Jump to content
270soft Forum

Edouard

Members
  • Content Count

    952
  • Joined

  • Last visited

Everything posted by Edouard

  1. I even played just the middle part of the days
  2. Edouard

    New Historical President RP

    (I lost the RP game storyline That's why I am currently out)
  3. Edouard

    Quebec 2018

    you played great :)! Events I added are hugely favorizing Quebec Solidaire as they made big gains with CAQ and the Liberal litteraly collapsed
  4. Edouard

    Quebec 2018

    Hi! 2 big elections are coming in Canada this year First, Ontario in June, the Liberals who are in government are risking to finish 3rd. Second, Quebec the 1st October Problem Which is known with a lot of Canadians @Patine won't disagree I think, is that the Canadians QUICKLY change their votes during election campain Canada 2015...Quebec 2014...Alberta 1935...Quebec 2007...even Ontario 2014...Alberta 2014... And currently the race is still hot in Quebec, with 3 major parties The CAQ which had 15% 2 years ago is now at 35% and would form the next government if I take the last polls. The PLQ is at 30% (the current government) And the PQ has lost 10% in 8-10 months and is at 20%. Soooo, regarding that the Quebecers can quickly cange their mind, I am asking myself when could I start the mod
  5. Edouard

    It’s Official

    I know another guy who lost an election then won big other times This person was named Nixon, loser of the american election of 1960 I would not underestimate the Rourke effect, he got 48% in Texas against a Texas incumbent, this means he is dangerous for Trump
  6. Edouard

    It’s Official

    Well "boring" was not the meaning 😛 To be sincere, the cost of insurances which raised due to Obamacare for the middle class and which contributed to some Repubican gains like in Florida in 2016 I would have loved to see if Sanders would have still won if he won the Democratic race against Hillary The race would have probably be closer than expected if electors would have really had to choose between Bernie and Trump Maybe he would have won but only (according to me) with the blue wall, Pennsilv, Michigan and Wisconsin. But reasons why Florida voted Trump are numerous for example : -Latinos from Cuba were "deceived" by Obama's agreement and this got an impact on the Dem party itself -Obamacare for middle class' insurances
  7. Edouard

    It’s Official

    Trump is a mistery Once he says he wants free trade Other day he wants to protect industries Both are not forcely possible I agree Trump is even not a conservative, but he keeps the grassroots supporters on some themes like security and taxs. And that's enough to keep 44 to 45% of the electorate with him. Because middle class can be bored with Obamacare and agrees with some of his tax policies As a Social Liberal I agree with his criminal reform He plays with politic he plays with electorate But too much liberal on taxs democrats are making him strong in swing states
  8. Edouard

    It’s Official

    Too much left only 2 candidates can clearly win the next presidential election against Trump Beto is the first one according to me Democrat from the South, moderate enough but powerfull liberalism on societal rights, he can flip flop swing states and threatens Trump in Arizona and Georgia aswell North Carolina. Second : Biden Moderate enough too. If Warren or Harris win, they won't make more than Clinton because Dems can't ignore that a lot of swing states and former blue states like Missouri, Indiana, North Carolina, Georgia, Arizona, even New Hampshire including Pennsilvania are pro independent and moderate states. Some states are however changing like Colorado which elected a really liberal governor.
  9. Edouard

    Quebec 2018

    Update out with events from the campain! http://campaigns.270soft.com/2019/01/01/quebec-2018-change-has-come-events-added/
  10. Edouard

    Elizabeth Warren launches exploratory committee

    She will take Sanders' chances for 2020 so that's great for biden supporters who are threatened by Beto
  11. Edouard

    Late December Trump Poll

    I am French citizen and I passed 20 years of my life in France that isn't enough to convince you about my knowledges of the french political system 😛?
  12. Edouard

    Late December Trump Poll

    Of course! In France the party of Marine le Pen has been Economically right untill 1991 by anticommunism Post 1991 and the end of the USSR, the far right (and this is also the case of the german far-right if I am right and a part of the Italian far-right too) decided that now, the biggest threat to the nation was no longer communism but globalization. And because globalization was the ennemy they started to devellop programs against free-trade, for poor workers And electorally it worked, for example in France Marine le Pen has 35% of industrial workers with her and far-right is the first party of the industrial workers and even of the poor workers if I am right (what we call the employes). The far-right also developped a program of giving more intervention from the state in the reindustrialization of the country and extras pensions and subsidies for the people "first". Far Left and Far Right in France (and probably same for Germany and Italy) only clash on society (progressist vs conservatives) but both are really close on economy apart that the far-right wants to limit it to national citizens. Like it in 2017 this picture was almost everywhere in Facebook during the second turn We see the insoumis of Melenchon far Left and Marine and they pull together every point of agreements The goal is to gather an "Economic left" coalition against Macron who is economically center to center right. Here are the translations of the points : Get out EU treaties, NATO, SHENGEN, get out free trades. "Smart protectionnism" Popular referendum from the people (which is currently asked by the yellow jackets) Proportionnal system End of the liberalization of the work market Retirement at 60 years old with 40 years old of working Ban free foreign workers (Mélenchon surely to protect their statute and Marine to close but same promise) Equality Men and Women Kepp 35h of working per week Reduce taxs on poors Raise minimum wage As you see a lot of economic points.
  13. Edouard

