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Everything posted by jnewt

  1. jnewt

    2020 Candidate Outlook

    He's already denied any intention of running in 2020, representatives hardly ever run, and he's not even going to be 40 years old in 2020. He'll wait until he's a Senator to run for President. If he did run, he'd be close to as bad a candidate as Clinton.
  2. jnewt

    2020 Conventions

    My thoughts as well...
  3. jnewt

    2020 Scenario Update

    Well I'm not sure how that applies to Kasich since he's already been a governor, is much much older than Kennedy, and, like you said, is not running for another office, so he would essentially have nothing to lose. If Kennedy ran he'd be putting his seat in the House in jeopardy. Plus, no Kennedy has ever ran for President without being a Senator first. Not to mention he's already dismissed the idea of running (though, admittedly, that hasn't stopped people in the past).
  4. jnewt

    2020 Scenario Update

    Joe Kennedy? Or is there another Kennedy I'm forgetting? God I hope he doesn't run, he'd be an awful candidate. I don't think he will though, he'll only be 40 and I don't see him running for President before he becomes a Senator.
  5. jnewt

    My upcoming debate

    Criticisms of your arguments: 1. You need to provide evidence of this. I have no idea if this is true, but I would assume guns have an elastic demand because they are neither necessities nor are they addictive. Simply saying this isn't enough, you would need economic data to convince me that guns have an inelastic demand. And I'm not sure why you mention supply-side measures. Supply-side measures are meant to lower prices, and increase demand. Aren't you arguing that raising the prices of guns wouldn't lower demand? 2. Again you need to provide evidence. Maybe find the percentage of illegal gun owners in relation to legal gun owners? Also comparing something that has the capability to be used for physical violence (guns) to something that cannot harm you physically (spam emails) would be a very easy point for the other side to attack. The other side may look to discredit much of your argument on the basis that you are dismissing the issue of safety. I would recommend finding something else that causes injuries and deaths, such as motor vehicle accidents, and point out how there is no one calling for a ban on cars. Although, we do have many laws and regulations to ensure safety on the roads, so the other side could weaken that argument by conceding that we simply need to strengthen regulations on guns and not actually ban them outright. 3. Again you need evidence. Saying you "don't see people giving their guns to the government" is weak; say "people will not willingly give their guns to the government, especially when they consider it a constitutional right." Avoid words like "probably"; be more assertive in what a certain event's effects will be, and then provide evidence of this assertion.
  6. jnewt

    My Presidential Cabinet

    I've already posted one or two different potential cabinets on here but here are the first people I would offer each spot in my Cabinet if I were elected President in 2020 (the names in parentheses are my next 3 alternatives, in no particular order): Secretary of State: Fmr. Rep. Dennis Kucinich (Nikki Haley, Russ Feingold, Wendy Sherman) Secretary of Treasury: Fmr. Sec. of Labor Robert Reich (Joseph Stiglitz, Paul Krugman, Ursula Burns) Secretary of Defense: Fmr. Sec. of the Army Eric Fanning (Wesley Clark, Michele Flournoy, Russ Feingold) Attorney General: Fmr. Gov. Deval Patrick (Kamala Harris, Martin O'Malley, Jennifer Granholm) Secretary of the Interior: Gov. John Hickenlooper (Tom Udall, Blanche Lincoln, Raul Grijalva) Secretary of Agriculture: Fmr. Sen. Blanche Lincoln (Tom Udall, John W. Boyd Jr., Jim Hightower) Secretary of Commerce: Chairman of VEON Ursula Burns (Jon Huntsman, Joseph Stiglitz, Paul Krugman) Secretary of Labor: Rep. Keith Ellison (Jeff Merkley, Cornel West, Randi Weingarten) Secretary of Health and Human Services: former healthcare policy adviser to President Obama Neera Tanden (Raul Grijalva, Alan Grayson, Jeff Merkley) Secretary of Housing and Urban Development: Mayor Andrew Gillum (Marty Walsh, Kasim Reed, Annise Parker) Secretary of Transportation: Gov. Charlie Baker (Marty Walsh, Annise Parker, Alan Grayson) Secretary of Energy: Fmr. EPA Administrator Carol Browner (Ed Markey, Jennifer Granholm, Bill McKibben) Secretary of Education: American Federation of Teachers President Randi Weingarten (Raul Grijalva, Michelle Obama, Jeff Merkley) Secretary of Veterans Affairs: Fmr. Sen. Jim Webb (Tulsi Gabbard, Scott Brown, Seth Moulton) Secretary of Homeland Security: Fmr. Under Secretary of State for Political Affairs Wendy Sherman (Tony Blinken, Wesley Clark, Michele Flournoy) White House Chief of Staff: Fmr. First Lady Michelle Obama (Jeff Weaver, Bakari Sellers, Marty Walsh) Trade Representative: President of Baseball Operations for the Chicago Cubs Theo Epstein (Jon Huntsman, Tony Blinken, Paul Krugman) Director of National Intelligence: Fmr. Under Secretary of Defense for Policy Michele Flournoy (Tony Blinken, James Stavridis, Wesley Clark) Ambassador to the U.N.: Amb. Jon Huntsman (Tony Blinken, Russ Feingold, James Stavridis) Director of the Office of Management and Budget: Letitia James (Barney Frank, John Yarmuth, Sanford Bishop) Director of the CIA: Fmr. Sec. of Homeland Security Jeh Johnson (Tony Blinken, James Stavridis, Jennifer Granholm) Administrator of the EPA: environmentalist Bill McKibben (Ed Markey, Raul Grijalva, Jim Hightower) Administrator of the Small Business Administration: businessman Ben Cohen (Barney Frank, Alan Grayson, Mary Landrieu) National Security Advisor: Gen. Wesley Clark (Thomas Donilon, Nikki Haley, James Stavridis) Economic Advisers: Joseph Stiglitz, Paul Krugman, and Gene Sperling Senior Advisors to the President: Jerry Brown, Tony Blinken, and Jeff Weaver
  7. jnewt

