vcczar

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About vcczar

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    Political Guru

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  • Gender
    Male
  • Location
    San Marcos, Texas, USA
  • Interests
    politics, history, coffee, walking,

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  1. Super Tuesday March 2020 The big winners are Tom Cotton, Susan Collins and Mike Pence for the Republicans, while Democrats are so split as to not have a clear Super Tuesday winner. Republican Results Tom Cotton wins Texas, upsetting Ted Cruz! Wins Alabama! Wins Colorado! Susan Collins wins Alaska, upsetting Murkowski! Wins Maine! Wins Vermont! Wins Virginia! Mike Pence wins Arkansas, upsetting Cotton! Wins Georgia! Wins Kansas! Wins Oklahoma! Susana Martinez wins Kentucky, upsetting Rand Paul! Wins Minnesota! Wins Puerto RIco! Donald Trump wins Louisiana! Jon Huntsman wins Massachusetts! Jeff Flake wins Tennessee! Marco Rubio wins Wyoming! Democrat Results Kamala Harris wins Alabama! Wins Vermont, upsetting Bernie Sanders! Martin O'Malley wins Arkansas! John Hickenlooper wins Colorado! Sherrod Brown wins Kansas! Wins Tennessee! Wins Democrats Abroad! Joe Biden wins Georgia! Wins Texas! John Bel Edwards wins Louisiana! Wins Oklahoma! Mark Zuckerberg wins Maine! Elizabeth Warren wins Massachusetts! Amy Klobuchar wins Minnesota! Al Franken wins Nebraska! Terry McAuliffe wins Virginia! After Super Tuesday Following Super Tuesday, Trump announces he will tax the rich as a remedy for the economic downturn. Ted Cruz in response now considered Trump to have abandoned the GOP. Republican Frontrunner: Martinez 12%, followed by Trump 9% and Kasich 8%. Cotton leads in delegates, followed by Pence. Democratic Frontrunner: Cuomo 7%, followed by Harris with 6%. Biden leads in delegates, followed by Brown.
  2. I'm curious as to how people would vote if Susana Martinez and Andrew Cuomo were the two nominees for president.
  3. Late Primaries February 2020 As late February arrives, Democrats are looking at their greatest landslide victory since LBJ. Although, pundits believe Republicans can balance the election out if they select an anti-Trump Republican who has been consistently a voice against his administration. Meanwhile, Trump flies to Beijing to end the Trade War with China, but makes an immediate gaffe when he declares that his Great Wall--his border wall--will be bigger than their Great Wall. Ben Sasse wins South Carolina! Graham was narrowly defeated in the primary, which is a crushing blow for his campaign. Lincoln Chafee wins Nevada! Gillibrand is upset in her third straight narrow primary defeat. Pres. Trump threatens Saudi Arabia will visiting China, causing the more radical Christian supporters of Trump to call for a bombing of Saudi Arabia. Trump neither supports or condemns their behavior. Susan Collins wins Nevada! Rubio comes in at a close second. Meanwhile, Trump leaves China amid mystery. While Trump claims victory and that he has ended the Trade War, China is completely silent on the matter. However, polls show that many voters believe that Trump probably worked a deal to end the Trade War. John Bel Edwards wins South Carolina! Buttigieg and Clinton are at a close second. Republican Frontrunner: Martinez 12%, followed by Kasich and Trump, both at 8%. Trump is seeing a bounce with his announcement of the end of the Trade War Democratic Frontrunner: Cuomo 7%, with Harris at 6%
  4. I'm not sure yet. I'm sort of playing through it to find bugs. There are also some events I have to move around. I might also add a few more candidates. In addition to updating this, I'm updating my historical scenarios and teaching at a University. So it might be a few weeks.
  5. Early Primaries February 2020 Despite Trump's historical low approval rating, it is only now that Democrats appear to be set for a landslide victory. The month starts with a report stating that the Trade War with China has left us with a Great Recession level economy. Trump then announces that he will visit China to "End the Trade War." Also, Congress approves of Giuliani as the new Attorney General. IOWA PRIMARY!!!! Sherrod Brown wins Iowa! Brown narrowly defeats Gillibrand. Harris, who had been projected to win falls to 7th place. Lindsey Graham wins Iowa! Graham gets 23%, defeating Sasse who had been projected to win. Trump is last in Iowa. Trump is unfazed by the primary results, defiant that he will win a second term. Following the primaries, news is released that Russia has invaded Ukraine. Graham and the warhawks in Congress press Trump for immediate intervention, but Trump mostly ignores them. New Hampshire Primary!!!! Susan Collins wins NH! Martinez and Murkowski come in 2nd and 3rd. Martin O'Malley wins NH! O'Malley narrowly defeats Gillibrand. Following the primaries, news is received that Saudi Arabia has signed a trade deal with China. Cruz wins the Republican debate. Biden wins the Democratic debate. Republican Frontrunner: Martinez 15%, followed by Collins, Graham, and Pence, all with 6%. Martinez would likely win the nomination if the Convention were held today. Democratic Frontrunner: Cuomo 6%, followed by Harris with 6% and many tied with 5%
  6. Don't have time to do this. At the time, I did, but I couldn't get enough people to help in this at the time, as is usually the case. Sometimes I think people want me to be a one-person machine.
