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vcczar

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Everything posted by vcczar

  1. I've use our list from the previous poll to help rank the potential Democratic candidates. Here's the top 10. A. Frontrunner none B. Initial Competitors 1. VP Joe Biden (DE) - Has name recognition and personality to appeal to voters. His issues are his age, his ties to the establishment, and the fear that some sort of MeToo scandal could erupt at some point, considering how touchy-feely Biden is. Nevertheless, he has the personality to combat Trump, and he's the person to save Obama's legacy. ***Most likely going to run*** 2. Sen. Bernie Sanders (VT) - Easily the most exciting candidate for the Democratic Party. He routinely scores as the most popular sitting politician in polls. He's made Democratic Socialistic Progressivism popular again for the first time since the 1960s. He could bring the Liberal voters out in large numbers. The downside is that he's nearing 80 years old. Despite his popularity, he probably has a ceiling of support. He could send moderates looking for a 3rd party. The African-American vote might not come out for him. ***Most likely going to run, unless the Democrats prevent it, or unless he is happy with another progressive candidate*** 3. Sen. Booker (NJ) - The most president ready Democrat under the age of 60. While he hasn't the eloquence of Obama, he is has charismatic moments, and he's energetic. He's moved swiftly further left in an effort to energize the base in the primaries. He used to live in public housing as mayor of Newark, and so he can make an appeal to being a politician of the people much better than Trump can. He will bring out the African-American vote. On the downside, he's never been married, which may matter for some people and spark rumors about his sexuality. He comes from a state that is known to have a high level of corruption, so dirt might be easy to find on Booker. ***Most likely going to run*** 4. Sen. Warren (MA) - The most vocal anti-Trump politician with name recognition. She's the default leader of the Progressive Wing of the Democratic Party, and she will excite the base and bring out the vote in a way that Clinton could not. However, she admits to a social anxiety that is unlikely to be helpful on campaign and on debates. It is noticeable as her voice sometimes shakes when she speaks. She's will be 71 in 2020. She has been the primary target of Trump, who probably sees her as the most likely nominee. It is to be seen whether or not his "Pocahontas" tactic has any real effect on Warren's appeal. Some argue that Warren isn't interested in the presidency, so she may just be tricking Trump into directing his attacks on her, rather than only other candidates. ***Most likely not going to run*** C. Potential Competitors if the top 4 collapse 5. Sen. Harris (CA) - For those wishing for a minority candidate, she checks off several boxes. She's a very aggressive debater, and she may be able to press attacks on Trump in a way that doesn't look scripted. She's relatively a fresh face, but she's also less experienced than a candidate facing Trump should be. She's having a hard time convincing progressives that she's one of them. ***Seems likely that she will run*** 6. Gov. Hickenlooper (CO) - If any moderate has a chance, it's going to be Hickenlooper. He's got a strong record in Colorado, a state that is sometimes considered a battleground state, even though it routinely goes Blue. He could help keep Nevada, and earn wins among White Voters in the Midwest and in Arizona. In short, he's a strong General Election candidate. The downside for him is that he's not a strong primary candidate and he may not bring out the vote among the progressive base or among African-American voters. In the primaries, he will have to show both a genuine sense of humor and a combative style that shows he can take on Trump. ***May or may not run*** D. Potential Competitors with some flaws. 7. Sen. Merkley (OR) - Merkley has the benefit of seeming like a fresh face, since no one knows who he is. This is also a flaw. No one knows who he is. He will appeal to those most excited about Warren and Sanders, but he lacks their combative nature. He wins if a large portion of Trump voters are tired of Trump, otherwise Merkley might get shoved aside in the General Election by a more aggressive opponent. Merkley will have to adjust his body language to appear like he really wants to fight Trump and save the country. He's always appeared too nice to me. ***May or may not run*** 8. Sen. Gillibrand (NY) -- She states that she isn't interested, but no Senator has a more anti-Trump voting record--not Warren or Sanders. This makes it seem as if she's gearing up for a run. However, as she was the Senator that took over Hillary Clinton's seat, she could be tagged as "Hillary 2.0" Trump could keep referring her as that, and it may do enough to drive voters away. Voters also tend to not like politicians labeled as flip-floppers. Gillibrand used to be a moderate. Voters may tire of another NY politician as the nominee (Clinton and Trump are from NY). ***Seems like she's running*** 9. Gov. Cuomo (NY) - No one has more executive government experience than Cuomo. He could likely take Trump on in a debate. However, like NJ and IL, NY is a state that is often labeled as having a high corruption level. It might be easy to find some dirt on him. Additionally, his brother works for CNN, which may cause Trump to call Cuomo "the Fake News Candidate." For some dumb reason, Trump's school-yard-bully nicknames work on voters. ***May choose to continue leading NY*** 10. Gov. Bullock (MT) - He's the moderate option if Hickenlooper doesn't run. Bullock has the George W. Bush good ol' boy factor, but he also looks intelligent as well. Bullock may not be able to win his own state, and he almost didn't win reelection. However, his appeal is likely to help him in many battleground states. He is an outsider of both the Washington establishment. The great fear is that Progressive will look elsewhere or not vote at all if he run. He's unlikely to build an exciting platform. ***May not run*** Missed the top 10: Sen. Klobuchar, Gov. McAuliffe, CEO Steyer, Gov. Patrick, Gov. O'Malley, CEO Schultz, CEO Bloomberg, Rep. Delaney.
  2. I'm going to end the old RP, since we can't seem to get it running, and I'll start a new one. This new RP is very different. One person is President, and that president will react to historic events/decisions. The other players can react to the events/decisions as they bide their time before they can run for election against the incumbent president. In short, RPers will continue, erase, or alter the legacy of the president in office, should they take over. Oh, one RPer will be a VP, in case something happens to the pres. Since the old RP had @WVProgressive and @Sami as Pres and VP, we can start with them, if they wish to maintain these positions. They would take office as the first president and VP of 1789. This RP will be a lot easier to maintain, since it will only really require the president as being regularly active.
  3. vcczar

