems with politicians who are taking money from organizations like the NRA. While it certainly isn't being talked about as much as it should, I don't think it necessarily is being completely ignored to be removed as an issue.
  10. MysteryKnight

    2020 Election playthrough

    In the end, Gillibrand was not able to take the White House from Trump. But she did manage to win the popular vote by over 4% (6 million+ votes!). Blue states went even more blue this time (Dems got over 70% of the vote in Cali, NY, VT, and RI, as well as 60+% in a number of other states). Republicans barely held onto PA, WI, MI, and squeaked out a victory in MN too. Interesting win from the Dems in Indiana though. I attached the results file also if you want to see all the state results ree.csv
  11. MysteryKnight

    2020 Election playthrough

    A little let than a month until the election. Trump currently leads (though Gillibrand would likely end up winning popular vote). The Midwest is turning quite red, while areas like the Southeast may be turning out in favor for the democrats.
  12. MysteryKnight

    2020 Election playthrough

    At the convention, Brown gave his delegates to Sanders, while everyone else gave them Kirsten Gillibrand. It now comes down to Sanders. Whoever he gives his delegates to will become the nominee.... Sanders delegates go to Kirsten Gillibrand and Gillibrand is the democratic nominee. Tickets: Trump/Gingrich Gillibrand/Brown
  13. MysteryKnight

    2020 Election playthrough

    Trump easily won the Republican nomination early on (I believe March 17 was when he officially secured the nomination). Joe Biden did very well for Democrats, but progressives in the party clearly wouldn't let him run away too easily as there will be a contested convention.
  14. MysteryKnight

    2020 Election playthrough

    March 4 delegate count Biden: 635 Garcetti: 400 Holder: 154 Hickenlooper: 149 Sanders: 127 Booker: 111 Gillibrand: 71 Brown: 49 Delaney: 26 Guttierez: 15 Booker and Delaney withdraw one day after Super Tuesday. And then the next day, Paul, Corker, Hickenlooper, and Holder all withdraw. Trump: 678 Kasich: 129 Corker: 118 Paul: 41 Trump and Biden are the clear front runners right now. Garcetti is actually only polling at 3%, but he won California so he got a lot of delegates from that (similar with Holder, who won Texas but nothing else)
  15. MysteryKnight

    2020 Election playthrough

    Not looking too great for him. but he is leading in Iowa January 1 polling Democrats: Biden: 33.8% Sanders: 21.1% Gillibrand: 9.1% Booker: 8.9% Garcetti: 7.4% Hickenlooper: 4.9% Sherrod Brown: 4.8% Holder: 3.1% Guttierez: 2.8% Delaney: 1.2% Republicans Trump: 51% Kasich: 23.4% Corker: 9% Paul: 6.5