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lizphairphreak

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Everything posted by lizphairphreak

  1. lizphairphreak

    Taylor Swift 2020?

    Added Taylor Swift as a potential third party candidate into VCCzar's 2020 scenario, despite her age. Used this map of her popularity to make some (very!) loose percentages by state. Starting a playthrough now, starting at January 1, 2020. Swift has good or very good relationships with most candidates aside from Trump, who she has a "bad" relationship with. The candidates I have on are Trump and Kasich for the GOP, Jill Stein for the Greens, and Biden, Sanders, Harris, Booker, Gillibrand, Warren, and Gabbard for the Dems. Swift is beginning at a 13.6% nationally (the game did some math with the semi-nonsense I gave) and is Not Seeking. Will update if this turns out fun.
  2. lizphairphreak

    Taylor Swift 2020?

    Oh yeah, a deeper analysis showed that Swift was within striking distance in Maine, Arizona, Michigan, Minnesota, Wyoming, Colorado, and Idaho. She didn't campaign at all in Maine, besides some ads, but lost by only like .3%, which is interesting. As compared to Arizona and Minnesota where she campaigned HEAVILY. Looking at the numbers showed that she played a spoiler in favor of Biden in Michigan, Maine, Minnesota(!), and even Florida & Georgia even though her campaigning there was not as intensive as others.
  3. lizphairphreak

    Taylor Swift 2020?

    For real. I was playing through the assumption that Swift would act as a spoiler to benefit the Dems (based on her endorsement of Dem candidates IRL) but when Biden tapped Cuomo in the game, I was like okay time to go negative against Biden haha
  4. lizphairphreak

    Taylor Swift 2020?

    Yes! It was a NYTimes thing, I think they did 50? https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2017/08/07/upshot/music-fandom-maps.html I remembered seeing Taylor's floating around after she made her big political Instagram post, and it surprised me how unpopular she is in the South when she started in country.
  5. lizphairphreak

    Taylor Swift 2020?

    Swift in her concession speech: "While I am disappointed that we didn't have a winning result tonight, and that I won't be your president in January of 2021, I am honored to have received the votes of over 40 million of my fellow Americans, and to have won 59 electoral votes from a diverse slate of states-- including my home state of Tennessee." Overall, this was an interesting way to play this game and this scenario. I designed Swift as a centrist, but one who was far left on "social issues," far right on economic issues, and then Center on foreign policy. It made for interesting gameplay, as she could fare really well in Conservative strongholds like Montana, Liberal/Left strongholds like Oregon, and swing/purple states like Pennsylvania. Trying to translate Swift from performer to candidate was interesting, because I noticed her complete lack of experience had her policy speeches go poorly, but her massive charisma meant her rallies almost always went extremely well. I also gave her campaign super strong attributes (look at her fan club and advertising-- pretty remarkable) and started her low on issues and debating but really really drilled that in, since most celebrity candidates are going to get gotcha questions, so it tends to be best that they are as prepared as possible. Anyway, it wouldn't let me paste the map but I attached here. Pretty interesting game. swift 1st election map.bmp
  6. lizphairphreak

    Taylor Swift 2020?

    October was a good month for the Swift campaign. 2 presidential debate triumphs and a series of extraordinarily well received rallies leaves Swift at her highest polls to date. But she still seems to have stalled in statewide polls, and has quietly begun to prepare her campaign to prepare for concession. Allegedly, Swift commented, "Joe owes me the biggest thanks of his life" regarding her ability to siphon off votes to the Trump campaign. But not all is lost. The Swift campaign is preparing for an aggressive last week push, with 7 television ads poised to take the airwaves in targeted states. Maybe we're about to see an even bigger political upset than 2016?
  7. lizphairphreak

    Taylor Swift 2020?

    September brought very few changes, as Swift seems to have plateaued in the polls and maintained leads in Utah, Tennessee, and Alaska but haven't gained any other states. The Swift campaign has been, privately, feeling downtrodden but hopeful for October. Swift's VP triumphed in the first debate, and is prepping for the next. And now on to October and to see if the Swift ad blitz will work...
  8. lizphairphreak

    Taylor Swift 2020?