    New Historical President RP

    State of the Union for Election of 1896 ---------------------------------------------------------------------- National Strength: We rank behind Russia, Great Britain, Germany, France, Italy, Japan, and Mexico. The recent war sees Russia as the strongest country. All countries on this list are not far ahead of us. The European War leveled the playing field. Military Strength: Our professional army is 120,000 men and 58 ships. We are building a naval base in Hawaii, Puerto Rico and Panama. Foreign Affairs: We are improving relations with Europe. Our relations with the 3rd World may be better at the moment. The European Powers are glad that we refuse to recognize Communist France and Socialist Italy. Military: Our military is currently defending against any potential Indian attacks. Economy: Our economy sunk from a recession back to a depression last term, but it should be back to a recession any month now. We have not had a strong economy in almost half a century. Trade: Trade is improving with agreements in the 3rd world and with relations improving with Great Britain and France. Budget: Our budget is restricted because of a low tariff, lower taxes and high government spending, especially on the military. Social Harmony: Social harmony is more or less good, except for Western farmers. Immigration: Immigration is increasing with all sorts of European refugees. We don’t have enough jobs for everyone. Chinese immigrants in the West are also increasing. Mood of the people: The people seem happier but they are still disgruntled about the economy. Popularity of the Incumbent: the incumbent is respected, but reelection will be difficult. Party Power: Conservatives are the largest party, but they do not have a majority. *************** The next election is likely to be a complete tossup. Name and office: State of residence: Platform (see State of the Union above): VP nominee: @Hestia11 @Reagan04 @Kingthero @Conservative Elector 2 @CalebsParadox @WVProgressive ***Let me know if you aren't running a candidate this year***
  4. @MRA despite having only 7 posts is obviously someone that is used to this board, considering he knew who to tag. The spacing and capitalization errors are very familiar; although, the tone seems to be very contrived as if to hide an identity.
  5. vcczar

    Trump-Putin meeting poll

    new poll
  6. vcczar

    New Historical President RP

    OOC: I'll type up the State of the Union when I Have an hour free.
  7. vcczar

    New Historical President RP

    The richest man in America leaves the White House, refusing to compromise further. Europe powers will agree to this if Puerto Rico is handed to the US rather than the Philippines.
  8. vcczar