    Building a Good Presidential Cabinet

    I think you have WAY too many sitting Senators and Representatives, not to mention many of them wouldn't accept these positions...
  8. jnewt

    Three Democrat Tickets for 2020

    Joseph Kennedy III as nominee would be one of the worst possible scenarios for Dems...
  9. What party/political designation are you registered with?
  10. Why is the term "RINO" much more prevalent than the term "DINO" then? Perhaps left-of-center citizens don't support the Democratic Party to begin with and thus don't see anything wrong with politicians going against the party, but that doesn't explain why right-of-center citizens have such a problem with so many establishment Republicans (often the party leadership) whom some often refer to as RINOs. Despite the RINOs, citizens tend to stick with the Republican Party.
  11. I wonder why people (or forum members, at least) who are left-of-center tend to be independent (or a member of a smaller, third-party or political designation) more often than not, whereas people (or, again, forum members, at least) who are right-of-center are more likely to identify with the Republican Party than to be independent...
  12. It can be done online if you live in Massachusetts, but I don't know about other states. You can also vote in any primary you want in Massachusetts if you're a member of a minor party (any party other the Democratic, Republican, or Libertarian Party) or not enrolled in any party.
  13. I voted Green but I don't the actual Green Party, just a hypothetical party that exists to the left of the Democratic Party on the political spectrum
  14. jnewt

    Which of these states will elect a Republican senator in 2018?

    I think it's unlikely, but I don't think it's as impossible for O'Rourke to win as many people are making it out to be. I'd give him about a 10-15% chance that he wins. If he does, it'd be great to get Ted Cruz out of the Senate.
  15. I agree that he'll run for President, but I really don't think it'll be in 2020 (unless Dems win the House and make him Speaker...). I think he'll wait until he's a Senator to run for President.
  16. I wouldn't say that's true at all, only 3 out of the last 18 people to deliver the official response to the State of the Union have gone on to run for President
  17. jnewt

    Another anti mitt romney post.

    The whole point of a forum is for discussion...
  18. jnewt

    Andrew Yang 2020

    And Ted Kaczynski can be his VP...
  19. I voted for Gillibrand, but if there is a legitimate Republican challenger who I would prefer to Trump I would likely vote in the Republican primary.
  20. jnewt

    Kucinich Factor?

    I have no idea what this means or even how MSNBC and CNN have anything to do with what I said.
  21. jnewt

    Kucinich Factor?

    I'm a Bernie supporter and I would vote for Kucinich if I lived in Ohio so this is an awful generalization
  22. jnewt

    Trumps advisor Kushner

    Joe Manchin is absolutely not left-wing; he's a centrist/center-left Democrat. Just because he's left of center doesn't mean he's left-wing, that'd be like saying Jon Huntsman is a Tea Partier. Most Democrats aren't even left-wing, they're mostly center-left.
  23. jnewt

    Trumps advisor Kushner

    That's completely fair, but he doesn't need to be "Senior Advisor" to the President to support him; Patine's point still stands
  24. jnewt

    Trumps advisor Kushner

    This is literally exactly what a therapist is for, not a Presidential advisor...
  25. jnewt

    Alabama Senate Special Election 2017

    Any more progress? If not, you could send it to me and I could see if I could figure out what's going on or help in some other way; I'm looking forward to this scenario.