    August was pretty uneventful for the Swift campaign, as they've been trying to pick up lost ground. Bizarrely, Trump is being hit with impeachment and massive scandals and yet the Swift camp hasn't been able to use this in a meaningful way, while the Biden campaign has been able to continue gaining ground on the electoral map. Swift is currently leading comfortably in Utah, and by smaller margins in Tennessee and Alaska. A Swift campaign advisor was heard saying they plan to "carpet bomb" the airwaves with ads during the month of October. Swift is also rumored to be intensely preparing for the coming debates, though her current standing at 18% is not comfortable enough to guarantee she will be invited...
  9. lizphairphreak

    Taylor Swift 2020?

    July ended up being a rollercoaster month for the Swift campaign. As the RNC was beginning, Swift was seeing leads in Utah, Idaho, Wyoming, Montana, Alaska, Tennessee, and Pennsylvania. However, Trump nabbed a former Swift endorser and tapped Murkowski as his VP, and Swift saw her leads in most of these states evaporate. The DNC ended up being more exciting, as Biden finally won the nomination on the 6th ballot. Biden then tapped Cuomo as his VP (ugh). As a result of the nominees being officially determined, Swift tapped Michelle Obama as her VP. We are now in the general election, with three full months to campaign.
  10. lizphairphreak

    Taylor Swift 2020?

    June was, overall, a productive month for the Swift campaign. She has been able to build leads in Utah, Oregon, and Alaska, but is coming in striking distance in states including Minnesota, Arizona, and Pennsylvania. Swift's team is also building operations around the country and is allegedly planning to use the RNC and DNC conventions to continue building these operations, raise more funds for their already astronomical sum, and begin vetting options for Vice President. Now into July...
  11. lizphairphreak

    Taylor Swift 2020?

    Swift officially declared her candidacy in mid-May, and began an aggressive approach to rallies around her central issues of LGBTQ rights, abortion, and gun control. In the process, she was also able to negotiate with Elizabeth Warren to drop out and become a surrogate. Swift also launched 4 high powered tv ads in all states to begin her long-shot bid with a massive media boost.
  12. lizphairphreak

    Taylor Swift 2020?

    April has come and gone, with Swift giving occasional policy speeches and training for debates and issues. However, she's also been hit with accusations of negative campaigning and assaults on her issue focuses by the Trump family. However, with months to go and solid campaign attributes, Swift and her team are still hoping to come from behind...
  13. lizphairphreak

    Taylor Swift 2020?

    March has ended, and it is more certain than ever that Biden will be the Democratic nominee. Swift has launched an exploratory committee and has begun issue and debate training. She gave her first policy speech, on Defense Spending, in Texas.
  14. lizphairphreak

    Taylor Swift 2020?

    By mid-March, Biden has swept multiple states. Harris, Gillibrand, and Gabbard have all withdrawn. Swift tells a reporter, "I don't think that Bernie or Biden can win...on their own." Following this ominous statement, Swift has launched an exploratory committee.
  15. lizphairphreak

    Taylor Swift 2020?

    Swift also remained on the sidelines for the month of February, but took on a more active role in taking interviews and spinning news stories in favor of Democratic candidates. Trump has so far swept every state. For the Dems, Biden has won Arkansas, Colorado, Minnesota, Oklahoma, South Carolina, Tennessee, Teas, and Virginia. Warren has taken Alabama, Nevada, Georgia, and Massachusetts. Bernie has won Vermont and California. According to a close source, Swift is planning to form an exploratory committee by the end of March, witnessing the messiness of the primary in the Democratic Party and a continuing Trump domination...
  16. lizphairphreak

    Taylor Swift 2020?

    The month of January went by and Swift remained Not Seeking, though she took some high profile interviews and was received well on the issue of North Korea, strangely enough. January ended and Trump and Sanders won the Iowa primaries in their respective parties. Swift has been heard saying she doesn't care for Bernie and will be more likely to jump into the race if he becomes the favorite for the Democratic nomination...
  17. I finally made a decent map of my hometown last night, but for some reason the map background does not remain the grid-- the game engine has determined that the entire map background is also the area of one small region. It's weird because I am able to click through most of the regions and use the map as is, it's just this one specific issue. Note: the region that the map background follows is an island off of the coast of my town, while the rest of the regions are all together. Also note that I did the "fill-in" test that Anthony recommended in the tutorial video, and it worked. Another issue I've had in this scenario is that the game has bumped all money up to massively high levels, when I was trying to decrease it. It seemed most realistic to me that candidates would have less than $5k and could maybe fundraise smaller amounts, but for some reason the game turned that into numbers like (and I'm not kidding) 140050090 M. How can I stop this from happening? Lastly, I couldn't find a way to alter the types of ads that could be used. It doesn't seem realistic to have TV and radio ads in a small town, so I was thinking of having web, newspaper, yard signs, and maybe a billboard (for larger sums) but couldn't find the area to edit ad types as I have been able to in the past. Any idea what's going on?
  18. lizphairphreak