    New Historical President RP

    @Hestia11 @Kingthero @Reagan04 The Tariff bill fails, which causes the Northeastern industries and workers some chagrin. The Forebearance nearly passes, but following the Conservative Leaders words about it being a political ploy, many of his members opt not to follow their leader and vote against the bill, narrowly causing it to fail. A new bimetalism bill barely passes, despite Conservative opposition The richest man in America will compromise only by allowing railroads to be nationalized, but will not bailout the country unless all other industries are denationalized. He also requires being made President of the Bank. He also opposes the forebearance, but that bill failed anyway. He, unlike many Conservative Party members, supports a high tariff on Europe, but that bill failed. The European leaders state that these usurpers can in no way expect to relinquish power, and an election will not return the monarchy. They tell the president that Europe is traditionally a monarchy and not a Republic or Democracy, as such the monarchies must be returned. They ask for the US to support a non-recognition of these government, make a public statement referring to them as an illegal government, and use economic and other means to thwart these governments. In exchange, the leaders will compel Spain to relinquish Cuba, Puerto Rico, and the Philippines to the US. Lastly, the US must proclaim the Treaty of New York as a historic success.
  9. vcczar

    New Historical President RP

    The two alliances opt for New York for the Peace Conference. Germany and Great Britain will lead their respective alliances. They know that they will accept the following for sure: Reduced navies, reduced armies, war damage compensation paid by Germany, a guaranteed 20 year-peace. Great Britain will lower tariff on Germany. What they cannot agree in, and which you will need to arbitrate, is the handling of France and Italy, the former was taken over by Communists, and the latter by Socialists. Monarchists have fled to the US and Great Britain. Napoleon IV, at the conference, demands that no one recognize the new French or Italian government, and that some peaceful way of restoring the status quo can be found with the help of America. A bill to raise the Tariff against Europe in order to grow our industry is up for a vote. It has been decided to raise the tariff on Europe rather than on the new Free Trade partners. This bill needs a vote by @Kingthero and @Reagan04 since they are party leaders. (Also see the bill below for a vote) While this was probably a good move to avoid a bad precedence, the people's approval rating for the president plummets as most voters believed that this was an easy way to end the depression, even though there was no proof it would have helped or not. The people will accept the easy way, regardless of method, in troubling times. A bill with both proposals has entered Congress. I need both party leaders to vote.
  10. vcczar

    New Historical President RP

    Events and Decisions for March 1893-1897 for Pres. Atkinson @Hestia11 1) Cuba and Hawaii The invasion of Hawaii was mostly effortless. The Spanish are unable to to reinforce Cuba as they are deep in a war in Europe. However, the Spanish soldiers in Cuba put up a good fight. Our first landing is blundered, causing some embarrassment to our government. We land on Cuba on the second attempt, and after a couple major battles we are able to capture Havana. Most of the population will not help the Spanish army, who are compelled to surrender after a few months. We can hold this island as a bargaining chip after the European War. 2) Socialists, Communists, Fascism, and in the US France and Italy have overthrown their German occupiers, and the resulting government is split between Communists and Socialists who are fighting it out among themselves. Communism, Socialism, and a new nationalistic Fascism have been growing in Europe. We fear that these three different forms of government ideology will grow in our own country, especially as refugees arrive. 3) European Peace Conference The Germans failed in their attempt at invading Great Britain, then they lost France to the French, and Italy to the Italians. Russia has pulled out of the German Alliance. As such the two competing alliances request a 3rd party mediate the peace discussions. We could volunteer to do this. Where should it be held? 4) Tariffs Your economists are calling for a steep rise in tariffs to grow our industry as our economy improves. This will upset our Free Trade Agreements if we do this, but it might be worth the trade off. 5) Stockmarket Crash The Stock Market has crashed amid speculation of our economy completely recovering. Our treasury departments are depleting. A week after the crash, unemployment skyrocketed, and now the unemployed are camped outside the White House. The wealthiest man in America, banker Rockefeller Carnegie Rothschild von Vanderbilt offers to bailout our government at his own expense if the government agrees to denationalize all industries and appoint him as President of the Bank of the United States. 6) Utah becomes a state Nothing really to respond to, but this is a good sign for the Progress Party. 7) White Southerners once again petition for Affirmative Action Former Confederates and their descendants, a minority in the South, claim that they are not getting equal opportunity at jobs or in education. The Liberal Party members in the South adamantly oppose such an anti-discrimination policy fearing that the whites will just take over the governments and re-enslave them. Some have even told the whites to leave the states if they don't like it. 😎 Western Silver Voters The period of debt forebearance, signed by Pres. Carpenter, has passed for Western Farmers. The economy having never fully rebounded did not allow farmers to save to pay off their debts. As such, poor Western farmers are marching for an inflationary Silver Standard again, which they believe will help them pay back their debts. Some are calling for the government to absolve all debts. Economists and bankers are arguing for the Gold Standard and the resumption of payment on debts. Some are calling for an extension of the forbearance period, but the banks state that those owed loans have already waiting 10 years without receiving a cent. Most Progress Party voters favor the Silver Standard, or bimetalism. Most Liberal Party members favor gold or bimetalism. The Conservatives favor a gold standard.
  11. vcczar

