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Reece134

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Reece134 last won the day on February 23 2010

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About Reece134

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  1. Pretty sure a jungle primary is impossible, and there is a lot of candidates on that list for Dems, too many, I presume, for the game platform to cope with. The weakness of the GOP makes this one pretty difficult to model I guess. Just for future reference for creating my own scenarios too, how do you simulate the actual popular vote when the game is optimised for delegates and or ECV's? Make the notional delegates/ECV's proportional to the popular vote? Reece.
  2. I am mega excited to see this: can't wait to try beating Petty as KBH or beat them both as crazed Tea Partier Deb Medina! Latest polls show the race being pretty competitive too so even better! If there is anything I can do to help let me know.
  3. Other than the candidates that stood for/won nomination: Independent: Charlie Crist? In anger at the whole Rubio situation decides instead to drop out of the Senate race and run for re-election Democrat: Billionaire (and failed Senate candidate) Jeff Greene Rep. Debbie Wasserman Schultz (Though she has a nice job in the Dem Caucus) Former Gov. Bob Graham GOP: Speaker of the FL House Adam Hasner Rep. Connie Mack IV Joe Scarborough Former Speaker of the FL House Marco Rubio (Is talked out of opposing CC in the primary by the RNC/RSCC) George P Bush Former SecState Katherine Harris
  4. Rasmussen has two sorts of polls: setting the agenda polls, which often are wildly inaccurate but promoting their favoured candidate and point of view, and the serious ones, which we will start seeing closer to the election
  5. Hi all, I have created a scenario (after editing a existing scenario) and I want to upload it but now I cannot find it on the computer! It's not in the scenarios folder where, as far as I'm concerned, it should be, and because I really don't understand how to search the entire computer on Vista, I can't find it in general. Huh? What am I missing, thanks for any help. Reece.
  6. Agreed, it is very annoying!
  7. Alvin Greene (D) beat Vic Rawl (D) to face off against Jim DeMint in South Carolina
  8. Maybe you're doing too much? I think $35m is a bit low and I agree that the fundraising is anaemic but I run very few adverts, and only really target seats that are within reasonable reach, that is +/-10%.
  9. I would also note however that Rasmussen are not exactly the most reliable of pollsters, with a 'House Effect' to the GOP of about R+5% @Admin, do you use an average of polls, the same pollster for each race, or just mix and match?
  10. Other races off the top of my head: Carly Fiorina, not Tom Campbell, is going to be the R nominee in CA. Dino Rossi is more likely than not going to be the R nominee in WA. The NV Primary is this week but the R nominee is probably going to be Sharron Angle John Thune in SD will be opposed by nobody, but I'm not sure how easy that would be to simulate
  11. The Senate Campaign: As Democrats I can get 59 seats, and I can always win one of the following three: Reid in NV, Blumenthal in CT and Conlin beating Grassley in IA, but never two of them, which would give me a majority!
  12. Some Comments on v.1.2.7 Senate Campaign. (I've not yet played the House on it, is there any significant changes?) Have played it about 10 times now and have won a majority with the Dems each time. However some of the polling is a bit off and some of the Dem challenger candidates at least (and I'm sure it's the same the other way round) against incumbents are wrong. (I guess that is because the scenario does start forward in time a bit and they are in Primaries that are yet to be resolved.) Some of the polling no longer reflects the state of the race at the moment either: two I can think of off the top of my head is that Harry Reid is ahead of all prospective candidates in NV, whilst Dick Blumenthal's faux pas re: military service has done nothing to dent his lead against Linda McMahon, I think by about 10-points.
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