    Momentum is OP

    I think the issue is that the game's engine is very much entirely based on momentum, so there wouldn't really be a way to reduce it. But I obviously didn't make the engine so I may be wrong! As for the issues, I didn't think AI could either. The only reason I'm sure of it was because the candidate I had created, based on a real person in my hometown, was so prominent because he was so strongly against an override measure. So when it went from that to him being supportive-- and moving from far right to left-- I knew that something happened, and actually made some sense strategically (for a while...)
  19. lizphairphreak

    Momentum is OP

    I almost agree, but had an experience playing last night where momentum actually made sense and without it would've been less realistic, or just more odd. I made a custom scenario in my hometown that was a 4-way general election, with one party/candidate being the frontrunner and the other three having chance to win but being a bit behind. The frontrunner had issue stances that were pretty out of line with many of the issue focuses in town, and so their momentum for a while really suffered (I was playing as them, so I changed their plank positions and used surrogate spin power to neutralize the negative news stories) and with new issue positions, saw my momentum begin to improve. Note: the frontrunner was further Left than most of the town (even though these were local issues, I tried to keep it organized) In the meantime, two centrist candidates occupied spaces between center left and center right, sometimes switching with each other. And the final, and last place candidate (who had the largest committed base) was a populist and Right wing candidate, and was able to consolidate the Right wing base, but then moved to the Center (while retaining a couple of far right positions nobody else would move to.) What was most interesting, to me, was that an issue that was in this candidate's theme on the far right, he actually moved all the way to Left while the frontrunner moved from Left to Center-Right on it. This reversal was interesting because it was at this point that the right populist candidate was all the way to 2nd place but in a dead heat with the frontrunner. However, the populist candidate then started getting hit with scandals and losing support because his new platform didn't align as strongly with the neighborhoods he was originally strongest in. It took almost a month for the candidate to lose the momentum and support he had built, but he eventually landed back into the bottom of the pack, even being blocked from the 2nd debate because his support fell. This was a super longwinded post, mostly because I was impressed with myself on the campaign, but I think that what I'm saying is that the momentum aspect made this game make sense, and also put a focus on Issues. Candidates, both human and AI, adjust their platforms and strategies based on the momentum, and that momentum had a slow-moving but important effect on polls and votes.
  20. Thanks! Going to try to remake the map before the next time I play. Still not entirely sure how to edit ads, but I had seen an earlier comment about an XML editor that isn't here any longer
  21. lizphairphreak

    Shifts for Primaries

    Ah. I think you can use the polling tool to do that but I've never been able to actually do that!
  22. Might be a bit random, but was wondering if anyone had experience in these areas when using the campaign editor. Custom ad types- I'm hoping to work on some local elections and local races very rarely have TV ads, more often there will be yard signs and maybe mailers if a candidate has enough to spend. I've tried to make new ad types before but it's been clunky for me. Has anyone made anything like this work? Also, to extend the run time of an ad to be for many weeks / months, because ads like yard signs tend to stay throughout the election. News stories- There seems to be so much potential in that engine and I've only just scratched the surface, so I was wondering if anyone has done more with it. What I mean is, using news stories as an opportunity to move the needle on certain issues and have an effect on more than just impacting a candidate's momentum.
  23. What does a pixel breach mean?
  24. lizphairphreak

    Political Parties

    I, uh, live in NYC and have never once seen anyone pooping on the street, nor encountered poop on the street.
  25. lizphairphreak

    Political Parties

    I think political parties do hurt us, and also think a multi-party system would still be problematic. Having the only options be to think in line with a certain group is iffy for me (but may also just be human nature.) I like the idea of electing individuals better and have them find ways, as individuals, to collaborate.
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