    Odd results

    I'm wondering if anyone else has been getting odd results since the last few updates. More often than not I'll see candidates win states that the shouldn't be winning, generally by an overwhelming margin. For instance, I just simmed through my 2020 election with Delaney vs. Trump. Delaney took Alabama with 60%+ of the vote. He also won MT, KY, and SC. Part of this might have been the result of attacks from 3rd parties, I'm not sure. Overall, I'm not sure what causes a party to plummet in support in selected states, or what compels the CPU to act so aggressively in states that should be solidly belonging to the other party. @admin_270 is there a way to get the CPU to focus only on battleground states? Perhaps in the editor, you could allow a function that can restrict the CPU in the General Election only, for historical purposes. you can check the states that the computer avoids barnstorming, rallying, or using ads in. Fundraising could be different. It could be an option function, sort of like popular vote election or no-VP option.
  12. vcczar

    New Historical President RP

    I'll have the events/decisions up after @Conservative Elector 2 posts the election map.
  13. vcczar

    New Historical President RP

    1892 Election Debate on which party is the cause for a rebounding economy is a central focus on this debate. Conservatives are still dogged by Carpenter's foreign policy blunder, but his supports insist he is the reason for the growing economy. Atkinson is seen as having done a solid job, but his nationalization of industries has been criticized by some. The Progress Party is likely to win the West, but they could pick up votes from people unhappy with the two larger parties. Conservatives must show a strong performance in Round 1, since the Progress Party voters are more likely to support the Liberal Party in Round 2, over monetary policy. General Election Round 1 Carpenter/McEnroe (Cons) 178 EV 40% PV [TX, LA, MO, MD, DE, NY, CT, RI, MI, KY, IN, WV, NJ, OH] Atkinson/Bunt (Lib) 162 EV 40% PV [ME, VT, NH, MA, PA, WI, VA, NC, SC, GA, FL, TN, AL, MS, AR] Barker/Inning (Pro) 104 EV 20% PV [The rest of the 1892 states] [Good showing by the Conservatives, allowing them a good shot at winning in Round 2, despite much of the West expected to go to the LIberal Party. ] General Election Round 2 Atkinson/Bunt (Lib) 235 EV 52% PV [Loses PA to the Conservatives; Gains NY and CT from the Conservatives. All Progress states not mentioned as having been won by Conservatives.] Carpenter/McEnroe (Cons) 209 EV 48% PV [Loses NY and CT to Liberal Party; Gains PA from Liberal Party. Gains CA, WA, OR, IL from Progress.] [The flipping of NY was unexpected (only 33% chance), but it occurred, and was the primary reason that Atkinson was reelected.] Atkinson is reelected, but Congressional support has decreased! Conservatives are the larger party in both houses of Congress, but they do not have a majority. The Speaker is a very moderate Conservative, who is pro-Western. That is, a rare Conservative that is not a hardliner on the Gold Standard issue. Congress Liberal Senators 35%; US Reps 35% Conservative Senators 40%; US Reps 45% American Progress Senators 25%; US Reps 20% @Hestia11 @Reagan04 @Kingthero @Conservative Elector 2 @CalebsParadox @WVProgressive
  14. vcczar