    Late December Trump Poll

    Ehm I rather know the specificities of the French and Canadian system than all american denominations 😛 In France to be fair you have, from the far-right to the far-left Conservative Liberal Sovereignist (where Liberal has an economic meaning) Conservative Social Sovereignist (Marine le Pen) Conservative Moderate Liberal Patriotic-Sovereignist (Laurent Wauquiez and the Republicans) Moderate Conservative Moderate Liberal Liberal Patriotic (right wing of Macron's party) Centrist and Liberals in general Social Liberal (Center Left, left wing of Macron(s party) Ecologist (Moderate Left) Social Democrat (Moderate Left) Socialist - Left "Insoumis" name found to talk about the strong left Communist Anticapitalist And upon everything you have some sovereignists from the left anti EU and some others from the Right. And our greatest far-right in France is economically Left while Far-Right in America (including South) are economically right. Other strange thing in america the right is champion of decentralization while in Europe left as right are for it and both are doing it. So with all with specificities sometimes I lose my ladder 😛.
  14. Edouard

    Late December Trump Poll

    What we see is interesting Some Republicans would switch to independent essentially but nothing more I have a question for some american friends Do you believe that Bernie Sanders would have be able to smatch as much as the polls were suggesting considering he is strongly liberal in 2016? I do not see some states like Missouri or Indiana, even maybe North Carolina including Florida flip for someone that much liberal. Maybe Sanders would have been able to prevail in swing states however and win the presidency by it.
  15. Edouard

    Bilingualism in Canada

    I respect your opinion (you would not be able to go as far as he did) As a lawyer i understand what you say and indeed the Quebec has some powers that others provinces haven't, for example Quebec has the treaty making power along with the federal government. However and this is my point, if Law 101 did not threat the living condition of the anglophone community in Quebec it's justly because anglophones in Quebec have colleges, "cegeps" and 3 universities including McGill. If we would have to compare both situations then provinces of Canada would have to build francophones colleges with french speaking commissions or schoolboard and francophones universities as soon as there is 100 000 francophones in a provinces to 3 for example in Ontario. Hence in Quebec law 101 promoted bilingualism at its top with 94,5% of locutors in both languages and this is probably the error of analysis from "JJ" who thinks that Quebeckers are born bilingual while law 101 and the universities' network plays a lot (a big part of my second family in Longueil has sent all its childrens to anglophone school when they were young for 6 months and now they all have what we call a "C1" level in english => bilingual because C2 is anglophone native).
  16. Edouard

    Bilingualism in Canada

    This videast launched a video due to problems in Ontario with Ford's decisions regarding francophones' rights According to me this way to think is the reason why Quebec passed close to become an independent country in 1995. @Patine what do you think?
  17. Edouard

    Bilingualism in Canada

    Okay I watched others video of this man about Francophones in Canada He's just an extremist who hates the existence of another language in Canada and who dreams to shutdown law 101 and francophone communities in Quebec and New Brunswich In this video he's surprised that his article has been denounced and condemned by the whole parliament of Québec including QS the PQ the CAQ and the Liberals which were led by Philippe Couillard (by far the most pro Canadian who ever been PM).
  18. Edouard

    Bilingualism in Canada

    There is not only McGill in Quebec So following the argument, Quebec should close every anglophones institutions of english speakers in Quebec excepted McGill and 2/3 colleges which bring money, independently of what are the number of anglophones ho need to stude According to me, it's a very good thing that anglophones of Quebec are respected, it's a very good thing that they have colleges, many universities and local commissions to keep their program It's not for nothing if Quebec is the first bilingual province of Canada with 45% of bilingual people (even if 80% are francophone first) In the 80's sovereignism was almost dead in Quebec after the end of Levesque's government, then there has been Meach and others offers from the Canadian government, and the opposition from the Reformists of Manitoba and eastern Canada This played a lot in the 1995 referendum If news generations are not sovereignists it's just because a lot of the things that were existing in Quebec before are settled today: -The unequality between anglophones and francophones => Settled by Maurice Duplessis and the National Union -The constitutionnal problems => Reduced by the 1995 referendum and some agreements like Charlottetown And the youths hadn't lived this constitutionnal crisis neither the unequality between cultures, but if some people like "JJ" who spread the speech that francophones are "an elite" while anglophones were the rich in Quebec 100 years ago, it's the kind of way to promote back sovereignty.
  19. Edouard