  7. January 2020 Trump begins the new year by firing UN Amb. Nikki Haley, who had recently announced that she planned to resign over differences of opinion. New impeachment threats are thrown at Trump as he states that he will not fill the UN Ambassador position, basically taking the US out of UN decisions. Trump then brings his attack on to Congress, which he declares is "unpatriotic." Democratic Debate sees a meltdown performance by Julian Castro, who could not answer several questions. Bernie Sanders and Al Franken are seen as the winners of this debate. The State of the Union address becomes a farce, as Trump uses it to bash Congress repeatedly. Ultimately, most of the members of Congress walk out as Trump claims to be the only voice of the American people in the room. Republican frontrunner: Pence 9%, followed by Kasich 9%, Graham 9%, Rubio 8%, Huntsman 8% Democratic frontrunner: Harris 7%, followed by Cuomo 6%, and Zuckerberg 6% Iowa frontrunners: KHarris (D); Sasse (R) New Hampshire frontrunners: O'Malley (D); Murkowski (R)
  8. I'm pretty much exclusively reading and working on scenarios from the 1900s.
  9. Here are my thoughts in the quote above. As you can see, I don't think most of them will run. I think some people I can't think of might run.
  10. This isn't my list. This is theirs. I think Cuomo will run. De Blasio won't.
  11. Nate Silver and 538 proposed the following Democrats as possible candidates for 2020: Bernie Sanders Elizabeth Warren Joe Biden Kamala Harris Kirsten Gillibrand Tim Ryan Amy Klobuchar Cory Booker Michelle Obama Al Franken Deval Patrick Hillary Clinton Eric Garcetti Steve Bullock Dwayne Johnson John Hickenlooper Jason Kander Chris Murphy Sherrod Brown Roy Cooper Kasim Reed Bill de Blasio Mark Zuckerberg Mitch Landrieu Mark Cuban Martin O'Malley Al Gore Jeff Merkley John Kerry Julian Castro. What are your thoughts? Who is missing? Who of these would you support? Who are the great, decent, and bad candidates?
  12. December 2019 Tension increases in this month as China and Russia strengthen their relationship. Trump then has a difficult time getting cabinet members confirmed after three officials tied to Steve Bannon are rejected. Republicans continue to distance themselves from Trump as the trade war with China progresses. Susan Collins wins the Republican debate. Joe Biden wins the Democratic debate. Trump retaliates against Republican opposition claiming that they are undermining GOP's success in 2020. Despite opposition, Trump is able to finally get cabinet confirmations at State and Defense with Gingrich and Bolton, respectively. He still cannot fill the Attorney General spot. In other bad news, China signs a trade deal with Mexico. Meanwhile, Democrat tension between Progressives and Establishment increases. A final topping of another bad month for Trump is that the Pope Francis negatively comments on him at X-Mas mass, which then is followed by Trump suggesting that the Pope is probably senile. Republican frontrunner: Kasich 11%, followed by Pence 9%, Rubio 8%, Graham 8% Democratic frontrunner: KHarris 6%, followed by Schultz 6%, Cuomo 6%, Biden 6%
  13. November 2019 Trump is acquitted by the Senate by one vote, in a move similar to Andrew Johnson's historic impeachment. Every Democrat voted for conviction, as did very moderate and very conservative Republicans. However, Trump receives some good press as the Caliph of ISIS is mortally wounded and captured by US forces, a move which Trump touts as greater than when Bin Laden was killed during the Obama administration. Yet, Trump's mouth gets him in trouble when he takes the credit for the capture of the Caliph and forgets to mention the soldiers. Later, he receives more negative fallout when he declares the war with ISIS is over, when it is reported that a new Caliph has likely taken over. Ultimately, Trump gets angry with Mattis, who also admits that Trump's words weren't fair to the military and that the war with ISIS is not over. Rubio and Pence tie the 2nd Republican Debate. Mattis resigns days after Trump states that his administration has been the most harmonious in history. Trump now has three vacant cabinet positions. Meanwhile, Trump's trade restrictions and policy with China has officially developed into a trade war. Frontrunner John Kasich then calls for Trump removal from the GOP. At the 2nd Democratic Debate, Schultz has a meltdown as he is unable to respond to several questions. Joe Biden is considered the winner of a very competitive debate. Trump's latest tirade is calling Fox News "Fake News," after Fox criticized Trump's statement that the war with ISIS was over. Lastly, the trade war with China is showing a strain on the economy. Republican Frontrunner: Kasich 11%, followed by Pence 10%, Rubio 10%, Graham 9% Democratic Frontrunner: Zuckerberg 7%, followed by Cuomo 7%, Schultz 7%, Biden 6%, KHarris 6%
  14. Perhaps partially, but the order of primaries hasn't been historically consistent. For instance, New Hampshire used to be in March. Iowa gets to go first because it's got (or had) a complex system that required it to have an early start. Once they changed their system in the 70's, I think, to something simpler, they never moved their state's primary because it has more influence where it is. I think Iowa can also move ahead of any state if it tries to push the primary ahead of Iowa. I think that if all the states can't primary on the same day, that it should be randomized, or go in order of the states with the most registered voters for that party. So Primary one for Democrats would be California (probably) and for Republicans it would be Texas (probably).
  15. This means the Democratic candidate will likely be more moderate, and that a more moderate Republican stands a good chance for Republicans as a challenger to Trump or in future elections. I wish all the most liberal states would move up to February, and basically make it near impossible for a Cruz-type politicians to succeed. However, in truth, I really wish all the primaries were on the same day so a few states can't influence the entire nomination.