    New Historical President RP

    Waiting to see if @CalebsParadox or @WVProgressive plan on making any candidates. If they decline to do so, then I can calculate this new election.
  15. vcczar

    New Historical President RP

    It wasn't quick to destroy it. It's just the 24 hour policy I have for everyone, regardless of who they are, and I gave you a 10 hour warning, which I knew you'd respond to in time. I would have said the exact same thing to everyone else, and I have said it to some when they operated as president. Had you not responded, and had no one made a candidate for your party, I would have probably dissolved it, since it is somewhere between a 3rd party and a major party, and not likely to get to Round 2 until the West fills out. Anyway, if you want to make a character, please do so before the time expires. I will continue to give my 24 hour warnings when the time ticks down to about 10 hours or less of time remaining.
  16. vcczar

    New Historical President RP

    I know, and I gave the warning that you have 10 hours to respond with a candidate. That will equate to giving you 26 hours from the time of the post.
  17. vcczar

    New Historical President RP

    I know people sleep, but I give people 24 hours to respond to critical events (events/decision and elections). You don't sleep 24 hours.
  18. vcczar

    New Historical President RP

    Also will @CalebsParadox @WVProgressive @Rodja create candidates?
  19. vcczar

    New Historical President RP

    @Kingthero has 10 hours to respond or I'll assume the American Progress Party isn't fielding a candidate and will dissolve as a party.
  20. vcczar

    Forum Amendments for Article 2

    I'd prefer multiple executives to one. Maybe like one to five with one of them up for reelection each year, with only one reelection attempt.
  21. vcczar

    New Historical President RP

    State of the Union for Election of 1892 ---------------------------------------------------------------------- National Strength: We rank behind Great Britain, France, and Germany in national production. We have sunk below Russia in production to number 5. We are on par with Italy, Japan, and Mexico. Military Strength: Our professional army is 120,000 men and 58 ships, but this force is costly. We are building a naval base in Hawaii and Panama. Foreign Affairs: Our relations are better with the 3rd World than with Europe. We are improving relations with Great Britain. Military: Our military is used to guard our borders. We are also invading Cuba and Hawaii. Europe is at war. Economy: Our depression has improved to a recession. Trade: Trade is improving with agreements in the 3rd world and with relations improving with Great Britain and France. Budget: Our budget is improving with better trade. Social Harmony: Social harmony is more or less good for the first time in awhile. Immigration: Immigration is increasing with all sorts of European refugees. We don’t have enough jobs for everyone. Chinese immigrants in the West are also increasing. Mood of the people: The people seem happier but they are still disgruntled about the economy. Popularity of the Incumbent: the incumbent is popular among his party and respected elsewhere. However, business leaders and fiscal conservatives oppose him. The election will likely be close, but re-election seems barely more likely than not. Party Power: Liberty Party narrowly has a lead on Conservatives with the American Progress party forming a kind of swing vote. ================================= Fill out below for the election-- Name and office: State of residence: Platform (see State of the Union, but the major issues are relations with Europe, invasion of Cuba and Hawaii, nationalized industries, the economy): Create a VP nominee:
  22. vcczar

    New Historical President RP

    Sorry about that. Great Britain accepts the warships, which they will either return or pay for. They are currently defending against a potential invasion and so the diplomats can only correspond precariously. The French aristocrats, including Napoleon IV (by surprise), have arrived in France, which is currently being taken over by a populist socialist group.
  23. vcczar

    New Historical President RP

    Congress overwhelmingly passes the president's demands. In other news, the economy has moved out of a depression, and is now in a recession. Conservatives claim the economy is improving through the measures of Pres. Carpenter, while Liberals promote the incumbent President as the source for economic improvement. I'll type up the new State of the Union shortly.
  24. vcczar

    My Observer Games

    This is another odd instance where the CPU gets hyper focused on random states, which causes odd results. Green probably won Colorado, because the major parties just ignored the attacks and ads there. The CPU really needs to be revamped.
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