    Bilingualism in Canada

    And I agree for McGill But the francophones deserve to keep their services in French as they are enough to deserve their own university, they're as much as the anglophones in Quebec in number if we only count the mother tongue of born. The whole Quebec stands behind the francophone community of Ontario, as I said Quebecers will alway prefer the independence to the language assimilation, and this is one of the things that made a lot of governments since the 1st premiership As said a famous federalist PM of Quebec;
  20. Edouard

    Bilingualism in Canada

    There are no longer as much as anglophones in Quebec Allophones are maintaining the global number of non-francophones but real anglophones are less in number (not in proportion but in %)
  21. Edouard

    Bilingualism in Canada

    There is no francophone university in Ontario for the same number of francophones versus 3 anglophones universities in Quebec (McGill Concordia and I lost the last) for the same proportion of inhabitants That is all the difference Currently the majority of Quebecers are in a third way mod Not independence, but not the ultra federalism of Couillard Couillard was the most federalist PM Quebec never had and this is really special contrary to previous PM who were big nationalists like Bourassa who even made pro francophone laws that the independentists denounced as too much "unilingual" That's why the 2018 election shaped the map of quebec Francophones hugely voted for the nationalist third way and this is why all the eastern part of Quebec (which is federalist but francophone) completely passed to the CAQ This is incredible when we compare to previous maps shaped by sovereignty debate This one is the 1994 map just before the referendum campain Green-Blue is PQ Clear to darkblue is CAQ (ADQ in 1994) Red is Liberal. Orange is QS. Concerning autonomy in Canada you know, that is one of the reason why I would be reluctent between the Conservatives and the Liberals Conservatives are defending provinces' rights, while PLC is more "centralist" and this is a problem according to me, in the relationships with every governments of Canada including British Colombia.
  22. Edouard

    Bilingualism in Canada

    Even more the anglophones have not disappeared in Quebec even with law 101 because they kept all colleges and universities and english lessons are mandatory in Quebec even if French is the compulsory language, it developped bilinguism in province (94,5% of Quebecer can speak french to 95%) but it didn't kill the anglophone community as long as they kept colleges and universities. And the most interesting difference is that it's René Levesque himself who threatened the PQ to resign if they would adopt the closure of anglophone's schools because he feared bad relationships with Canada.
  23. Edouard

    Bilingualism in Canada

    My point is that : Consider that the Francophones should not have these rights that the anglophones (who are only 8% of Quebec's population and who have 3 universities in the province against 0 in Ontario while they are equal in term of people compared to anglophones in Quebec) is one of the reason why in 1995, Quebec passed close to become an independent country At this time, 62% of the 82% of francophones voted to leave Canada And that saved the day was the 90% of NO from the 18% of non-francophones If the non-francophones were slightly less or hadn't voted that much against separation, Quebec would have become an independent country This map is widely clear with the YES in blue and the NO in red The dark red is essentially in no-too much francophones districts at some exceptions which also saved the day for the federacy: -The suburbs of Quebec which are more unionists even if francophones -The rural regions near USA which are more "francophone unionist" But still 80 ridings on 125 voted to leave Canada in 1995 If today indepentism is down it's because Canada made a lot of concessions to Quebec since 1995, but concerning universities in Ontario If Quebec had to apply the same logic at the same proportion than Ontario with its minority, then the 3 anglophone universities in Quebec should be closed. This would be called by the anglophone Canada of racist, but it would be the same thing than what Ford is doing in Ontario. Regarding myself I believe that the francophone university in Ontario should still open and we have to keep every anglophone colleges and universities in Quebec, but this kind of considering the french as "a privileged" concession in Canada is the best way to at a long time period, create the conditions of an isolated francophone Quebec and then relaunch the independence.
  24. Edouard

    Defeating other party leaders

    Otherwise here is one of my best with Quebec 2014 Unseat QS of Montreal! And I already see @Patine accusing me of breaking the union
  25. Edouard

    Defeating other party leaders

    Hi :)! That's potential about Quebec 2012 To talk about it Jean Charest was elected in Sherbrooke Sherbrooke is a student place And in 2012 Charest was hated by the students So locally in 2012 while PQ and PLQ were quite equal in % (31,8 to 31,2) he has been defeated by 7 points margin (note : in the beginning of the elections polls even showed that the PQ was between 12 and 15% ahead in Sherbrooke). Serge Cardin also was the former Bloc MP in the federal election.
×